The Aporia · Burgess Everett

2026-08-26 · Semafor

Court decision boosts Democrats in midterm spending fight

🔮 If the ruling stands — still a big ‘if’ — it would benefit Democrats. assertive

2026-08-27 · Semafor

College sports meltdown fuels push on Capitol Hill

🔮 Tim Buckley, an NCAA spokesman, told Semafor that public “outrage” over the issue has “really changed some minds on Capitol Hill about the need for this legislation” and could help shore up support. assertive

2026-08-28 · Semafor

Poll: Pappas holds commanding lead in N.H. Democratic primary

🔮 That will likely settle some nerves among national Democrats rattled by this year’s primary polling — particularly after a University of New Hampshire poll placed Democrat Karishma Manzur just 13 points behind Pappas in the Sept. 8 primary. mixed

2026-09-06 · Semafor

Britt: Congress should turn Trump’s data center pledge into law

🔮 “We’ve seen across the country that people are working to use this as a wedge issue, and unfortunately, if people continue to try to do that, ultimately I’m afraid we will pay a price here,” Britt said. assertive

2026-09-06 · Semafor

‘A path to victory’: Democrat Andrews pushes party to invest in South Carolina

🔮 She said Republicans might opt against an on-stage bout because “the risks of stepping on the debate stage with me outweigh the negative political backlash of not debating.” assertive

2026-09-15 · Semafor

Manchin looks to campaign for Collins

🔮 He might even trek up to Vacationland this fall. assertive

2026-09-15 · Semafor

Republicans’ time crunch: Data centers, sports, crypto

🔮 The House is set to take up the bill, called the Ratepayer Protection Act, this week, which will help vulnerable incumbents answer voters’ concerns about data centers. mixed

2026-09-15 · Semafor

NCAA chief: College sports bill means less ‘money on lawyers,' more on athletics

🔮 As for whether it will get to President Donald Trump’s desk this year — well, one step at a time. assertive

2026-09-15 · Semafor

El-Sayed hits Rogers on healthcare during Republican convention

🔮 The ad will run statewide as part of a $2.3 million campaign running this week, according to a person familiar with the buy. mixed

2026-09-15 · Semafor

Giffords launches $10 million midterm blitz

🔮 Giffords relied on national polling from the Democratic firm Global Strategy Group to determine where it could have the biggest impact, asking voters how concerned they are about public safety and how much they support stronger gun laws. assertive

2026-09-15 · Semafor

Pappas, Sununu to face off in crucial New Hampshire Senate race

🔮 Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas will face former Republican Sen. John E. Sununu after Pappas easily defeated progressive Karishma Manzur in the Democratic primary. assertive

2026-09-15 · Semafor

Senate Republicans say crypto bill likely to fail

🔮 A failed vote could motivate the crypto industry to spend money in key Senate and House races, but one incumbent senator said it’s far from a top voting issue. assertive

2026-09-17 · Semafor

Senate Republicans weigh whether to keep investing in North Carolina and Georgia races

🔮 The News Republicans may have to make hard choices this fall as they shape their strategy for keeping the Senate — and some think it might not include North Carolina or Georgia. assertive

2026-09-18 · Semafor

Senate permitting talks reach a turning point

🔮 Negotiators are close to agreeing on a bipartisan permitting reform deal, but they also have to get through a college sports bill that will take up all of next week — absent a deal among all 100 senators to speed things up. assertive

2026-09-18 · Semafor

Shaheen holds up $2.8B arms sale to Israel

🔮 She has unresolved concerns about how the bombs would be used in Syria, Lebanon, and Gaza — as well as to intensify the war with Iran. assertive

2026-09-21 · Semafor

Why the Senate won’t vote to repeal new Canada tariffs

🔮 It’s no secret that Democrats would like to see Republicans have to take as many tough votes as possible right up until the election, although it’s also possible some GOP incumbents would vote against the tariffs given the option, knowing full well that Trump would veto any effort to undercut his tariff power. assertive

2026-09-22 · Semafor

Murphy pushes for athlete unionization rights in college sports bill

🔮 The price for Senate Republicans to finish the college sports bill quickly this week might be a roll call vote on allowing NCAA athletes to organize. mixed

2026-09-22 · Semafor

🔮 Senate Majority Leader John Thune said he was hoping he could keep Republicans from splintering on Iran right before the election: “I would hope the team could hang together on this.” assertive

2026-09-28 · Semafor

Republicans fuming at Hegseth as war costs build

🔮 “This could turn into a real standoff with the military caught in the middle,” a Trump administration official told Semafor. assertive

2026-09-28 · Semafor

Cruz wants Republicans to campaign on college sports bill

🔮 “President Trump has been quite vocal that he believes the House should come back,” Cruz said, referring to Trump’s recent remarks predicting Johnson would bring the House back. assertive

2026-10-01 · Semafor

'The No. 1 thing': Republicans agonize over their economic inaction

🔮 “If we had done enough, our constituents wouldn’t be continuing to raise it, and it wouldn’t be the No. 1 thing that everyone’s campaign is talking about,” Sen. Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, told Semafor. assertive

