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Former enemies form alliance to overthrow Ethiopia's Abiy Ahmed

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Cite

Brezar, A. (2026, September 21). Former enemies form alliance to overthrow Ethiopia's Abiy Ahmed. Euronews. https://www.euronews.com/2026/09/21/former-enemies-form-alliance-to-overthrow-ethiopias-abiy-ahmed

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Euronews · collected 2026-09-21 · by Aleksandar Brezar

Quick Summary

Opposing factions in Ethiopia’s Tigray war, including the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), Amhara Fano militias, and the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), have formed a seven-group military alliance to overthrow Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and establish a transitional government. This unexpected collaboration follows months of tensions between these groups and the federal government, raising concerns about potential further conflict in a country already scarred by war that has caused up to 600,000 deaths.
Written by AI on 2026-09-21, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On Sunday, seven Ethiopian armed groups announced the formation of an alliance called the Alliance for Survival (AFS) to overthrow Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government and establish a transitional administration. The coalition includes major factions like the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), and Amhara Fano National Movement, along with four smaller groups from Ogaden, Afar, and Benishangul-Gumuz regions.

These groups accuse Abiy’s government of causing war, genocide, mass destruction, and poverty. They warn that Ethiopia is at risk of disintegration due to ongoing conflicts in Oromia, Amhara, and Tigray since 2018, which have left hundreds of thousands dead or displaced. The alliance members previously fought on opposing sides during the two-year civil war in Tigray but claim they have coordinated for over a year to achieve their common goal.

Federal authorities have not yet commented on this development, though it raises concerns about a potential return to full-scale conflict after an African Union peace deal ended hostilities in 2022.

Written for “Ethiopian Rebel Alliance Forms” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Ethiopian Rebel Alliance Forms
Politics · 3 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 13% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 21 claims Outlet record 60/100
BBC News
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 15 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Straits Times
Hedges 0 of 13 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A describes an alliance formation among former rivals to overthrow the government, while Article B reports on the actual outbreak of new fighting and declaration of war by Tigrayan leaders.”
BBC News
Hedges 3 of 21 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses an alliance formed by opposing groups aiming to overthrow Abiy Ahmed's government, while Article B reports on Tigray forces seizing the main airport in Mekelle from federal police, indicating a separate but related incident.”
Al Jazeera
Hedges 0 of 1 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The first article describes an alliance formation between rival groups aimed at overthrowing Abiy Ahmed's government, while the second article reports on a subsequent offensive launched by Tigray rebels and their allies against government positions.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Centre Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A describes the formation of a military alliance, while Article B reports on an offensive and seizure of airports following that alliance's creation.”
Dawn
Hedges 2 of 20 claims Outlet record 72/100
“While both articles discuss conflicts in Ethiopia involving Tigray rebels and federal forces, they describe different stages of the conflict occurring at separate times.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 12 of 66 claims Outlet record 60/100
“While both articles discuss the formation of a rebel alliance against Abiy Ahmed's government, Article A describes the specific announcement and coordination among former opposing groups, whereas Article B provides a broader context and analysis on the recurring pattern of violence in Ethiopia.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 9 of 33 claims Outlet record 64/100
“While both articles mention alliances and renewed conflict in Ethiopia, they describe different stages or contexts of the ongoing situation rather than a single specific incident.”
BBC News
Hedges 6 of 58 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A describes an alliance formation between former enemies to overthrow the government, while Article B reports on actual fighting breaking out in Tigray.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
31
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
13%
4 of 31 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
60/100
Euronews's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
3
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-21 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Euronews · 1202 article(s) · 1 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 1 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Aleksandar Brezar
22 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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🔮 "Its crucial trade and supply corridor through Djibouti remains open, while government forces have regained ground in and around Sekota in Wag Hamera zone and Alamata in Southern Tigray zone." “The TPLF’s advance in collaboration with Ugugumo into Afar could change that calculation if it threatens the Semera-Djibouti route," Dr Jalale said.
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Also by Aleksandar Brezar
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 22 articles by Aleksandar Brezar →

Topics

Amhara Fano TPLF Tigray the Oromo Liberation Army

Subjects

TPLF ORG · 7× Amhara GPE · 6× Fano ORG · 5× Ethiopia GPE · 4× Gambella GPE · 3× MSF ORG · 3× Tigray GPE · 3× Amanuel PERSON · 2× OLA ORG · 2× the Oromo Liberation Army ORG · 2×

Narrative

Forces that fought on opposing sides in Ethiopia's Tigray war have joined a seven-group military alliance to overthrow Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government and install a transitional administration, the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) said on Sunday.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-21
🔮 "We think we will be successful, we have been talking with each other for more than a year," said Amanuel.
2026-09-21 · Euronews
Former enemies form alliance to overthrow Ethiopia's Abiy Ahmed · assertive framing

