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UK house prices grow at slowest pace in two years as mortgage rates rise

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Almeida, L. (2026, October 30). UK house prices grow at slowest pace in two years as mortgage rates rise. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/oct/30/uk-house-prices-grow-at-slowest-pace-in-two-years-as-mortgage-rates-rise

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The Guardian · collected 2026-10-30 · by Lauren Almeida

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Story summary

As of October 30, 2026, the rate of annual house price growth in the UK has slowed to its weakest pace since January 2024, with prices remaining unchanged on a month-to-month basis. The average property price across the UK stood at £273,566 in October. Robert Gardner, chief economist at Nationwide, attributes this slowdown to rising mortgage costs due to anticipated interest rate hikes by policymakers aiming to curb inflation spurred by the Iran war. Market activity and house prices have slowed due to economic uncertainty, leading to expectations that the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee will raise interest rates from 3.75% to 4% next week for the first time in three years. This increase is expected to further pressure the property market until energy price shocks subside.

Written for “UK House Price Growth Slows” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 UK House Price Growth Slows
Economy/Business · 4 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

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This article reads leans right and hedges 25% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 9 claims Outlet record 65/100
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 13 claims Outlet record 65/100
Evening Standard
Hedges 3 of 16 claims Outlet record 65/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
16
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
25%
4 of 16 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
4
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-01 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

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Publisher

The Guardian · 2795 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Lauren Almeida
18 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 National Grid has taken a step towards building Britain’s biggest electricity substation on Teesside, which could supply power to a vast neighbouring datacentre, as the UK races to expand its AI infrastructure.
🔮 Eight out of 10 properties in London’s most exclusive neighbourhoods – such as Mayfair, Belgravia and Knightsbridge – now sell below asking price, according to research by Coutts, which provides private banking services to wealthy clients.
🔮 While the Bank of England has kept its key interest rate on hold at 3.75%, expectations are growing that next week the monetary policy committee will vote to increase the rate for the first time in three years to 4%.
🔮 The jump in gas prices comes as fears grow that there could be further supply disruptions in the Middle East, amid reports that the US and Israel have drawn up plans for renewed strikes against Iran after the US midterm elections.
🔮 Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil prices, rose by 3% to hit $112 a barrel for first time since 18 May.
🔮 Anthropic has said it will commit 5% of its shares to a fund for the “public good”, as the AI developer behind the Claude chatbot seeks to bolster its appeal before its stock market listing.
🔮 Aneisha Beveridge, the head of research at Hamptons, said when interest rates were low “the financial case for tenants to buy as soon as they could was fairly straightforward”.
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🔮 The report cited unnamed officials in Donald Trump’s administration who said the size and targets of potential strikes, and whether they will go ahead, are still being debated.
Also by Lauren Almeida
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 18 articles by Lauren Almeida →

Topics

Bank of England Moneyfacts Nationwide the Bank of England the Middle East conflict

Subjects

Nationwide ORG · 2× Bank of England ORG · 1× Bill PERSON · 1× John Healey PERSON · 1× Knight Frank ORG · 1× Moneyfacts ORG · 1× Rob Wood PERSON · 1× Robert Gardner PERSON · 1× Tom Bill PERSON · 1× the Bank of England ORG · 1×

Narrative

While the Bank of England has kept its key interest rate on hold at 3.75%, expectations are growing that next week the monetary policy committee will vote to increase the rate for the first time in three years to 4%.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-01
🔮 While the Bank of England has kept its key interest rate on hold at 3.75%, expectations are growing that next week the monetary policy committee will vote to increase the rate for the first time in three years to 4%.

Claims (16 extracted, 4 hedged)

UK house prices grew by an annual rate of just 0.5% in October, the slowest pace in more than two years, as higher mortgage rates put off potential buyers. asserted
rates → grow → buyers
The average price for a property in the UK stood at £273,566 in October, flat on the previous month and down from 0.8% in the year to September, according to the lender Nationwide. uncertain
price → stand → lender
The slowdown in the market comes as buyers face higher borrowing costs. asserted
buyers → come → costs
This month the average cost of a five-year fixed-rate mortgage hit the 6% barrier for the first time in three years. asserted
cost → fix → years
The average stood at 5.99% on Thursday, according to the financial information provider Moneyfacts, while the average two-year rate was not far behind at 5.97%. uncertain
rate → stand → %
There has been no change in the Bank of England base rate since last December but volatility in the bond market has driven up the swap rates that influence the pricing of fixed-rate mortgages. asserted
that → drive → mortgages
While the Bank of England has kept its key interest rate on hold at 3.75%, expectations are growing that next week the monetary policy committee will vote to increase the rate for the first time in three years to 4%. asserted
committee → keep → %
Robert Gardner, the chief economist at Nationwide, said the Middle East conflict had fed concerns around inflation, driving up expectations of higher interest rates. asserted
conflict → say → rates
Property prices are likely to fall further, he said. asserted
he → fall → ?
“Surveyors report that new buyer inquiries remain weak. asserted
inquiries → report → ?
“Consumer sentiment dipped noticeably in October, with households becoming less confident about the outlook for the general economy as well as their own financial situation in the year ahead.” asserted
households → dip → year
Tom Bill, the head of UK residential research at Knight Frank, added that the impact of rising mortgage costs “eclipses any support measure announced in this week’s budget”. asserted
impact → add → budget
This week the chancellor, John Healey, confirmed the government’s new £4.7bn Your First Home scheme, which is designed to give a helping hand to first-time buyers who do not have access to the “bank of mum and dad”. asserted
who → confirm → mum
Bill added: “The absence of major shocks from the chancellor may produce a modest relief bounce in coming months. uncertain
absence → add → months
However, asking prices will need to reflect the much tougher financial landscape that buyers face.” asserted
buyers → ask → that
Rob Wood, the chief UK economist at the consultancy Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the government’s new scheme could provide a “modest boost” to the market but that prices were likely to remain subdued next year. uncertain
prices → say → market
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