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Netanyahu and his main rival Eisenkot look set for deadlock as Israeli election exit polls suggest no clear winner

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Silver, E. (2026, October 28). Netanyahu and his main rival Eisenkot look set for deadlock as Israeli election exit polls suggest no clear winner. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16244885/Netanyahu-main-rival-Eisenkot-look-set-deadlock-Israeli-election-exit-polls-suggest-no-clear-winner.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-28 · by Eliana Silver

Quick Summary

Benjamin Netanyahu and his main rival Gadi Eisenkot are competing for leadership after Israel’s recent election, with exit polls showing neither securing enough seats for an outright majority. As of Wednesday morning, Netanyahu's bloc was projected to win 55 seats, while Eisenkot's bloc had 50, leaving both short of the required 61 seats in the 120-seat Knesset. Neither candidate claimed victory as votes were still being tallied, with coalition negotiations expected to be prolonged due to the distribution of seats among various parties including Arab groups and far-right religious factions.
Written by AI on 2026-10-28, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Benjamin Netanyahu’s far-right coalition lost its majority in Israel's October 27 parliamentary election, with 53 seats compared to the opposition’s 48 seats, including a record-high 19 seats for Arab parties. This outcome presents a significant challenge as party leaders now face lengthy and complex negotiations to form a government. The centrist Yashar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, is projected to win 20 of the Knesset's 120 seats, ahead of Netanyahu’s Likud. Thousands rallied in Tel Aviv before the election calling for an inquiry into security failures leading to the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks. The opposition accuses Netanyahu and his bloc of spreading unsubstantiated claims about Arab parties stealing the election and warns against Islamization.

Written for “Netanyahu Falls Short in Israeli Election” on 2026-10-30, grounded in this article and the 204 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Netanyahu Falls Short in Israeli Election
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How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
46
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
11%
5 of 46 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
68/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
205
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-28 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8356 article(s) · 20 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 20 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Eliana Silver
60 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 If the rest of the opposition teams up with Arab parties, a rare and politically risky move, they could potentially form a majority government in parliament, the Knesset.
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🔮 At 8.48am, just five minutes before the crash, the Iryo driver called again, warning she still could not restart the system.
🔮 Israel's Central Elections Committee was tallying votes on Wednesday and it will likely take until Thursday before definitive results of the election - the first since the Hamas-led attack of October 7, 2023 - are known.
🔮 Opinion polls suggest a tight race, with no clear winner expected, setting the stage for weeks or even months of negotiations among around a dozen parties expected to win seats in the Knesset.
🔮 Voters heading to the polls will pass the faces of fallen soldiers peering from stickers on train station walls and faded yellow ribbons honouring the hostages, the last of whom were returned in a ceasefire deal last year.
🔮 'Religious tensions remain very high in the area and could escalate into a wider crisis if left unaddressed,' the first witness said.
🔮 Trump made the comments at a political rally in Port Huron, Michigan, ahead of next week's midterm elections Attributing recent unrest in France to immigration, Trump said he would welcome immigrants from some countries but not from Norway 'because I didn't get the Nobel Prize...
🔮 Reposting his endorsement of Netanyahu from last week, Trump urged Israelis to vote for the PM so the pair could 'finish the job' in Iran.
🔮 Belén, a single mother of three living in poverty, was scrolling through Facebook one day in 2022 when she came across an opportunity she believed could change her life.
Also by Eliana Silver
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 60 articles by Eliana Silver →

Topics

Arab Israel Israeli Likud Likud Party

Subjects

Netanyahu PERSON · 12× Israel GPE · 7× Eisenkot PERSON · 6× Arab NORP · 3× Benjamin Netanyahu PERSON · 2× Central Elections Committee ORG · 2× Israeli NORP · 2× Jerusalem GPE · 2× Likud ORG · 2× Likud Party ORG · 2×

