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Wokest LA mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman opens up huge lead over Karen Bass in latest poll, with just weeks until election day

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Force, E. (2026, September 23). Wokest LA mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman opens up huge lead over Karen Bass in latest poll, with just weeks until election day. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16154679/LA-candidate-Nithya-Raman-huge-lead-Karen-Bass-poll-mayor-election.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-09-23 · by Eliot Force

Quick Summary

A recent poll conducted by UC Berkeley and co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times shows that far-left mayoral candidate Nithya Raman is leading incumbent Mayor Karen Bass with 39 percent support among likely voters, compared to Bass’s 28 percent. The survey, which polled 2,150 people online from September 15-20, also revealed a significant number of undecided voters at 33 percent. This poll comes amid accusations by the Los Angeles Police Protective League that Raman plans to implement socialist policies including defunding the police and closing jails if elected.
Written by AI on 2026-09-24, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Karen Bass, the incumbent mayor of Los Angeles, is trailing Nithya Raman by 11% in a new poll conducted by the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies and cosponsored by the Los Angeles Times. The survey, which polled 2,150 likely voters online from September 15 to 20, showed that 39% support Raman while 28% back Bass. Notably, about one-third of voters are still undecided, a rare occurrence this close to election day. Mark DiCamillo, director of the Berkeley IGS Poll, noted that such high numbers of undecided voters make it unusual and leaves room for Bass to potentially narrow or even reverse her deficit in the November 3 election. This poll comes amid criticism of Bass's handling of recent devastating fires in Los Angeles that caused billions in damage and killed 31 people.

Written for “LA Mayoral Poll Results” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 LA Mayoral Poll Results
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 16% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 5 of 17 claims Outlet record 70/100
New York Post
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses a new ad campaign targeting Nithya Raman's stance on homelessness, while Article B reports on poll results showing Raman leading in the mayoral race.”
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 18 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Nithya Raman's campaign and views rather than the same specific incident.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 4 of 29 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Nithya Raman's mayoral campaign: one focuses on criticisms from the police union about her policies, while the other reports on a poll showing her leading in the election.”
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 29 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses Nithya Raman's reluctance to confirm her candidacy for mayor and her stance on policies, while Article B reports on a poll showing Raman leading in the mayoral race against Karen Bass.”
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 37 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles cover different aspects of Nithya Raman's political activities and do not describe the same specific incident.”
New York Post
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 1 of 13 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different events: one is about a UC Berkeley and Los Angeles Times poll from mid-September, while the other discusses predictions on Polymarket.”
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 48 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Nithya Raman's campaign for Los Angeles mayor: one focuses on police concerns about her radical agenda, while the other reports on a poll showing her lead over Karen Bass.”
New York Post
Hedges 2 of 12 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the mayoral race (polling and fundraising), indicating distinct events rather than a single occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
31
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
16%
5 of 31 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
68/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-24 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8448 article(s) · 20 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 20 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Eliot Force
60 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 US officials have told several Middle East countries to be prepared for potential renewed military action against Iran after the midterms, as well as the possibility that Iran will attempt to retaliate against them.
🔮 Another resident named Beverly Louis told the outlet: 'I could see, right here, a man bear hugging a woman and dragging her to the back of his truck. '
🔮 Police said that the masked men escaped in an SUV after the horrific shooting but that there was no description of the suspects authorities could provide.
🔮 Morgan asked Zacharia how she responded to Trump saying, 'Was this really for you?' before laying her off, but she refused to answer and said: 'I will keep private conversations between myself and the president confidential.'
🔮 The complaint specifically named Mayor Karen Bass and Councilmember Nithya Raman, who is seeking to unseat Bass and whose district covers the Hollywood sign and surrounding neighborhoods.
🔮 A Cuban diplomat who got into a fiery clash with US diplomats at the United Nations will be expelled from the country.
🔮 A member of the aerial team could be heard saying that Helsel has run away from police before, and 'his MO is to hunker down, whether it be in the water, under a dock or at a stream on the edge and just wait 'till night.'
🔮 'And they both had her body, shaking her, and I couldn't do anything.'
🔮 Oakland's mayor is supporting a ballot measure that would give her office more power and allow the beleaguered city's lawmakers to receive raises in the six figures.
🔮 Mike showed us what service to our students, to our colleagues, and to our university could be and why it matters.'
Also by Eliot Force
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 60 articles by Eliot Force →

Topics

DSA Daily Mail Los Angeles UC Berkeley the Los Angeles Times

Subjects

Raman PERSON · 11× Bass PERSON · 8× DSA ORG · 5× Los Angeles GPE · 3× Nithya Raman PERSON · 3× Saggau PERSON · 3× Karen Bass PERSON · 2× Los Angeles's GPE · 2× UC Berkeley ORG · 2× the Los Angeles Times ORG · 2×

Narrative

In a statement to KTLA, a spokesperson for the incumbent said: 'Our campaign is continuing to do our job: contrasting Mayor Bass' record of delivering results on housing, public safety and neighborhood investment with Nithya Raman's out-of-step views on allowing encampments near schools and failing to show up for her constituents.'
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-24
🔮 - Sign up for our US Editor's Picks newsletter to get all the biggest exclusive stories - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Far-left Los Angeles Mayoral candidate Nithya Raman is showing a huge lead over incumbent Mayor Karen Bass in recent polling.