Claims (31 extracted, 4 hedged)

The TPLF, Amhara's Fano militias and the Oromo Liberation Army — groups that fought on opposing sides in the Tigray war — said they had been coordinating for more than a year and aimed to install a transitional government. asserted
they → fight → government
Forces that fought on opposing sides in Ethiopia's Tigray war have joined a seven-group military alliance to overthrow Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government and install a transitional administration, the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) said on Sunday. asserted
Front → fight → Sunday
Both the government and the TPLF have massed troops along the border of the northern state in recent months, according to the African Union, fuelling fears of a return to the war that killed up to 600,000 people. uncertain
that → mass → people
"We just formed an alliance, we are collaborating with several groups and our objectives are to remove the regime and facilitating a transitional government," said TPLF Vice President Amanuel Assefa. asserted
Assefa → form → government
The groups involved are Tigrayan forces, Amhara nationalist Fano militias and the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), together with four groups from three other regions, making up half of the country's 12 regional states. asserted
groups → involve → states
"We think we will be successful, we have been talking with each other for more than a year," said Amanuel. asserted
Amanuel → think → year
Fano leader Zemene Kasse will chair the alliance, he added. asserted
he → chair → alliance
Abiy, who won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2019 partly for brokering a peace agreement with neighbouring Eritrea, has faced mounting armed opposition since 2023 as the post-war settlement unravelled. asserted
settlement → win → 2023
The Tigray war began in November 2020 when federal forces moved against the TPLF, which had dominated Ethiopian politics for three decades before Abiy came to power in 2018. asserted
Abiy → begin → 2018
The two sides signed the Pretoria Agreement in November 2022 to end the two-year war. asserted
sides → sign → war
According to the deal, the TPLF was to demobilise its forces and refrain from military mobilisation. uncertain
TPLF → accord → mobilisation
The TPLF did not demobilise. asserted
TPLF → demobilise → ?
It also unilaterally reinstated its pre-war regional council in May of this year, effectively voiding the agreement. uncertain
It → reinstate → agreement
Kjetil Tronvoll, professor of peace and conflict studies at Oslo New University College in Norway, cast doubt on the alliance's effort to overthrow the federal government, which possesses numerous drones. asserted
which → cast → drones
"I am not sure they will be able to sustain such a war," Tronvoll said. asserted
Tronvoll → sustain → war
"If they coordinate as a military command, it may make a difference, it is a potential four to five fronts that the government will have to deal with, it might be a challenge," he added. uncertain
he → coordinate → that
Ethiopia has been plagued by armed conflicts in its two most populous regions, Oromia and Amhara. asserted
Ethiopia → plague → regions
Federal forces have been fighting the OLA, which the government has designated a "terrorist organisation", since 2018 in central Oromia. asserted
government → fight → Oromia
The Fano, "self-defence" militias of the Amhara ethnic group, took up arms against the government in April 2023 after federal authorities moved to disarm them. asserted
authorities → take → them
Despite Sunday's announcement, doubts remain over an alliance between groups that espouse different ideologies and have clashed in the past. asserted
that → remain → past
Fano fought alongside Ethiopian federal forces during the Tigray war. asserted
Fano → fight → war
The groups also have territorial disputes. asserted
groups → have → disputes
Amhara nationalists have administered Western Tigray, a contested area between Amhara and Tigray, since the end of the war. asserted
nationalists → administer → war
"We will sit at the table later to solve our problems peacefully," Amanuel said. asserted
Amanuel → sit → problems
Further violence hits Gambella region asserted
violence → hit → region
Meanwhile, Doctors Without Borders (MSF) announced that at least 12 people have been killed and dozens injured as a result of a separate conflict in western Ethiopia near the border with South Sudan. asserted
dozens → announce → Sudan
Clashes are frequent in the Gambella region, home to more than 400,000 refugees, most of them South Sudanese who have fled violence in the world's youngest country. asserted
who → flee → country
"MSF teams at Kule health centre in Ethiopia's Gambella region have been responding to an influx of wounded patients following violence in Itang Special Woreda on 18 September," the medical charity said in a statement on Sunday. asserted
charity → respond → Sunday
MSF said it had received 88 patients from Friday's clashes, including eight who were already dead and four who died upon arrival. asserted
who → say → arrival
"We call on all those involved to exercise restraint and protect civilians from further violence," said MSF's operations manager in Ethiopia, Gul Badshah. asserted
manager → call → Ethiopia
A 2025 Rift Valley Institute report attributed the rise in conflict in Gambella to economic crisis and an influx of refugees. asserted
report → attribute → refugees
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