Narrative

Eisenkot, 66, who lost a son and two nephews in the Gaza war, emerged as Netanyahu's strongest challenger, stressing his security credentials while positioning himself as a centrist domestically. Yashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot waves an Israeli flag as he addresses his supporters at the election night rally Supporters of the Joint List alliance celebrate as the first exit polls are announced Supporters of Israel's National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, leader of the Jewish Power (Otzma Yehudit) party, react following exit polls Israelis cheer at a public fountain after the first exit polls were announced, in Tel Aviv He entered politics only four years ago and joined Netanyahu's war cabinet after the 2023 Hamas attack, but quit eight months later, criticising the prime minister's leadership. Eisenkot offers a break with Netanyahu's leadership and far-right allies, but not with the hawkish approach to security that has become more entrenched since the 2023 Hamas attack. He opposes Palestinian statehood and says Hamas' military wing must be destroyed or dismantled.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-28
🔮 Israel's Central Elections Committee was tallying votes on Wednesday and it will likely take until Thursday before definitive results of the election - the first since the Hamas-led attack of October 7, 2023 - are known.

Claims (46 extracted, 5 hedged)

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and rival Gadi Eisenkot offered competing claims to lead Israel after Tuesday's election, with Netanyahu calling for a right-wing government and Eisenkot saying voters had rejected the longtime Israeli leader, even as exit polls showed no clear winner. uncertain
polls → offer → winner
Israel's Central Elections Committee was tallying votes on Wednesday and it will likely take until Thursday before definitive results of the election - the first since the Hamas-led attack of October 7, 2023 - are known. asserted
results → tally → October
With some 48.4 per cent of votes tallied, Netanyahu's bloc was projected to win 55 seats, and Eisenkot's bloc 50 seats, with 15 seats going to Arab parties, Israeli media reported, a distribution that will likely change as more votes are tallied. asserted
votes → tally → parties
That leaves both sides short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset, and neither Netanyahu nor Eisenkot claimed victory. asserted
Netanyahu → leave → victory
While the projected results may represent a setback for Netanyahu and his nationalist-religious coalition, a deadlock could work in his favour, leaving the 77-year-old in office as a caretaker prime minister during what are likely to be prolonged coalition negotiations or even until another election can be held. uncertain
election → project → minister
Netanyahu's bloc rules out forming a government with Arab parties, which themselves campaigned on a platform of bringing down the prime minister and his far-right allies. asserted
which → rule → minister
Eisenkot, the leader of the Yashar party and a former military chief, has all but ruled out forming a government with Arab parties, complicating his path to power. asserted
Eisenkot → rule → power
Far-right religious parties led by Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich were projected to take a combined 13 seats within Netanyahu's bloc – with no major gains for either of them. asserted
parties → lead → them
sraeli Prime Minister and Likud party leader Benjamin Netanyahu waves to supporters at the Likud Party election-night event Supporters cheer and sing songs at the Likud Party election-night event People spray sparkling wine as they celebrate early exit poll results in Tel Aviv asserted
they → wave → Aviv
Netanyahu, addressing party faithful after 3am at the Likud election headquarters in Jerusalem, called for the formation of 'a strong, right-wing national government.' asserted
Netanyahu → address → government
He also highlighted Israel's military successes and raised the prospect of renewed joint action with US President Donald Trump against Iran. asserted
He → highlight → Iran
'Israel faces a singular historical opportunity, together with our partner President Trump, to remove the existential threat of Iran once and for all. asserted
Israel → face → all
But ulterior motives must not divert us from this sacred mission,' he said. asserted
he → divert → mission
Trump, who endorsed Netanyahu, was asked early on Wednesday about the election after a campaign trip to Texas, and said he did very well. asserted
he → endorse → Texas
'You know, it's pretty close, which was very well. asserted
which → know → ?
Because I think when the endorsement went out, it helped him a lot, but I actually heard he did pretty well. asserted
he → think → him
It might be winning or tie. uncertain
It → win → ?
The tie is sort of considered a win in that case because it's a big chess match.' asserted
it → consider → case
Eisenkot said the public had voted against Netanyahu remaining prime minister and urged him to retire from politics, while warning against the use of Israel's security for political purposes. asserted
