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Both blocs claim upper hand in crucial Israeli election | First Thing

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Belam, M. (2026, October 28). Both blocs claim upper hand in crucial Israeli election | First Thing. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/oct/28/first-thing-israeli-election-elon-musk-ai-odyssey

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The Guardian · collected 2026-10-28 · by Martin Belam

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No summary of this article yet; the story summary below covers the event.

Story

📰 Israel Election Deadlock
Politics · 233 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 16% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
National Post
Hedges 3 of 42 claims Outlet record 60/100
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 5 of 46 claims Outlet record 69/100
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
Dawn
Hedges 5 of 31 claims Outlet record 72/100
New York Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right Hedges 4 of 31 claims Outlet record 66/100
CBC News
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 8 of 35 claims Outlet record 60/100
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 12 of 45 claims Outlet record 66/100
Al Jazeera
Hedges 5 of 14 claims Outlet record 60/100
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
Dawn
Hedges 7 of 32 claims Outlet record 72/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
57
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
16%
9 of 57 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
233
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-29 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 1995 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Martin Belam
26 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Martin Belam
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 26 articles by Martin Belam →

Topics

Brazil Change Israel Israeli Palestinian

Subjects

Bolsonaro PERSON · 4× Brazil GPE · 4× Eisenkot PERSON · 3× Palestinian NORP · 3× Spain GPE · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× Biden PERSON · 2× Israel GPE · 2× Israeli NORP · 2× Netanyahu PERSON · 2×

Narrative

Oleshky truce appears to hold as two European leaders have ‘frank’ call with Putin A local ceasefire in a southern Ukrainian city under Russian occupation appeared to be holding, with both sides ceasing drone attacks ahead of an apparent evacuation of about 2,000 trapped and desperate civilians.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-29
🔮 Israel could be in for weeks of political haggling after exit polls and partial official results showed neither Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition nor the opposition bloc led by the former general Gadi Eisenkot had won enough seats to form a government.
2026-10-29 · The Guardian
Both blocs claim upper hand in crucial Israeli election | First Thing · assertive framing

Claims (57 extracted, 9 hedged)

Israel could be in for weeks of political haggling after exit polls and partial official results showed neither Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition nor the opposition bloc led by the former general Gadi Eisenkot had won enough seats to form a government. uncertain
coalition → show → government
With 70% of the vote, or 4m ballots, counted so far, the Netanyahu bloc had 54 seats, the Eisenkot-led Change bloc 47 seats, and the Palestinian parties 19 seats. asserted
parties → count → seats
Sixty-one seats are needed for a majority. asserted
seats → need → majority
- What have the two leaders said so far? asserted
leaders → say → What
Israel’s longest-serving prime minister vowed to assemble a coalition through agreements between his Likud party, far-right factions and Jewish religious parties. asserted
minister → serve → party
Eisenkot had said earlier in the evening that “people decided in favour of change” and Netanyahu should have “announced today his retirement from politics”. asserted
Netanyahu → say → politics
- What does the increase in the Palestinian bloc mean? asserted
increase → mean → bloc
The election was marked by a record participation by Israeli citizens of Palestinian origin, a discriminated minority that makes up about 20% of the country’s population. asserted
that → mark → population
Julian Borger explains from Nazareth that opposition leader Eisenkot will have to work with Arab-Israeli leaders to have a hope of governing. asserted
Eisenkot → explain → hope
Millions of other Palestinians living under Israeli rule in the occupied West Bank and Gaza cannot vote. asserted
Millions → live → Bank
- Here is what we know about the declared results so far. asserted
we → know → results
Our live coverage continues on the website. asserted
coverage → continue → website
Trump says government to ‘terminate’ Biden-era methane emissions rules Donald Trump has announced his administration is “terminating” Biden-era regulations holding oil and gas companies accountable for large leaks of planet-warming methane. asserted
companies → say → methane
According to the Environmental Protection Agency, the proposal is expected to save $45bn in costs to consumers and businesses. uncertain
proposal → accord → consumers
Last year, the US emitted more methane from its oil and gas sector than any other country in the world. asserted
US → emit → world
- What else has Trump been saying about fossil fuels? asserted
Trump → say → fuels
Trump suggested on Tuesday that Venezuela would become the 51st US state as the president showed off a tanker he claimed had “1m barrels of oil on it” from the country, nine months after deposing its president. uncertain
he → suggest → president
Flávio Bolsonaro flees Brazil after presidential election loss, reports say The far-right senator Flávio Bolsonaro has reportedly fled Brazil and is on his way to the United States after losing Sunday’s presidential election to the leftwing incumbent, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. uncertain
senator → flee → incumbent
Bolsonaro allies told the news website Metrópoles that he would land in Florida and planned to request political asylum. asserted
he → tell → asylum
“The Trump administration has been informed,” the website added. asserted
website → inform → ?
Brazilian federal police are investigating him for possible involvement in a money-laundering scheme worth about £680m ($905m) involving betting companies. asserted
police → investigate → companies
- What has re-elected president Lula had to say about Bolsonaro’s exit? asserted
Lula → re → exit
He condemned Bolsonaro’s apparent decision to flee. asserted
He → condemn → decision
Their first homeland is licking the boots of the US, as he’s become accustomed to doing. asserted
he → lick → US
The act of leaving Brazil is shameful.” asserted
act → leave → Brazil
Death toll in Spain train collision rises to 30 A high-speed train collision south of Madrid killed has killed at least 30 people, according to regional authorities, as Spain reels from its second such disaster this year. uncertain
Spain → rise → disaster
A collision between two high-speed trains in southern Spain in January resulted in the deaths of 46 people. asserted
collision → result → people
Oleshky truce appears to hold as two European leaders have ‘frank’ call with Putin A local ceasefire in a southern Ukrainian city under Russian occupation appeared to be holding, with both sides ceasing drone attacks ahead of an apparent evacuation of about 2,000 trapped and desperate civilians. asserted
sides → appear → civilians
Witnesses reported that the deadly frontline across the river was quiet for the first time in four years. asserted
frontline → report → years
Meanwhile Finland’s president, Alexander Stubb, and Norway’s prime minister, Jonas Gahr Støre, held what they described as a “frank and substantive” phone call with Vladimir Putin. asserted
they → hold → Putin
Writing on social media, Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said Russia “must stop dragging out this war” and said he welcomed European attempts to end it. asserted
he → write → it
Doctor removes prostate from 35 miles away in first telerobotic surgery in US A Florida surgeon has performed the first telerobotic operation between two US hospitals, removing the prostate of a man with cancer from 35 miles away, according to officials. uncertain
surgeon → remove → officials
Telesurgery allows surgeons to control robotic instruments remotely but researchers are still evaluating its safety, reliability and cybersecurity. asserted
researchers → allow → safety
In other news … - Gulf states are working on multipart peace deal to avert a renewal of US-Iran war after the midterms. asserted
states → work → midterms
The talks are aimed at reopening the strait of Hormuz, lifting sanctions on Iran, and for Houthis to withdraw in Yemen. asserted
Houthis → aim → Yemen
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Reserve → expect → years
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he → accuse → envelopes
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brothers → sentence → business
Trump-appointed CDC deputy director Jennifer Shuford is to resign after six months on the job. asserted
Shuford → appoint → job
She was appointed in April as part of a four-person senior leadership team meant to stabilize the agency after the previous CDC director left less than a month into the job. asserted
director → appoint → job
…and 17 more, not listed.
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