Claims (31 extracted, 5 hedged)

- Sign up for our US Editor's Picks newsletter to get all the biggest exclusive stories - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source Far-left Los Angeles Mayoral candidate Nithya Raman is showing a huge lead over incumbent Mayor Karen Bass in recent polling. asserted
Raman → sign → polling
The poll, which was conducted by UC Berkeley and co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times, was released Wednesday. asserted
which → conduct → Times
It showed Raman holding an 11 percent lead over her opponent, though a great deal of voters remain undecided. asserted
deal → show → voters
Both candidates are registered as Democrats. asserted
candidates → register → Democrats
Among the 2,150 likely voters surveyed online between September 15 to 20, 39 percent said they would vote for Raman, 28 percent said they would vote for Bass and 33 percent said they were still undecided. Election day is scheduled for November 3, just six weeks from now, and mail-in ballots will open in just two weeks. asserted
ballots → survey → weeks
'It’s extraordinarily unusual to see this many undecided voters at this point in the race,' poll director Mark DiCamillo told the Los Angeles Times. asserted
DiCamillo → ’ → Times
Raman's strong position was revealed just days after Los Angeles's police union accused the candidate of pledging to push socialist policies that would defund the police, close jails and escalate the city's drug problem. asserted
that → reveal → problem
Tom Saggau, spokesman for the Los Angeles Police Protective League (LAPPL), recently told the Daily Mail that voters 'should not be fooled by' the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). asserted
voters → tell → America
Los Angeles Mayoral candidate Nithya Raman (pictured) holds an 11 percent lead over incumbent Mayor Karen Bass, according to a poll released on Wednesday The poll surveyed 2,150 likely voters and found that 28 percent said they would vote for Bass (pictured), while 39 percent said they would vote for Raman A remarkable 33 percent of those polled said they remain undecided, which is unusually high this late in a race. uncertain
which → picture → race
Bass and Raman are pictured debating Saggau accused Raman of pledging to co-govern the city with DSA's LA branch and push its agenda from City Hall, should she be elected. 'Nithya Raman agreed to co-govern with the DSA, and the actual DSA policy demands listed on their website are quite scary,' Saggau said. asserted
Saggau → picture → website
DSA-LA has a laundry list of demands posted on their website, including 'Decommission facilities like Men's Central Jail' and 'Reject efforts to expand domestic anti-terrorism laws that target protestors. asserted
that → have → protestors
' Saggau said Los Angeles voters should not be fooled by DSA activists, who he claims disguise their true intentions and implement additional policies once in power. uncertain
he → say → power
'Seizing private homes, seizing small businesses, defunding and abolishing the police, and allowing dangerous homeless encampments next to schools, daycares and parks,' are just some of the proposals the spokesman referenced. asserted
spokesman → seize → proposals
Worries over Raman's policies paired with Bass's widespread unpopularity in the wake of the devastating 2025 wildfires have likely fueled the remarkably high percentage of undecided voters in the polls. asserted
Worries → pair → polls
According to Wednesday's UC Berkeley poll, the primary election elimination of candidate Spencer Pratt, who ran to the right of Raman and Bass, is linked to the large number of people who remain undecided in the runoff. uncertain
who → accord → runoff
Pratt received 26 percent of the vote in the June 2 primary, and 63 percent of those who voted for him said they still have not chosen between Raman and Bass, the survey found. asserted
survey → receive → Raman
The poll tied the large number of undecided voters to the elimination of candidate Spencer Pratt in the primary. asserted
poll → tie → primary
He ran to the right of Raman and Bass and earned 26 percent of the vote Raman's lead was revealed just days after Los Angeles's police union accused her of pledging to push socialist policies that would defund the police. asserted
that → run → police
LAPD officers are pictured Pratt ran heavily on the incumbent administration's unpopular response to the Palisades fire, which killed 12 people and destroyed more than 4,000 homes. asserted
which → picture → homes
According to the poll, 56 percent of likely voters called Bass's response to the fire 'poor' or 'very poor.' uncertain
percent → accord → fire
The survey also found that just 23 percent of likely voters viewed Bass favorably, while 40 percent viewed Raman favorably. asserted
percent → find → Raman
The candidate led the incumbent among all age groups by varying percentages, though she dominated among those aged 18 to 29, with 66 percent of likely voters in that group favoring Raman. asserted
percent → lead → Raman
Just four percent of voters in that age range said they would vote for Bass. asserted
they → say → Bass
In a statement to KTLA, a spokesperson for the incumbent said: 'Our campaign is continuing to do our job: contrasting Mayor Bass' record of delivering results on housing, public safety and neighborhood investment with Nithya Raman's out-of-step views on allowing encampments near schools and failing to show up for her constituents.' asserted
campaign → say → constituents
The Daily Mail has reached out to Bass's office for further comment regarding the poll's findings. asserted
Mail → reach → findings
A spokesperson for Raman's campaign recently told the Daily Mail: 'Nithya has reduced homeless encampments, RVs and tents by 70% in her district. asserted
Nithya → tell → district
And she voted multiple times to maintain and increase police staffing.' asserted
she → vote → staffing
According to the poll's findings, just 23 percent of likely voters viewed Bass favorably, and 56 percent said her response to the Palisades fire was 'poor' or 'very poor' ' uncertain
response → accord → fire
However, Nithya voted against Mayor Bass' $1 billion raise for the police union because the city couldn't afford it. asserted
city → vote → it
Now, the police union is bankrolling Mayor Bass' campaign with millions of dollars, while the City declared a fiscal emergency, cut essential services, and even eliminated the LAPD's copper wire theft task force. asserted
City → bankroll → force
'As Mayor, Nithya will be fiscally responsible with our tax dollars to support public safety and make LA a city that works.' asserted
that → support → safety
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