President Donald Trump and his Republican Party look poised for a beating, according to averages of the latest polling data.
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Trump → look → data
With just four days until Election Day and the remaining two years of Trump's legacy hanging in limbo, dependent on how far Democrats advance on his GOP majority in Congress, there are dire warning signs for conservatives in the Capitol.
The Daily Mail's midterms power polling average, an analysis of polling averages, shows Democrats holding a strong advantage over Republicans with less than a week to go.
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Democrats → remain → week
Currently, the midterm measuring stick shows Democrats capturing over 51 percent of the support compared to Republicans at 43 percent.
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Democrats → show → percent
The roughly eight-point edge underscores that last-minute changes in heart in traditionally red areas are making the midterms more competitive than they were just weeks ago.
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they → underscore → areas
Across the map, from Alaska to Texas and as far as Maine, Republicans appear underwater.
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Republicans → appear → Maine
Democrats Mary Peltola, James Talarico and Troy Jackson all hold leads over their Republican opponents in the latest surveys, though many are within the margin of error, meaning the races could go either way.
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races → hold → error
Democrats hold a 92 percent chance of winning the House of Representatives and a 70 percent chance of winning the Senate, prediction market data from Kalshi reveals.
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data → hold → Kalshi
Republicans and Trump are down in national polling averages, indicating that Democrats could sweep to power in Washington next week
As endangered Republicans look to Trump for support, he has been crisscrossing the nation, holding rallies to bolster the chances of GOP candidates across the board.
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he → indicate → board
On Friday, Trump will head to a rally in deep-red Daytona Beach, Florida, an area the president won by over 20 points in 2024.
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president → head → 2024
He will be joined by gubernatorial candidate Congressman Byron Donalds, who is facing off against Democrat David Jolly, who trails the lawmaker by just a few points.
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who → join → points
The president has been making campaign stops solely in ruby red districts and has forgone the more contested areas.
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president → make → areas
Even while visiting swing states such as Ohio, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and more recent additions Kansas and Iowa, the president has opted to visit Republican strongholds while eschewing purple swing districts.
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president → visit → districts
The strategy indicates that he is prioritizing areas where Republicans are on defense, rather than going on offense selling his MAGA message to independents.
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Republicans → indicate → independents
As the races come down to the wire, Trump's campaign schedule has been tumultuous with cancelations and rescheduling.
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schedule → come → cancelations
Earlier this week, the president canceled two stops scheduled for Saturday in Iowa and Kansas.
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president → cancel → Iowa
Republican Senator Roger Marshall is down several points to his Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton in several polls released on Friday
A Washington Post survey published Friday shows Hamilton with a 10-point lead over Marshall
As the Senate race in Kansas has narrowed, a new Emerson poll published Friday shows incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall behind his Democratic opponent Adam Hamilton by three points.
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poll → release → points
A more devastating survey was published by the Washington Post the same day, showing Hamilton with a massive 10-point lead.
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survey → publish → lead
A Democrat has not won a US Senate seat in Kansas since the 1930s, but this cycle the tide seems as though it is changing.
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it → win → 1930s
That blue wave could also make landfall in Texas, where the state's Attorney General Ken Paxton - a candidate hand-selected by Trump - is behind Democrat James Talarico in prediction market data and recent polling.
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Paxton → make → data
The Lone Star State has long been a GOP stronghold, but cracks in the MAGA base have appeared in even the seemingly most Republican areas.
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cracks → appear → areas
The Aporia
