Claims extracted
18
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
39%
7 of 18 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
69/100
Washington Examiner's corrections and
hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
123
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Democrats are trying to take over both chambers, and voters are deciding competitive races from Maine all the way to Alaska today.
asserted
voters → try → Alaska
But that doesn’t mean you need to stay up late to know the headline results.
asserted
you → mean → results
Shortly after 9 p.m. Eastern, enough races might be settled in the Democrats’ favor to guarantee they will control both chambers.
uncertain
they → settle → chambers
Yes, 13 states will still have polls open until 10 p.m. or later, but the Senate and House maps are such that the late-closing races might all be foregone conclusions or icing on a Democratic cake — and I’m not even talking about a generational tsunami here.
uncertain
I → have → tsunami
Without any great upsets — taking only the Senate races that the Cook Political Report rates as favoring Democrats or as toss-ups — the Dems can lock up 51 seats just from states whose polls close at 9 p.m. or earlier.
asserted
polls → take → p.m.
Democrats start with 34 senators not up for reelection.
asserted
Democrats → start → reelection
Add in the nine “Solid D” races, and the Dems are at 43.
asserted
Dems → add → 43
Then Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) is very likely to be declared the victor just after 7 p.m., as is former Gov. Roy Cooper (D-NC) shortly after polls close there at 7:30 p.m.
asserted
polls → declare → p.m.
That would put Dems at 45.
asserted
That → put → 45
Also after 7:30 p.m., we’ll learn the fate of former Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown, who leads in most polls and could become Democratic senator No. 46.
uncertain
who → learn → polls
Polls in Maine and most of Kansas, both rated as toss-ups by Cook Political Report, close at 8 p.m., as do the last polls in New Hampshire, which the newsletter rates as “lean Democratic.”
asserted
newsletter → rat → Democratic
So even without any major upsets, the Democrats could have 49 Senate seats in hand before 9 p.m.
uncertain
Democrats → have → p.m.
Then, at 9 p.m., the last polls close in Michigan, and polls close in Minnesota.
asserted
polls → close → Minnesota
Cook Political Report rates both races as “lean Democratic,” and Nate Silver puts the chances of a Democratic win at 87% and 92%, respectively.
asserted
Silver → rat → %
That is, these races might not be terribly close, so Abdul el Sayed in Michigan and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota may be declared the winners right after 9 p.m.
Those two wins could give Democrats 51 seats.
In Oregon, polls — ballot drop-off locations, really — will still be open until 11 p.m., so networks might not call it a Democratic takeover until Democrats grab another seat, such as state Rep. James Talarico winning in Texas.
uncertain
Talarico → declare → Texas
And, of course, later in the night, Democrats could be declared winners in tighter races, such as Nebraska or South Carolina, and in Alaska, where polls close much later.
uncertain
polls → declare → Alaska
But there’s a very good chance those pickups would pad the Dem majority rather than make it.
asserted
pickups → ’ → it
So if you live in the Eastern time zone and all you want to know is who will control the Senate, you might be in bed before the clock strikes 10.
uncertain
clock → live → 10
The Aporia