2026-10-02 · Semafor

West Virginia's Justice may delay decision on running for governor

🔮 Sen. Jim Justice, R-W.Va., “may have to” wait until after the midterms to decide on whether to run for his old job as governor — and challenge incumbent Gov. Patrick Morrisey, he told Semafor in an interview this week. assertive

2026-10-05 · Semafor

Democratic-controlled Senate would confirm ‘very few’ Trump nominees

🔮 The winner of Senate control would snatch one of the biggest tangible prizes of the midterms: control over President Donald Trump’s nominees. assertive

2026-10-07 · Semafor

Gallego rolls out ambitious plan to insulate workers against AI

🔮 On top of raising the minimum wage to $20 per hour and pegging it to inflation, his agenda would promote sectoral bargaining agreements to establish labor standards for entire industries, require companies to provide paid leave, and raise overtime pay for eligible workers from time-and-a-half to double pay. assertive

2026-10-08 · Semafor

Senate rules would change under sweeping bipartisan proposal

🔮 But they have a proposal that would allow more bipartisan bills to get votes, end time-wasting procedures, and actually allow popular bills to come to the Senate floor and pass, according to details reviewed by Semafor. assertive

2026-10-12 · Semafor

Obama cuts ad in Mississippi Senate race

🔮 The Colom campaign will run the 30-second spot on digital and radio statewide in Mississippi as part of a seven-figure media buy in Mississippi, according to details shared first with Semafor. assertive

2026-10-13 · Semafor

More anti-Trump billboards hit the heartland

🔮 They’re intended to help Democratic Senate and House candidates that will determine congressional control. assertive

2026-10-19 · Semafor

Manchin to campaign with Collins in Maine

🔮 Manchin will hit Maine on Wednesday with Collins and visit the Lewiston-Auburn area of Androscoggin County, a fairly evenly divided part of the state. assertive

2026-10-22 · Semafor

Republican group places seven-figure ad buy in Mississippi

🔮 President Donald Trump is set to visit the state on Monday and former Vice President Kamala Harris is campaigning with Colom this week. assertive

2026-10-26 · Semafor

Democrats see Trump ‘rescue mission’ in Mississippi

🔮 But there are several reasons it could be competitive: Trump’s visit follows former Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign stop for Democrat Scott Colom, and both parties’ top super PACS are spending in the state assertive

2026-10-26 · Semafor

Josh Turek is running a radically centrist campaign

🔮 “Socially, culturally, you could define me as moderate.” assertive

2026-10-27 · Semafor

Could Iowa swing back to Democrats in 2028?

🔮 Next week, Iowa Democrats are competitive in a Senate race, gubernatorial race, and three House races; if they win, Democrats think it might put Iowa back in the mix as a presidential swing state. mixed

2026-10-28 · Semafor

How one huge labor union is reaching this election’s swing voters

🔮 In Texas, a doorknocker for the union might reference last year’s Hilton Americas-Houston hotel strike before pivoting to telling a voter that Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico and gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa supported workers’ drive for a higher wage. assertive

2026-10-28 · Semafor

Senate Dems put $500,000 into Mississippi

🔮 The ad will run statewide on TV and digital starting on Thursday. assertive

2026-10-30 · Semafor

Republicans ask FEC to investigate Peltola campaign over spoiler candidate

🔮 On the heels of new reporting from The New York Times this week that detailed the efforts of national Democrats and the Peltola campaign to draft Dan J. Sullivan into the Senate race, the National Republican Senatorial Committee is asking the FEC to probe both the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and Peltola’s campaign and refer the matter to the Justice Department if the FEC determines “these violations were knowing and willful.” assertive

2026-10-30 · Semafor

Schumer girds for fight with Trump over election results

🔮 Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer is launching a post-Election Day war room to guard against efforts by Trump to “steal the election,” vowing Democrats will fight “every step of the way” in a letter to the Democratic Caucus shared first with Semafor. assertive

2026-11-02 · Semafor

How Trump's iron grip on the Republican Party put the Senate in play

🔮 His decision to pick Vance opened up a special election in Ohio that will by the end of this week cost the GOP hundreds of millions of dollars and potentially a Senate seat. assertive

2026-11-03 · Semafor

Republicans keep Senate hopes alive, mindful of the majority’s power

🔮 Losing the Senate would deprive Republicans of control over President Donald Trump’s nominees — including lifetime judicial appointments. assertive

2026-11-04 · Semafor

How Democrats’ two big wins could help lift them to the majority

🔮 And that could be the difference in some of the other races that will determine the Senate majority. assertive

2026-11-04 · Semafor

Senate goes Democratic in a ‘generational wipeout’ of Trump’s party

🔮 The GOP lost seats it held in Ohio, Texas, Kansas, Iowa, South Carolina, and North Carolina; failed to flip seats in New Hampshire and Georgia; and is now bracing for further losses that could hamper its effort to retake the Senate in 2028, when the map gives both parties pickup opportunities. assertive

2026-11-04 · Semafor

Congress faces long lame-duck to-do list

🔮 The House and Senate will have to figure out how to avoid yet another government shutdown on Dec. 11, extend farm and surface transportation laws, and pass the annual defense policy bill during their post-election sprint. assertive

Forward-looking sentences extracted from their articles, oldest first. Nothing here checks whether any of it turned out to be right.

👤 Burgess Everett

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