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Geoff Russ: This election is for the B.C. Conservatives’ taking

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Cite

Jerema, C. (2026, September 24). Geoff Russ: This election is for the B.C. Conservatives’ taking. National Post. https://nationalpost.com/opinion/geoff-russ-this-election-is-for-the-b-c-conservatives-taking

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

National Post · collected 2026-09-24 · by Carson Jerema analysis

Quick Summary

Geoff Russ argues in his piece that despite voter dissatisfaction with Premier David Eby's decision to call an early election on October 24, the British Columbia Conservatives stand a good chance of forming government. Citing recent snap elections in Ontario and Canada where incumbents faced similar public disapproval but still managed to win majority mandates or retain power, Russ suggests that irritated voters may not necessarily turn rebellious at the polls. Recent polling indicates that while half of B.C. voters want change, the BC Conservatives have rapidly stabilized under their new leader Lorne Doerkson and are poised to challenge Eby's NDP government effectively.
Written by AI on 2026-09-24, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On September 22, 2026, B.C. Premier David Eby called a snap provincial election to be held on October 24, two years ahead of schedule. Eby cited the "existential" threat posed by U.S. President Donald Trump and his trade policies as justification for the early vote. The NDP currently holds a fragile one-seat majority in the legislature, making the upcoming election critical. Recent disarray within the B.C. Conservatives, including the resignation of their leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay, has led to seven CentreBC legislators rejoining the main Opposition party, though Eleanor Sturko remains independent. Critics argue that Eby's move is politically opportunistic and could backfire given his government's unpopular policies and economic challenges.

Written for “B.C. Snap Election Called” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 11 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 B.C. Snap Election Called
Politics · 12 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 11% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 33 claims Outlet record 64/100
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 1 claims Outlet record 52/100
CBC News
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 3 of 53 claims Outlet record 74/100
National Post
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 13 of 39 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the B.C. Conservatives' response and internal dynamics following David Eby's call for an early election, rather than the same specific incident.”
CBC News
Hedges 8 of 38 claims Outlet record 74/100
“The articles discuss different political situations in distinct provinces with no overlap on specific events.”
Global News
Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 63/100
“The articles describe different events: one about Premier David Eby calling a snap election, and another about the BC Conservatives' first policy announcement during the ensuing campaign.”
The Globe and Mail
Hedges 3 of 32 claims Outlet record 52/100
“Article A describes MLAs rejoining the BC Conservatives after their leader's resignation, while Article B discusses Premier David Eby calling an early election and voter reactions to it.”
National Post
Hedges 1 of 21 claims Outlet record 60/100
“While both articles discuss Premier David Eby calling a snap election, they describe different aspects and perspectives on the event rather than the identical specific occurrence.”
Global News
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 0 of 6 claims Outlet record 63/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the snap election called by NDP Leader David Eby, but Article A focuses on CentreBC MLAs rejoining the B.C. Conservatives, while Article B is an opinion piece expressing skepticism about the rationale behind calling the early election.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
46
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
11%
5 of 46 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
60/100
National Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
12
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-24 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

National Post · 1242 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Carson Jerema
61 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 If California’s proposed wealth tax is defeated next week — polling now finds Prop. 40 underwater with voters — it will represent less a failure of economic arguments than of political activism given academic gloss.
🔮 B.C. Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson will become the 38th premier after leading the party to a triumph in the provincial election.
🔮 One can see what they wish in the results, which will not be final until Friday afternoon, when all votes will be tallied.
🔮 She told the court she went off social media in the wake of the allegations so that she could focus on her publishing requirements, but that it was “difficult to miss what was going on.”
🔮 Indeed, the scale and magnitude of Eby’s misreading of the B.C. electorate in calling his early snap election cannot be understated and it may well be the greatest political blunder in Canadian history.
🔮 The Conservatives are projected to win 62 seats to the NDP’s 29 as of 9 p.m. local time.
🔮 The destruction we are now seeing in Europe will inevitably become more pervasive until it, too, manifests into violence by way of terrorism, if not armed insurrection.
2026-10-23 · assertive framing · Avi Benlolo: Why Toronto’s mayoralty race matters
🔮 The empty chair said more than any speech could.
🔮 Sharma refused to issue a ban, which she said would violate the open courtroom principle and was an “extreme measure,” but noted that media present in the courtroom could observe the woman’s request.
🔮 Given the riots’ aesthetic and demographic makeup, politicians on the right may feel increasingly emboldened to issue statements of this kind — which reflect the existential tenor with which the unrest has been received among right-wing populists the world over; as well as the enormous stakes voters of all hues will feel going into the presidential elections in April.
Also by Carson Jerema
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 61 articles by Carson Jerema →

Topics

British Columbia Liberal NDP Ontario the B.C. Conservatives

Subjects

Conservatives NORP · 6× B.C. GPE · 3× David Eby PERSON · 3× Eby PERSON · 3× Findlay PERSON · 3× NDP ORG · 3× Donald Trump PERSON · 2× Ford PERSON · 2× Liberal NORP · 2× Ontario GPE · 2×

Narrative

A stroll through almost any publicly funded institution will reveal some form of ritual humiliation in which British Columbians are accused of being “settlers” (a pejorative in progressive circles) and of being complicit in “colonialism” (another dirty word on the left).
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-24
🔮 Yes, it certainly will not help Premier David Eby, who triggered an early contest on Sunday.
2026-09-24 · National Post
Geoff Russ: This election is for the B.C. Conservatives’ taking · assertive framing

