Quebec voters had one last opportunity Wednesday to hear the party leaders during the final televised debate.
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voters → have → debate
Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon (PSPP) rose to the occasion and stood out as a premier in waiting, more than ready to take the reins of power on Oct. 5.
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Plamondon → rise → Oct.
A Léger poll published on Tuesday put the PQ ahead at 29 per cent, the Quebec Liberals at 23 per cent, the governing Coalition Avenir Québec at 20 per cent and the Conservative Party of Quebec at 17 per cent.
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poll → publish → cent
But the most important finding is where support lies among francophone voters, with the PQ sitting at 37 per cent and the CAQ behind13 points at 24 per cent.
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PQ → lie → cent
This advantage among francophone voters puts the PQ within striking distance of a majority government.
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advantage → put → government
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CAQ Leader and Premier Christine Fréchette, who tried to play the Trump card early in the campaign and build her electoral narrative on the need to protect Quebec’s economy from the Americans, is witnessing her house of cards collapse around her.
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house → try → her
As the campaign progressed, she could not keep the narrative alive.
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she → progress → narrative
Her momentum deflated, she desperately needed a strong performance during this final debate.
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she → deflate → debate
Unfortunately for her, the CAQ’s record kept holding her back.
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record → keep → her
While she tried to talk about new initiatives in health care, her opponents were quick to remind viewers that during eight years of the CAQ government, emergency room waiting times increased by more than 40 minutes, or that her government failed to deliver on its promise to ensure everyone in the province had a family doctor.
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everyone → try → doctor
Fréchette tried to argue the economy was her strength, but she could not hide from the fact the province is facing some of the largest deficits in history.
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province → try → history
Liberal leader Charles Milliard had a good moment when he said that Quebec faces two major problems: the state of its economy and immigration, and pointed out that Fréchette had been the minister responsible of both during the François Legault years.
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Fréchette → have → years
Fréchette sounded like a candidate running on a record from which she was also trying to escape.
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she → sound → which
Whenever she could, she tried to bring the debate back to the possibility of a referendum on Quebec independence under a PQ government, but her rehearsed lines fell flat and uninspired.
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lines → try → government
The CAQ does still retain meaningful support, but it is spread inefficiently across the province, leaving the party at risk of winning only a handful of seats or potentially none at all.
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it → retain → seats
While Fréchette was busy sinking her own boat, the PQ leader did not miss his chance to showcase that he was ready to become premier.
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he → sink → chance
He was true to his principles, calm and held fast when attacked by the other leaders.
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He → hold → leaders
He needed to show Quebeckers that his party, despite winning only three seats in the previous election, was mature enough to assume the reins of power and he did so successfully.
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he → need → power
PSPP was natural and appeared to speak from the heart.
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PSPP → appear → heart
In his first 45 seconds, he wasted no time reminding voters the PQ was the party of change.
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PQ → waste → change
Clearly, the threat of Trump’s tariffs has complicated his referendum ambitions, and he appeared uncertain at times about his own plans for independence.
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he → complicate → independence
One of the leaders who shone on the referendum issue was Conservative leader Éric Duhaime, suggesting he could become the leader of the federalist “No” camp in any referendum campaign.
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he → shine → campaign
He was passionate and energetic, noting that he had voted Yes in 1995, but argued that it would be crazy to go down that route again, as it would weaken Quebec’s political power.
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it → note → power
Despite leading a party with no members in the National Assembly, Duhaime continues to run a disciplined and principled campaign.
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Duhaime → lead → campaign
He was unapologetic when talking about more private sector involvement in health-care to take pressure off the public system.
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He → talk → system
He was not afraid to declare he would cut subsidies to businesses and made clear he favours cutting red tape and brining in substantial tax cuts.
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he → declare → cuts
Duhaime brilliantly portrayed his four opponents as offering more of the same, with him being the one to offer a break with the Quebec model of massive state intervention in the economy.
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him → portray → economy
While Duhaime knows he won’t be able to form government, he asked Quebecers to elect as many Conservative MNAs as possible to hold the parties that refuse to break with the status quo to account.
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that → know → account
As for Milliard, while in good spirits, he could not create a big enough moment to set himself up as a serious challenger to PSPP.
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he → create → PSPP
Milliard might have succeeded if he worked harder at portraying himself as the candidate of stability now that Fréchette has failed at occupying that space.
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Fréchette → succeed → space
Far left Quebec Solidaire leader Ruba Ghazal performed well enough, given that her party sits at 10 per cent in the polls.
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party → perform → polls
She will likely be able to save a handful of ridings on the island of Montreal.
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She → save → Montreal
However, with Quebec Solidaire proposing more of the same state intervention, Ghazal could hardly position herself as a change candidate.
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Ghazal → propose → candidate
Change is coming.
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Change → come → ?
PSPP and the PQ may fall just short of a majority, but one does not have to look far to see who could help keep them in power.
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who → fall → power
We could see an alignment of autonomists and sovereigntists in power for years to come.
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We → see → years
Duhaime, who could deliver the party’s first representation in the assembly since 1935, might be in a position to influence the course of Quebec politics for the next decade.
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who → deliver → decade
This last debate has consolidated the PQ’s path to government and the Conservatives readiness for the big stage.
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debate → consolidate → stage
He is now a regular commentator at RDI and on COGECO radio and works for Transfert, a firm specialized in social acceptability in mining, energy and heavy industry sectors.
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He → work → sectors