Netanyahu → say → purposes
'Netanyahu is a caretaker prime minister, without a mandate or the people's trust,' Eisenkot said, calling on the security establishment to 'stand firm' against any attempt to put political interests ahead of Israel's security. asserted
Eisenkot → say → security
Voter turnout was 77.7 per cent, Israel's Central Elections Committee said, the highest in more than two decades and around 7 percentage points higher than in 2022. asserted
Committee → say → 2022
Throughout the day, Netanyahu urged his supporters to cast their votes, calling it an 'emergency' and a 'matter of life and death'. asserted
Netanyahu → urge → life
Emotions were running high throughout the country on Tuesday with one voter in Jerusalem telling the Daily Mail: 'This is critical, and it's never been as critical.' She said she had come from kibbutz Nirim, which was attacked on October 7. asserted
which → run → October
In Kiryat Shmona, a Netanyahu stronghold near the border with Lebanon, a man kicked and tore down a poster of the prime minister's leading rival, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot. asserted
man → kick → rival
In Tel Aviv, some families of those killed in the Hamas-led 2023 attack and families of former hostages held a moment of silence. asserted
families → kill → silence
'Remember all those whose voices are no more,' said Yona Adam, the mother of Mapal Adam, who was killed. asserted
who → remember → Adam
At a polling station set up in a Jerusalem school, some said they were voting for change while others said they only trusted Netanyahu to keep them secure. asserted
they → set → them
'He's not responsible for October 7,' said Nisim Cohen, a reservist. asserted
Cohen → say → October
He added that he wants Netanyahu to win the election and continue the wars in Gaza, Lebanon and with Iran until Israelis can sleep peacefully. asserted
Israelis → add → Iran
Zipporah Bennett, an 85-year-old retiree, also said she was voting for Netanyahu 'because he has had the experience of navigating the country through a lot of difficult seasons', praising his support from the US and adding: 'He's a man who's not afraid to take action.' Alexandra, a 65-year-old voter in Jerusalem, said: 'I want change in our country. asserted
I → say → country
I want a good democratic centrist government.' asserted
I → want → government
Israel's fragmented political system leaves smaller parties potential kingmakers in coalition negotiations that have run to weeks or months after past elections. asserted
that → leave → elections
If neither bloc can form a government, another vote may need to be held, something Eisenkot opposed given the high voter turnout. uncertain
Eisenkot → form → turnout
Meanwhile, the Israeli shekel weakened modestly on the indecisive result. asserted
shekel → weaken → result
If projections hold, Netanyahu's right-wing bloc, which at its height held 68 seats, would fall short of the 61 needed to govern, leaving him with no clear path to forming a government. asserted
which → hold → government
Eisenkot, 66, who lost a son and two nephews in the Gaza war, emerged as Netanyahu's strongest challenger, stressing his security credentials while positioning himself as a centrist domestically. Yashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot waves an Israeli flag as he addresses his supporters at the election night rally Supporters of the Joint List alliance celebrate as the first exit polls are announced Supporters of Israel's National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, leader of the Jewish Power (Otzma Yehudit) party, react following exit polls Israelis cheer at a public fountain after the first exit polls were announced, in Tel Aviv He entered politics only four years ago and joined Netanyahu's war cabinet after the 2023 Hamas attack, but quit eight months later, criticising the prime minister's leadership. Eisenkot offers a break with Netanyahu's leadership and far-right allies, but not with the hawkish approach to security that has become more entrenched since the 2023 Hamas attack. He opposes Palestinian statehood and says Hamas' military wing must be destroyed or dismantled. asserted
wing → lose → statehood
Eisenkot says Israel's response - a war that has killed more than 74,000 Palestinians, according to Gaza health authorities - was a failure because Hamas remains in charge. uncertain
Hamas → say → charge
The headquarters of the Joint List, an alliance of several Arab parties, burst into whistles and applause when exit polls were released, on a historic night for turnout among Palestinian citizens of Israel. asserted
polls → burst → Israel
'We refuse the occupation and racism, and we will remain here,' said Faten Gattas, a candidate in the Joint List, in a speech at the alliance's headquarters in Nazareth. asserted
Gattas → refuse → Nazareth
Candidates hoped high Arab turnout would allow them to play a decisive role in blocking Netanyahu's coalition from returning to power. asserted
them → hop → power
…and 6 more, not listed.
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