Photo via Evening Standard

Annual house price growth slows to weakest since January 2024

Read the original at Evening Standard ↗
Cite

Williams, H. (2026, October 30). Annual house price growth slows to weakest since January 2024. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/business/money/nationwide-building-society-experts-hmrc-iran-middle-east-b1302909.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Evening Standard · collected 2026-10-30 · by Holly Williams

Quick Summary

The rate of annual house price growth has slowed to its weakest since January 2024, according to an index, with mortgage costs rising due to anticipated interest rate increases aimed at cooling inflation. In October, UK house prices remained unchanged from the previous month and stood at £273,566 on average. Robert Gardner of Nationwide attributes this slowdown to market uncertainty and weak consumer sentiment, predicting further softness but a recovery once energy price shocks diminish.
Written by AI on 2026-10-30, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of October 30, 2026, the rate of annual house price growth in the UK has slowed to its weakest pace since January 2024, with prices remaining unchanged on a month-to-month basis. The average property price across the UK stood at £273,566 in October. Robert Gardner, chief economist at Nationwide, attributes this slowdown to rising mortgage costs due to anticipated interest rate hikes by policymakers aiming to curb inflation spurred by the Iran war. Market activity and house prices have slowed due to economic uncertainty, leading to expectations that the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee will raise interest rates from 3.75% to 4% next week for the first time in three years. This increase is expected to further pressure the property market until energy price shocks subside.

Written for “UK House Price Growth Slows” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 UK House Price Growth Slows
Economy/Business · 4 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 19% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 9 claims Outlet record 64/100
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 13 claims Outlet record 64/100
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 4 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
Evening Standard
Hedges 2 of 11 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the housing market over time, with one focusing on current growth trends and the other predicting future delays in recovery.”
The Guardian
Hedges 2 of 20 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different national housing markets (UK and Australia) experiencing related trends but not the same specific incident.”
The Guardian
Hedges 5 of 21 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the housing market and mortgage rates, rather than a single specific incident.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 1 of 33 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss similar economic trends in housing but cover different time periods and data points.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 11 of 93 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the housing market and do not report on the same specific incident or outcome.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
16
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
19%
3 of 16 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
64/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
4
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-30 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 8526 article(s) · 73 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 73 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Holly Williams
102 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The telecoms giant said the bulk of the cost savings – about £300 million – will come from job cuts among its 16,000-strong workforce in the UK, with aims to reduce its staff costs by around 30%.
🔮 The Leeds-based group said Mr Potts would take on the role with immediate effect, with current boss Allan Leighton becoming non-executive chairman, two years after he returned to head the firm.
🔮 The telecoms giant said the bulk of the cost savings – about £300 million – will come from job cuts among its 16,000-strong workforce in the UK, with aims to reduce its staff costs by around 30%.
🔮 The group said Mr Potts would take on the role with immediate effect, with current boss Allan Leighton becoming non-executive chairman, two years after he returned to head the firm.
🔮 The telecoms giant said the bulk of the cost savings – about £300 million – will come from job cuts among its 16,000-strong workforce in the UK, with aims to reduce its staff costs by around 30%.
🔮 The telecoms giant said the bulk of the cost savings – about £300 million – will come from job cuts among its 16,000-strong workforce in the UK, with aims to reduce its labour costs by around 30%.
🔮 The Bank of England is widely expected to hike interest rates on Thursday to 4% from 3.75% given rising UK inflation, but lower oil prices could see policymakers rein in their signals for future rises.
🔮 Mr Mackenzie will stand down at the end of February after leading Britain’s second biggest pub chain for nearly eight years.
🔮 The oil major agreed the sale of a 65% holding in Castrol to US investment firm Stonepeak in December last year and will retain the remaining 35% stake in a new joint venture.
🔮 Speaking at the group’s Chessington World of Adventures Resort hotel outside London, he told the Press Association the sector’s room key technology systems were robust and security failures would be caused only by “human error”.
Also by Holly Williams
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 102 articles by Holly Williams →

Topics

HM Revenue & Customs HMRC Iran Nationwide the Monetary Policy Committee

Subjects

Budget ORG · 1× HM Revenue & Customs ORG · 1× HMRC ORG · 1× Ian Futcher PERSON · 1× Iran GPE · 1× Nationwide ORG · 1× Quilter ORG · 1× Robert Gardner PERSON · 1× the Monetary Policy Committee ORG · 1×

Narrative

He said: “Market activity and house price growth have slowed in recent months, in part reflecting the uncertain economic backdrop. “This in turn has led to mounting financial market expectations of bank rate increases, which have maintained upward pressure on the market interest rates which underpin mortgage pricing.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-30
🔮 He said the property market was expected to remain under pressure, but should recover once the energy price shock fades.
2026-10-30 · Evening Standard
Annual house price growth slows to weakest since January 2024 · assertive framing

Claims (16 extracted, 3 hedged)

The rate of annual house price growth has slowed to its weakest pace for nearly three years amid borrower caution because of rising mortgage costs, according to an index. uncertain
rate → slow → index
On a month-on-month basis, prices remained unchanged, against a downwardly-revised fall of 0.3% in September, with the average property across the UK standing at £273,566 in October. asserted
property → remain → October
Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, said it comes as mortgage costs have increased because of expectations of upcoming interest rate rises as policymakers look to cool rising inflation caused by the Iran war. asserted
policymakers → say → war
He said: “Market activity and house price growth have slowed in recent months, in part reflecting the uncertain economic backdrop. “This in turn has led to mounting financial market expectations of bank rate increases, which have maintained upward pressure on the market interest rates which underpin mortgage pricing.” asserted
which → say → pricing
He said the property market was expected to remain under pressure, but should recover once the energy price shock fades. asserted
shock → say → pressure
He said: “Forward-looking indicators suggest further softness in the near term. “Surveyors report that new buyer inquiries remain weak. asserted
inquiries → say → term
“Moreover, consumer sentiment dipped noticeably in October, with households becoming less confident about the outlook for the general economy as well as their own financial situation in the year ahead. asserted
households → dip → year
“Once the energy shock fades, there are good reasons to believe the market will regain momentum.” asserted
market → fade → momentum
Read More They said: “Nationwide-measured house prices holding unchanged in October is a decent result in our view, given the context of high energy prices and expectations of multiple hikes from the Monetary Policy Committee. asserted
prices → read → Committee
“But September’s data were revised down, and the latest surge in oil and gas prices will take time to feed into activity, so a drop in prices in November is a good bet.” asserted
drop → revise → November
They said the Government’s new “first home” scheme “will provide a modest boost to the housing market”. asserted
scheme → say → market
“But the drag from elevated borrowing costs will be prolonged,” they cautioned. asserted
they → prolong → costs
Figures also out on Friday from HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) showed residential sales transactions were 4% lower in September than a year earlier, at 94,800. asserted
transactions → show → 94,800
Ian Futcher, financial planner at Quilter, said: “These figures show a housing market that was losing some momentum even before the measures announced in this week’s Budget. “ asserted
that → say → Budget
The Government’s new Your First Home scheme could provide valuable support for some first-time buyers by reducing the size of the deposit they need to find. uncertain
they → provide → deposit
“However, its focus on new-build properties means it will not solve the wider affordability problem, while stimulating demand without a corresponding increase in supply could place upward pressure on prices.” uncertain
stimulating → mean → prices
💬Give feedback · no sign-in needed

No sign-in needed for now. Your note is sent without a name, so it cannot be answered.

🕘History 🎫Support