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'Australia must have high immigration OR ELSE!': There's a sick lie at the heart of our migration debate. But there is another way: PVO

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Cite

Onselen, P. v. (2026, September 24). 'Australia must have high immigration OR ELSE!': There's a sick lie at the heart of our migration debate. But there is another way: PVO. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16156317/sick-lie-migration-debate-peter-van-onselen-pvo.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Daily Mail · collected 2026-09-24 · by Peter van Onselen

Quick Summary

The article discusses the debate around Australia's immigration policy, criticizing the notion that high levels of immigration are necessary to fill labor shortages and counter an aging population. It cites Immigration Minister Tony Burke’s comments at the National Press Club on September 17 about planned reductions in temporary migration through changes to working holiday visas, while also noting the reflexive opposition from both major parties to significant cuts in immigration rates due to fears of skills shortages. The author argues that importing more migrants does not solve labor issues sustainably and suggests focusing instead on increasing workforce participation among older Australians, currently at about 16%, compared to New Zealand's rate of over 26%.
Written by AI on 2026-09-24, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Peter van Onselen argues in an article that there is a misconception at the heart of Australia's immigration debate. The prevailing view is that high levels of migration are necessary to fill job vacancies and prevent economic downturn due to an aging population, with critics arguing against reducing temporary migrant numbers to pre-COVID levels. However, van Onselen contends this perspective overlooks the potential for utilizing Australians over 65 who may be willing but deterred from continuing paid employment due to policy constraints or social norms. He suggests that New Zealand's approach of not punishing its senior citizens for working could serve as an example for Australia. The article criticizes both Labor and Coalition parties' reflexive support for high immigration levels, asserting it undermines the idea that there are alternative ways to address labor shortages without increasing migration significantly.

Written for “Australian Immigration Debate” on 2026-11-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Australian Immigration Debate
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 5 of 90 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Australia's immigration debate without focusing on a single identical incident.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 46 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of immigration policy debates, with Article A focusing on a GP's criticism in the Farrer electorate and Article B discussing broader critiques of immigration reduction plans.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 2 of 20 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the immigration debate in Australia without reporting on the same specific incident or time.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 38 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of immigration policy and its economic implications, without clearly referring to the exact same specific incident or time.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
46
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
9%
4 of 46 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
69/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-24 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 9453 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Peter van Onselen
25 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 On Wednesday, the Australian tech giant Canva told more than 1,200 staff around the world that they would lose their jobs.
🔮 If the Opposition were remotely united with ready-to-go frontbench talent, it's hard not to think that Labor would be in political trouble.
🔮 Chalmers can use the excuse of 'international pressures' until he's blue in the face, but Australians facing yet another increase in their mortgage repayments are entitled to ask what he will do to fix the situation.
🔮 Australians would settle for an aged care system that looks after the elderly and an energy project that bears some passing resemblance to its original price tag.
🔮 Winning an election by misleading voters, then doing what you reassured them you wouldn't do is hardly an achievement to gloat about.
🔮 Its embedded metadata named Albanese’s deputy communications director as creator and last editor, although metadata alone cannot conclusively establish authorship. Who knew about the dirt sheet, and contributed to writing it, could go much wider than one senior political staffer.
🔮 The document, obtained by the Daily Mail, attempted to smear Haines by cataloguing her own funding requests for her electorate and asking if she may have had personal connections to recipients of Federal government funding.
🔮 In June 2021, Larissa Waters declared Australians could not have confidence in the government while a minister remained in Cabinet with a rape allegation hanging over him.
🔮 And the uncomfortable truth for a government searching for someone to blame is that getting rid of either one would do precious little to absolve the other of the same fate: 'They're tied at the hip now.'
🔮 Perhaps small businesses should forget navigating government departments and simply ask for Albanese's mobile number? He even supplied the dialogue: 'It is in hand, I agree with what you are saying and I will get it done.' One man.
Also by Peter van Onselen
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 25 articles by Peter van Onselen →

Topics

Albanese Australia Australians Labor the National Press Club

Subjects

Australia GPE · 9× Australians NORP · 3× New Zealand GPE · 3× Albanese PERSON · 2× Tony Burke PERSON · 2× the National Press Club ORG · 2× Coalition ORG · 1× Immigration ORG · 1× Labor ORG · 1× One Nation’s ORG · 1×

Narrative

There is another way to increase the workforce without mass migration, writes Peter van Onselen - it's using the workers the country already has, but deters from paid employment: Australians over 65 One important reason is that New Zealand doesn’t punish its seniors for working.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-24
🔮 Critics of One Nation’s plan to return the number of temporary migrants to pre-Covid levels shriek it will cause skills shortages and leave us vulnerable to an ageing population.

