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The blame game: How the US midterm shock is shaping Israel’s race for PM

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Cite

Cordall, S. S. (2026, November 5). The blame game: How the US midterm shock is shaping Israel’s race for PM. Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/5/the-blame-game-how-the-us-midterm-shock-is-shaping-israels-race-for-pm?traffic_source=rss

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Al Jazeera · collected 2026-11-05 · by Simon Speakman Cordall

Quick Summary

The article discusses how US midterm election results are affecting Israel's political landscape, particularly in the context of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's leadership. After Trump's Republican Party performed poorly in the midterms, opposition leaders in Israel have blamed Netanyahu for making the country politically toxic in the United States. Yair Lapid and Avigdor Lieberman, among others, argue that Netanyahu’s endorsement by Trump came at a cost, with potential cuts to US military aid valued at $3.8 billion annually. This shift is causing concern among Israelis about future support from their key ally.
Written by AI on 2026-11-05, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's claim to being the key maintainer of strong ties between Israel and the United States has been weakened by the poor performance of President Donald Trump's Republican Party in the 2026 US midterm elections. Early analysis suggests that the war with Iran and the US-Israel relationship were significant factors in the Republicans' loss. This shift challenges Netanyahu’s narrative, as evidenced by statements from Vice President JD Vance highlighting these issues. The election outcome has also affected Israeli politics, prompting criticism of Netanyahu from the opposition, who accuse him of damaging Israel's interests.

Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu’s longtime ultra-Orthodox ally United Torah Judaism (UTJ), and US President Donald Trump are central figures in this political landscape. UTJ declined for the first time since 2009 to recommend Netanyahu or anyone else to form a government, weakening his position and signaling a potential shift in Israeli politics.

Written for “US Midterm Results Influence Israeli Politics” on 2026-11-06, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans strongly left (beta estimate) Confidence high 3 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans strongly left for article 132577 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-11-05

Story

📰 US Midterm Results Influence Israeli Politics
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 6% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 9 of 44 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Israel's political situation without focusing on a single specific incident.”
The Dispatch
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Israeli politics and its relation to US midterm elections but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
It’s Gaza, stupid Different event
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans strongly left Hedges 1 of 47 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of political outcomes related to the US midterm elections and their impact on Israel's politics, but do not describe the exact same incident or occurrence.”
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 2 of 35 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Israel's political situation and do not describe the same specific incident.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans strongly left Hedges 0 of 22 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A discusses Israeli opposition politicians' response to Democrats winning US Congress, while Article B analyzes Netanyahu's perception and Trump's endorsement in relation to the war with Iran and Republicans losing midterms.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
32
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
6%
2 of 32 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
60/100
Al Jazeera's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-05 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Al Jazeera · 5042 article(s) · 4 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 4 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Simon Speakman Cordall
19 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has long sold himself as the leader who will ensure that ties with the United States, the country’s most important ally, remain strong.
🔮 The survey indicated that Washington’s close relationship with Tel Aviv had become more of a liability than an asset for many in the electorate, Telhami noted, “with most saying specifically Israel would be a factor in their vote.
2026-11-04 · assertive framing · Netanyahu bet on Trump – but both lost
🔮 Recommended Stories list of 4 items- list 1 of 4Israel election: When will government be formed, who will lead it? - list 2 of 4Israeli officials say results stand as Netanyahu claims election ‘stolen’ - list 3 of 4The future of the Palestinian vote in Israel - list 4 of 4Arab parties back Eisenkot: What’s the latest in Israel’s coalition talks?
🔮 Recommended Stories list of 4 items- list 1 of 4Israel election result shows no overall majority as vote count complete - list 2 of 4‘Arab voice doesn’t count’: Jewish Israeli blocs reject Palestinian support - list 3 of 4Coalition wrangling, a second election: How Israel could break the deadlock - list 4 of 4Why is Netanyahu accusing Palestinian Israeli parties of fraud?
🔮 What is not in doubt, however, is the surge in turnout from Palestinian citizens of Israel, which has established Arab parties as a pivotal bloc in the parliament, potentially one able to determine which of the rival camps forms a government, if either is willing to work with them.
🔮 With Israel’s governing and opposition blocs failing to secure a majority in Israel’s election, and neither appearing ready to ally with Arab parties that could allow them to form a coalition, speculation is growing over the future shape of the government.
🔮 Recommended Stories list of 4 items- list 1 of 4The kingmakers who could determine Israel’s election - list 2 of 4In Israel election, Palestinian citizens weigh fear against disillusionment - list 3 of 4Israel preparing full lockdown of occupied West Bank after Hebron gunfight - list 4 of 4Ultra
🔮 Together, the two parties representing the Palestinian citizens of Israel, who make up about 20 percent of the population, are projected to win 13 seats.
2026-10-19 · assertive framing · The kingmakers who could determine Israel’s election
🔮 However, whether they offer meaningful change in substance as well as style, or which one of them might lead a future coalition, remains open to question.
2026-10-17 · assertive framing · The Israeli politicians seeking to replace Netanyahu
🔮 Dogged by corruption cases dating back to 2019, which could see him serve time in prison if convicted, he has been locked in a confrontation with the same legal establishment attempting to hold him to account.
Also by Simon Speakman Cordall
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 19 articles by Simon Speakman Cordall →

Topics

4Israel Gaza Iran Israel Israelis

Subjects

Israel GPE · 11× Netanyahu PERSON · 10× Arab NORP · 3× Eisenkot PERSON · 3× Iran GPE · 3× Israeli NORP · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× 4Israel GPE · 2× Gaza GPE · 2× Israelis NORP · 2×

Narrative

Eisenkot’s prospects were boosted further on Thursday when United Torah Judaism (UTJ), Netanyahu’s longtime ultra-Orthodox ally, declined for the first time since 2009 to recommend him or anyone else to form a government, an apparent defection that weakens the prime minister’s position while giving a boost to his opponents.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-05
🔮 Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has long sold himself as the leader who will ensure that ties with the United States, the country’s most important ally, remain strong.

