The Aporia
The Aporia
2 articles about 2 events for “Prediction Market Boom” from Astral Codex Ten.
“…t subtitle: “Plus, I interview my husband about his 12 years of non-monogamy.” 9: Claim: if you prompt (an older version of) Claude with something that sounds like an internal Anthropic email, it goes into token-prediction mode and starts completing the…”
“But there are complicated cryptocurrency bets called “perpetual futures” that traders use to approximate the stock prices of private companies (usually these are some kind of prediction-market like instrument on eventual IPO price).”