Claims (46 extracted, 4 hedged)

Published: | Updated: Whenever the idea of Australia cutting immigration further is suggested, there is a clear response from Labor and the Coalition. uncertain
Australia → publish → Labor
We can't go that far - we need migrants to fill jobs. asserted
migrants → go → jobs
Immigration minister Tony Burke did it again, recently, at the National Press Club. asserted
Burke → do → Club
As I'll explain, it assumes that the only workers who matter are the ones who haven’t arrived yet. asserted
who → explain → ?
Critics of One Nation’s plan to return the number of temporary migrants to pre-Covid levels shriek it will cause skills shortages and leave us vulnerable to an ageing population. asserted
it → return → population
This intellectual laziness infects our entire immigration debate. asserted
laziness → infect → debate
Either we maintain extraordinarily high migration, or our hospitals and building sites will grind to a complete halt. asserted
hospitals → maintain → halt
Australia unquestionably needs ongoing skilled migration. asserted
Australia → need → migration
And no serious government will shut the door on specialised doctors or engineers. asserted
government → shut → doctors
But pretending that every new arrival in Australia solves a labour shortage ignores the basic economic reality: migrants don’t just supply labour, they also create demand for it. asserted
they → pretend → it
Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke told the National Press Club on September 17 that the Albanese government will reduce the net migration rate with an overhaul of working holiday visas and restrictions on temporary migrants. asserted
government → tell → migrants
But he resiled from making deep cuts to Australia's migration rate asserted
he → resile → rate
A Spanish hospitality student became the face of Tony Burke's changes when she spoke to the Daily Mail of her devastation about the Albanese government's tweaks earlier this month. asserted
she → become → tweaks
Breaking down in tears, she said Burke's changes - slashing access to extended working holiday visas - could prevent her remaining in Australia A migrant nurse staffs a hospital, sure. uncertain
nurse → break → hospital
But they also need a doctor, a home and infrastructure to match. asserted
they → need → doctor
Two decades of mass migration to Australia haven't fixed our skills shortages. asserted
decades → fix → shortages
That's because rapid population growth creates additional demand alongside additional labour. asserted
growth → create → labour
If adding people were a magic economic cure, Australia would’ve solved this problem years ago. asserted
Australia → add → problem
The claim that mass immigration fixes an ageing population is just as hollow. uncertain
immigration → fix → population
At best, it kicks the can down the road. asserted
it → kick → road
Migrants get old too. asserted
Migrants → get → ?
Each intake grows older, demanding an even larger intake behind it just to keep the treadmill spinning. Using fresh batches of migrants to lower the median age is a demographic Ponzi scheme. asserted
Using → grow → age
Instead of asking how many people we can import, politicians should ask themselves why they are ignoring the millions of workers already here. asserted
they → ask → workers
In New Zealand, it’s more than 26 per cent. asserted
it → ’ → Zealand
There is another way to increase the workforce without mass migration, writes Peter van Onselen - it's using the workers the country already has, but deters from paid employment: Australians over 65 One important reason is that New Zealand doesn’t punish its seniors for working. asserted
Zealand → be → seniors
New Zealanders can keep working after 65 without having their pensions clawed back. asserted
pensions → keep → 65
Australia does the exact opposite. asserted
Australia → do → opposite
We claim we want more older workers, then financially punish them for remaining in the workforce. uncertain
we → claim → workforce
After the available Work Bonus and income-free allowances are exhausted, the pension is clawed back by 50 cents for every additional dollar earned, and that is before ordinary income taxes whittle wages away even further. asserted
taxes → exhaust → wages
It’s a big deterrence tax on work for older Australians. asserted
It → ’ → Australians
A pensioner who gives up their leisure to help an employer fill a vacancy is financially penalised for the privilege well beyond normal tax rates. asserted
employer → give → rates
And politicians wonder why so many stay home? asserted
many → wonder → ?
MacroBusiness chief economist Leith van Onselen has done the arithmetic: ‘Australia would gain just over 500,000 workers if its 65-and-over labour force participation rate matched New Zealand’s,’ he argues. asserted
he → do → Zealand
That’s more than three per cent of our current workforce, a perfect way to fill existing gaps without super-charging migration numbers, which as mentioned, cause other issues. asserted
which → ’ → issues
Health, workplace flexibility, retirement savings and personal preferences also influence whether older Australians choose to continue working. asserted
Australians → influence → ?
But even if Australia is only able to entice a fraction (say 20 per cent) of the over 65-year-olds New Zealand has back into the workforce, that’s around 100,000 extra workers to fill gaps. asserted
that → entice → gaps
‘These people already live in Australia’, Leith points out. asserted
Leith → live → Australia
They increase labour supply without producing a corresponding population driven demand shock. asserted
They → increase → shock
The fix is glaringly obvious: exempt employment earnings from the pension income test. Let pensioners pay ordinary income tax on their combined income like everyone else. asserted
pensioners → exempt → everyone
It would preserve the safety net while eliminating the penalty for working, giving Australia more workers in industries where we need them. asserted
we → preserve → them
…and 6 more, not listed.
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