Claims (32 extracted, 2 hedged)

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has long sold himself as the leader who will ensure that ties with the United States, the country’s most important ally, remain strong. asserted
ties → sell → States
The endorsement he received in the run-up to Israel’s parliamentary elections last month from US President Donald Trump added to that perception, in the same year as Washington and Tel Aviv jointly went to war against Iran. asserted
Washington → receive → Iran
Then came the US midterm elections, and the disastrous performance of Trump’s Republican Party. asserted
elections → come → Party
Early analysis of why the Republicans lost so badly has in part focused on that war with Iran, and the United States’s relationship with Israel. asserted
Republicans → lose → Israel
Both were highlighted by US Vice President JD Vance. asserted
Both → highlight → Vance
’s Herzog accepts vote results, opens talks on forming a government - list 3 of asserted
Herzog → accept → government
4Israel’s opposition slams ‘toxic Netanyahu’ after Democrats win US Congress - list 4 of 4Iran, Gaza, Ukraine: What will US midterm results mean for these conflicts? asserted
results → slam → conflicts
Suddenly, Netanyahu’s argument that he is the US-Israel relationship’s secret sauce looks much weaker. asserted
he → look → ?
If anything, it can be argued that Netanyahu, and his policies – resulting in a genocidal war in Gaza, the Iran war, and numerous attacks in the wider region – have made Israel politically toxic in the US. asserted
Israel → argue → US
Many Israelis are now worried that the country can no longer rely on unquestioned support from the US. asserted
country → worry → US
And as Israel’s political leaders jockey to try and form a government following the parliamentary elections, the opposition has laid the blame squarely at Netanyahu’s feet, and argued that it is another reason he should not be allowed to form the next government. asserted
he → jockey → government
Yair Lapid, a former Israeli prime minister whose party is a member of the bloc seeking to unseat Netanyahu, stressed his own ties to members of the US Congress in a social media post. asserted
party → seek → post
He added that he believed US voters were not so much against Israel as “against extremist ministers who say crazy things. asserted
who → add → things
They’re against settler violence; they’re against a government they don’t understand; they’re mainly against Netanyahu — for them, anything connected to him is toxic”. asserted
anything → ’re → him
Avigdor Lieberman, another opposition leader, echoed what many in Israel are said to suspect: that Trump’s election-day announcement that US military aid to Israel would end had been traded for his endorsement of the prime minister. asserted
aid → echo → minister
“The price of Trump’s support for Netanyahu – $3.8bn dollars a year,” Lieberman wrote on social media. asserted
Lieberman → write → media
“With America stopping the money it has channelled to Israel for so many years, the defence budget, already 7 percent of GDP, will have to rise. asserted
budget → stop → GDP
Israelis will feel it in their pocket. asserted
Israelis → feel → pocket
But then, you can’t be a rogue state and expect things to continue as before,” Ahron Bregman, an Israeli security analyst and senior teaching fellow at King’s College London, said. asserted
Bregman → expect → London
“In Israel, Netanyahu continues to do what he has always done so well, turning one segment of the population against the other. asserted
he → continue → other
He’s now trying to delegitimise the Arabs by saying they stole the elections, in order to stop the opposition having the Arabs as partners. asserted
opposition → try → partners
No substantial change Israel’s general election on October 27 left Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc with 53 seats in parliament, eight short of the 61 needed to form a government. asserted
election → leave → government
The opposition bloc led by former army chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot got 48 seats, while the Arab-led parties – the United Arab List (Ra’am) and the Joint List – have 19 seats. asserted
parties → lead → seats
The Arab-led parties have both said that they will support Eisenkot for prime minister. asserted
they → lead → minister
Eisenkot and other opposition leaders have rejected suggestions of a unity government with Netanyahu, leaving him without a clear path to a majority. It is now up to Israeli President Isaac Herzog to nominate a politician to form a government, but he has yet to do so. asserted
he → reject → government
As things stand, Eisenkot’s self-styled Zionist bloc, which has previously ruled out serving alongside the Arab-led parties, stands to benefit from their backing from outside the government, despite Netanyahu’s attacks. asserted
which → stand → attacks
Eisenkot’s prospects were boosted further on Thursday when United Torah Judaism (UTJ), Netanyahu’s longtime ultra-Orthodox ally, declined for the first time since 2009 to recommend him or anyone else to form a government, an apparent defection that weakens the prime minister’s position while giving a boost to his opponents. asserted
that → boost → opponents
But Eisenkot replacing Netanyahu as Israel’s prime minister does not necessarily mean that he will be able to reverse Israel’s declining popularity in the US. asserted
he → replace → US
An April Pew Research Center poll suggested that public attitudes in the US are as negative towards Israel as they are towards Netanyahu, noted pollster Shibley Telhami, the director of the University of Maryland Critical Issues Poll. uncertain
Telhami → suggest → Poll
“Our own poll found that most Americans would not change their view of Israel, even if there is a new government without Netanyahu,” said Telhami. asserted
Telhami → find → Netanyahu
“Any government of Israel would be swimming against the rising public tide … asserted
government → swim → tide
I don’t think any government of Israel could return relations back to where they were five years ago.” uncertain
they → think → relations
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