Claims (46 extracted, 5 hedged)

Does it really matter if voters are unhappy about the upcoming snap election in British Columbia? asserted
voters → matter → Columbia
Yes, it certainly will not help Premier David Eby, who triggered an early contest on Sunday. asserted
who → help → Sunday
But irritated voters will not be enough for the BC Conservatives to form government. asserted
Conservatives → form → government
Recommended Videos Eby is bringing voters to the polls early on Oct. 24, well before the fixed election date in 2028. asserted
Eby → bring → 2028
His reasoning is that the province needs a strong majority government to deal with President Donald Trump. asserted
province → need → Trump
If early reactions are any indicator, few are buying it. asserted
few → buy → it
People can see right through this rice-paper-thin cover for an opportunistic contest. asserted
People → see → contest
However, recent snap elections that were equally opportunistic did not end in disaster for the incumbents. asserted
that → end → incumbents
People may dislike being swept up in an unnecessary early campaign, but that is different from deciding which party will govern. uncertain
party → dislike → campaign
According to Angus Reid at the time, 78 per cent of respondents thought that the early election served Ford’s interests, rather than Ontario’s, including 58 per cent of those who planned to vote for his Progressive Conservative government. uncertain
who → accord → government
Ford went on to secure another majority mandate. asserted
Ford → go → mandate
Evidently, Ontario voters could hold their noses and look past a dirty trick. uncertain
voters → hold → trick
By contrast, when Justin Trudeau called an early federal election in 2021, Abacus Data found that 34 per cent of previous Liberal voters said they were less likely to vote Liberal again because of it. asserted
they → call → it
Trudeau still retained his minority government but failed in his bid to secure a parliamentary majority, despite very favourable pre-election polling. asserted
Trudeau → retain → polling
The composition of the House of Commons itself remained largely unchanged when the contest was over. asserted
contest → remain → Commons
Irritated voters in B.C. are not automatically rebellious, though half of them believe it is time for a change in government. asserted
it → believe → government
The survey that produced that finding was conducted just before the B.C. Conservatives collapsed, then rebuilt and re-energized themselves on the fly. asserted
Conservatives → produce → fly
When David Eby began to signal that he was going to call an early election, the (in)famous Kerry-Lynne Findlay was still heading the B.C. Conservatives. asserted
Findlay → begin → Conservatives
The long list of controversies that plagued her four-month tenure is already the stuff of legend. asserted
that → plague → legend
One pollster put Findlay’s approval rating at just 17 per cent. asserted
pollster → put → cent
That number probably fuelled Eby’s lust for an early contest to secure another four years as premier and avoid being replaced as NDP leader. asserted
number → fuel → leader
Her relatively unknown successor, Lorne Doerkson, the MLA for Cariboo-Chilcotin, leading the Conservatives into the election. asserted
successor → lead → election
Former rebel MLA Peter Milobar and six other MLAs who jumped ship under Findlay have since returned to the fold. asserted
who → jump → fold
Doerkson himself wasted no time explicitly condemning Donald Trump. asserted
Doerkson → waste → Trump
If he keeps that up, the NDP’s hopes of using an anti-Trump strategy could be dashed. uncertain
hopes → keep → strategy
Within 48 hours, the Conservatives had gone from a crumbling husk to an eager and feisty challenger. asserted
Conservatives → go → challenger
They wasted no time calling out David Eby for his selfish early election call, as they should. asserted
they → waste → call
If the Conservatives’ opening salvo is any indication, they plan on mounting a full-scale campaign against the NDP where it is weakest. asserted
it → plan → NDP
In a public statement, the Conservatives promised action on affordability, the security of private property rights and public safety. asserted
Conservatives → promise → rights
Importantly, the Conservatives have made it clear that they will fight this campaign over the government’s record rather than dwell on the rescheduling of the election. asserted
they → make → election
The B.C. Conservatives do not need to turn the campaign into a policy seminar. asserted
Conservatives → need → seminar
They should keep their promises simple, readable and easy for voters to memorize. asserted
voters → keep → promises
In 2006, Stephen Harper kept his campaign tight and disciplined, focusing on cleaning up government, cutting taxes, tackling crime and supporting parents. asserted
Harper → keep → parents
B.C. voters are tired and want a reliable and trustworthy challenger who can replace Eby. asserted
who → want → Eby
Furthermore, the Conservatives have pledged to restore pride in being British Columbian. asserted
Conservatives → pledge → pride
A stroll through almost any publicly funded institution will reveal some form of ritual humiliation in which British Columbians are accused of being “settlers” (a pejorative in progressive circles) and of being complicit in “colonialism” (another dirty word on the left). asserted
Columbians → fund → left
People want to feel hopeful about the future and good about who they are. asserted
they → want → future
Eby wanted to run against Trump, using Kerry-Lynne Findlay as a surrogate. asserted
Eby → want → surrogate
With her gone, he will have to pray for a stumble or misstep from the B.C. Conservatives, who now smell blood in the water. asserted
who → go → water
Still, the election will fall right in the American midterms, when the Canadian addiction to U.S. politics will be at its most severe, which may yet have an effect. uncertain
which → fall → effect
…and 6 more, not listed.
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