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Over 40% of names on DOJ list of alleged noncitizens are not on Calif. voter rolls, analysis finds

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Riccardi, N. (2026, October 31). Over 40% of names on DOJ list of alleged noncitizens are not on Calif. voter rolls, analysis finds. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/world/united-states/more-than-40-of-names-on-doj-list-of-alleged-noncitizens-not-on-california-s-voter-rolls-analysis/article_83206775-37bf-594c-bbc0-4f5e0a401597.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Toronto Star · collected 2026-10-31 · by Nicholas Riccardi

Quick Summary

A legal filing by an immigrant-rights group claims that over 42% of names on a Department of Justice list, marking them as potential noncitizen voters in California, do not appear on the state’s voter rolls. The analysis also reveals thousands of U.S. citizens are incorrectly flagged as ineligible to vote. This first outside assessment challenges the DOJ's demand for election officials to segregate ballots from these individuals and highlights significant errors within the list, arguing it endangers eligible voters.
Written by AI on 2026-11-01, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On October 31, 2026, an analysis by two UCLA data scientists found that more than 40% of the names on the Department of Justice list of alleged noncitizen voters in California are not present on the state’s voter rolls. The list, containing over 20,930 names, was provided to election officials by the Trump administration and has been challenged as unconstitutional by multiple judges. The analysis also revealed that thousands of U.S. citizens appear on the government's list as ineligible voters, raising significant concerns about potential voting rights violations. This finding comes amid the final days before critical midterm elections in the United States, where control over key state and federal offices is at stake.

Written for “DOJ List Questions Trump Claims” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 DOJ List Questions Trump Claims
Politics · 4 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 13% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Independent
⚖️ Leans strongly left Hedges 1 of 11 claims Outlet record 59/100
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 34 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the broader issue involving voter rolls and mail-in ballots in California; Article A focuses on a court ruling against blocking ballots, while Article B discusses an analysis of a list of alleged noncitizens flagged by the DOJ.”
Fox News
Hedges 5 of 28 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A discusses noncitizens registered to vote in Washington state, while Article B focuses on an analysis of a DOJ list related to possible noncitizen voters in California.”
New York Post
⚖️ Leans strongly right Hedges 2 of 35 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A describes a specific incident where someone registered their dog to vote, while Article B discusses an analysis of a DOJ list regarding potential noncitizen voters in California.”
NBC News
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 2 of 19 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A describes the DOJ issuing subpoenas to local election officials as part of their investigation into noncitizen voting in California, while Article B discusses an analysis by immigrant-rights groups and data analysts that questions the accuracy of the DOJ's list of alleged noncitizens.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 24 claims Outlet record 60/100
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 18 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss the DOJ's list of alleged noncitizens in California, Article A reports on a judge rejecting an initial bid by the Justice Department to block votes, while Article B presents an analysis questioning the accuracy of the same list. They describe different aspects and do not cover the exact same incident.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 3 of 11 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A reports on the issuance of subpoenas by Trump DOJ to investigate noncitizen voting in California, while Article B discusses an analysis finding many names on the DOJ's list are not actual voters.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 3 of 14 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe related events but different occurrences: one is about a lawsuit filed to block an initiative, and the other reports on an analysis of a list used by the DOJ.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
30
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
13%
4 of 30 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
64/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
4
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-01 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Toronto Star · 10939 article(s) · 28 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 28 correction(s)
2026-10-26
Correction
2026-10-24
Correction
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Nicholas Riccardi
16 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 It also found at least 22 are U.S. citizens, and many more may correspond to those of confirmed citizens.
🔮 It also found at least 22 are U.S. citizens and many more may correspond to those of confirmed citizens.
🔮 In Alaska, Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan is facing three other challengers on the state’s final ballot in a race that could determine control of the Senate — Democrat Mary Peltola, who was previously the state’s lone House member, and two candidates who have barely campaigned, including a retired school teacher named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. Alaska Republicans have long suspected the second Sullivan of being a Democratic plant, and the Trump administration took the unusual step last week of suing to prevent certification of a possible Peltola victory until it could be determined if voters were confused. The New York Times this week reported that internal campaign texts and communications showed the Peltola campaign recruited the second Sullivan, leading the president to call for the Democrat’s prosecution and his Justice Department to issue a flurry of subpoenas in a criminal investigation.
🔮 While Trump maintains some support for his handling of the border, polling shows voters disapprove of his approach to immigration, a striking turnaround that could undermine Republican attempts to maintain control of Congress in the midterms.
🔮 The Democratic campaign for Alaska’s U.S. Senate seat was involved in efforts to place on the ballot a candidate with the same name as Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan in a bid to confuse voters in a race that could determine which party controls the chamber, The New York Times reported Wednesday.
🔮 “The least competitive election of our lifetimes will lead to the least accountable and least representative Congress of our lifetimes.”
🔮 Now, many like Martinez are souring on the president and his party, which could upend the balance of power in Washington in the Nov. 3 elections.
🔮 In Iowa's 2nd district, a region dominated by swine farming, Lindsay James faced scrutiny for supporting "meatless May" in a 2020 Facebook post.
🔮 Republicans have gone after two other Democratic House candidates on meat — hammering Lindsay James in Iowa’s 2nd district, an area filled with hog farms, for supporting “meatless May” in a 2020 Facebook post, and Amish Shah in Arizona’s 1st district for his longstanding vegetarianism and animal rights activism.
🔮 The registered Republican and 28-year Air Force veteran was doing something he never expected to do — attending a party for a Democratic congressional candidate.
Also by Nicholas Riccardi
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 16 articles by Nicholas Riccardi →

Topics

California U.S. WASHINGTON the Department of Justice the Trump administration

Subjects

California GPE · 8× Trump PERSON · 6× CHIRLA ORG · 2× The Justice Department ORG · 2× U.S. GPE · 2× UCLA ORG · 2× WASHINGTON GPE · 2× the Department of Justice ORG · 1× the Trump administration ORG · 1× the University of California, Los Angeles ORG · 1×

Narrative

Election officials say they have no time to investigate Election officials have complained that the Trump administration has confronted them with lists of possible illegal voters at the last minute before Election Day, with no time to conduct the painstaking investigation required by law before removing someone from the rolls. Multiple lawsuits have been filed to stop the administration from continuing to threaten local election officials. On Friday, a federal judge in California ordered the Justice Department to stop sending demands to state officials, a decision the Trump administration appealed Saturday.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-01
🔮 It also found at least 22 are U.S. citizens, and many more may correspond to those of confirmed citizens.

Claims (30 extracted, 4 hedged)

WASHINGTON (AP) — More than 4 in 10 names flagged as possible noncitizen voters in California by the Trump administration cannot be found on the state’s voter rolls, according to a legal filing Saturday by an immigrant-rights group. uncertain
names → flag → group
It’s the first outside analysis of a list that the Department of Justice has used to threaten prosecution of election officials. asserted
Department → ’ → officials
The analysis also found that thousands of U.S. citizens appear to be flagged as ineligible to vote on the government’s list. asserted
thousands → find → list
The contention was made in a filing by two data analysts at the University of California, Los Angeles. asserted
contention → make → California
They analyzed the 20,930 names that the department demanded that California election officials treat as possible illegal voters by separating their ballots during the vote count on Election Day. asserted
officials → analyze → Day
Multiple judges have rejected the demand as unconstitutional and a threat to democracy, and local and state officials have said the list appears riddled with errors. asserted
list → reject → errors
Court filing outlines problems with government list The breadth of the problems with the list was outlined in Saturday’s filing. asserted
breadth → outline → filing
It describes an analysis by two members of UCLA’s Voting Rights Project, who filed a lawsuit challenging it with the Los Angeles-based Coalition for Humane Immigrant Rights, or CHIRLA. asserted
who → describe → Rights
The research found that 8,880 of the names, representing 42% of the entire list, do not correspond to anyone in California’s current voter file. asserted
8,880 → find → file
It also found at least 22 are U.S. citizens, and many more may correspond to those of confirmed citizens. uncertain
more → find → citizens
“The expert analysis further makes clear that the mandated voter list endangers a significant number of eligible California voter,” said the filing, which was cosigned by Xavier Becerra, the Democratic candidate for California governor and an adviser to the UCLA Voting Rights Project. asserted
which → make → Project
The Trump administration had objected to sharing the list, calling it a “fishing expedition” and noting that it included sensitive information. asserted
it → object → information
On Saturday, President Donald Trump bemoaned the legal rulings against his effort to force California to separate votes from the individuals his administration labels suspected noncitizens, even though one came from a judge he himself nominated. asserted
he → bemoan → judge
In a social media post, Trump claimed his Justice Department found “20,000, but potentially Hundreds of Thousands, and maybe even Millions,” of fraudulent votes, “and the Court has just ruled against it. asserted
Court → claim → it
Why would they reject fixing Election Fraud?” asserted
they → reject → Fraud
The Trump administration has also urged Washington state to remove what it says were 400 possible noncitizens on its rolls, though state election officials there say that list is also unreliable and includes one voter who cast ballots in the 1990s. asserted
who → urge → 1990s
The Justice Department has also warned California election officials they could face criminal liability if they let noncitizens vote and issued subpoenas of election offices there. uncertain
noncitizens → warn → offices
Election officials say they have no time to investigate Election officials have complained that the Trump administration has confronted them with lists of possible illegal voters at the last minute before Election Day, with no time to conduct the painstaking investigation required by law before removing someone from the rolls. Multiple lawsuits have been filed to stop the administration from continuing to threaten local election officials. On Friday, a federal judge in California ordered the Justice Department to stop sending demands to state officials, a decision the Trump administration appealed Saturday. asserted
administration → say → officials
Several counties in the state had run quick checks of the Trump list and found numerous errors. asserted
counties → run → errors
Saturday’s broader analysis was possible because a federal judge on Friday ordered the Trump administration to share the list with the plaintiffs in the case. asserted
judge → order → case
CHIRLA and the UCLA project sued the Homeland Security Department in early October to prevent it from using federal immigration data to challenge state voter rolls. asserted
CHIRLA → sue → rolls
The lawsuit cited examples in other states where the federal government’s data has been proven to mistakenly include thousands of citizens. asserted
data → cite → citizens
Case argues that government’s methods pose risk to voting The case argued that the data-matching methods risk disenfranchising or deterring citizens from voting. asserted
methods → argue → citizens
On top of that, plaintiffs argued, the lists could disproportionately target naturalized citizens who are legally entitled to vote. uncertain
who → argue → citizens
Applying the government’s methodology, the UCLA researchers found that nearly 7,500 naturalized citizens in the state were “highly likely” to be incorrectly flagged as ineligible. asserted
citizens → apply → state
The researchers noted that the administration apparently removed the voter identification number from the names, making it harder for election officials to determine whether the flagged individuals were already on their rolls or were duplicates in the Justice Department list. asserted
individuals → note → list
They described the voter ID number as the most crucial data point. asserted
They → describe → point
The Justice Department argues that there is just as much to lose if the ballots aren’t separated. asserted
ballots → argue → ?
“Every ballot cast by an ineligible voter cancels out the vote of an American citizen,” Kiersten V. Pels, a spokesperson for the department, wrote in an email. asserted
Pels → cast → email
“The Department makes no apology for protecting those votes.” asserted
Department → make → votes
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