The Aporia · NFL Week 3 player props, picks: Buy low on Quinshon Judkins, De’Von Achane

NFL Week 3 player props, picks: Buy low on Quinshon Judkins, De’Von Achane

Read the original at New York Post ↗

Cite

APA MLA Chicago

Richter, E. (2026, September 27). NFL Week 3 player props, picks: Buy low on Quinshon Judkins, De’Von Achane. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/27/betting/nfl-week-3-player-props-picks-buy-low-on-quinshon-judkins-devon-achane/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Quick Summary

Erich Richter provides NFL Week 3 player props and picks focusing on Quinshon Judkins of the Cleveland Browns and De’Von Achane from the Miami Dolphins. For Judkins, the article suggests betting on him to exceed 58.5 rushing yards given Carolina Panthers' weak rush defense, while for Achane, it recommends betting he will have more than 3.5 receptions due to his role in a pass-heavy scheme and underutilization so far this season. Richter’s record is highlighted with a ROI of 30.15% since 2022.

Written by AI on 2026-10-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In Week 3 of the NFL season, Erich Richter from the New York Post highlights Quinshon Judkins and De’Von Achane as players to watch for bettors. Judkins, a running back for the Cleveland Browns facing the Carolina Panthers, is expected to have an improved performance this week due to the Panthers' depleted linebacker corps, which ranks 29th in rush defense DVOA. Richter suggests betting on Judkins to exceed 58.5 rushing yards at -120 odds or 79.5 rushing yards at +220 odds with Sleeper and BetRivers respectively.

Meanwhile, Achane, who plays for the Miami Dolphins, is recommended to receive more passes from quarterback Malik Willis despite his limited receptions so far this season. With high usage rate on offense and a history as an effective receiver out of the backfield, Richter predicts Achane will surpass 3.5 receptions at -112 odds with DraftKings or exceed 5.5 receptions at +375 odds with Caesars Sportsbook.

Written for “NFL Player Props Picks” on 2026-10-30, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 6% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.

NFL Week 4 Survivor pool rankings: Strategy, advice and model picks Different event

New York Post

Hedges 1 of 14 claims Outlet record 66/100

“The articles discuss different weeks of NFL predictions and outcomes (Week 3 vs Week 4), indicating they are not describing the same specific event.”

NFL Week 3 betting trends: Buccaneers’ historic skid and biggest playoff odds movers Different event

New York Post

Hedges 1 of 20 claims Outlet record 66/100

“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL Week 3 and do not describe the same specific incident.”

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted

sentences that state something as happening or true

Uncertain

1 of 17 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")

Leaning

not political

takes no side on a contested political question

Publisher signals

66/100

New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.

Outlets on this story

Sports

Same framing elsewhere

articles that frame the event the way this one does

Who wrote this

Erich Richter

80 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 The next best time to use the Bengals will be Week 18 against a solid Browns team.

2026-10-27 · assertive framing · NFL Week 8 Survivor picks: Strategy, analysis, model picks

🔮 I projected the Giants would move to +8 from +10 when McCarthy was announced starter, though that did not happen as John Harbaugh’s group won outright.

2026-10-26 · assertive framing · NFL Week 8 early predictions: Falcons vs. Buccaneers, Bears vs. Seahawks best bets

🔮 Mahomes gives a sort of eye-roll mixed with clear frustration after he couldn’t lead Kansas City on a touchdown drive in the marquee Week 7 game against the Super Bowl champions.

2026-10-26 · assertive framing · Cris Collinsworth has never seen Patrick Mahomes like this as Chiefs get throttled

🔮 They’re both rated pretty much even in terms of DVOA, coming in at No. 17 in DVOA (No. 11 on offense, No. 25 on defense), while the Packers are No. 18 (No. 23 on offense and No. 4 on defense). So no, Micah Parsons is not active, but that really isn’t stopping them. Had Josh Jacobs not returned for the Packers, I’d be all in on the Over, and likely would have had some bets targeting the Over on both Christian Watson and Matthew Golden’s receiving yards. I’m still bullish on them overall, but Jacobs’ return allows Green Bay the option to run the ball much more.

2026-10-25 · assertive framing · Packers vs. Lions prediction, picks: Green Bay rides rushing attack in critical Week 7 clash

🔮 NFL fans have were stuck watching the Falcons in three straight primetime games — and maybe, just maybe, there’s a reason for it.

2026-10-23 · assertive framing · Mike Florio floats wild NFL conspiracy theory about bizarre primetime schedule quirk

🔮 As he is set for free agency, everyone is guessing who will take Aikman’s place, with many adding that Greg Olson could head to ESPN after being demoted to Fox’s No. 2 booth and some are even projecting that current NFL coaches will leave their respective positions to sit next to Buck.

2026-10-22 · assertive framing · JJ Watt lands long-term CBS deal after replacing Tony Romo following OWI arrest

🔮 Aikman is set to be a free agent at the end of this season and appears poised to split with the network.

2026-10-20 · assertive framing · Mike Wilbon calls out ESPN on network: ‘Nobody calls a game better than Troy Aikman’

🔮 Game 6 of the ALCS heads back to St. Petersburg on Monday where the home team Rays will send prized trade deadline acquisition Freddy Peralta to the mound.

2026-10-19 · assertive framing · Guardians vs. Rays prediction: ALCS Game 6 odds, picks, best bets

🔮 As a result of the multiple blood clots that have been found in his lungs, Hurts will be out till mid-January as he requires more significant care than previously known.

2026-10-19 · assertive framing · Jalen Hurts lost for the season as blood clots worse than Eagles feared

🔮 This is one of those few times when I have actually been “waiting all day for Sunday night,” as Carrie Underwood would put it.

2026-10-18 · assertive framing · Cowboys vs. Packers prediction: Why we’re betting on a historic shootout on ‘Sunday Night Football’

Also by Erich Richter

NFL Week 8 Survivor picks: Strategy, analysis, model picks

2026-10-27 · New York Post

NFL Week 8 early predictions: Falcons vs. Buccaneers, Bears vs. Seahawks best bets

2026-10-26 · New York Post

Cris Collinsworth has never seen Patrick Mahomes like this as Chiefs get throttled

2026-10-26 · New York Post

Packers vs. Lions prediction, picks: Green Bay rides rushing attack in critical Week 7 clash

2026-10-25 · New York Post

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 80 articles by Erich Richter →

Claims (17 extracted, 1 hedged)

We’ll call Week 2 “solid-ish” results as we move into Week 3 of the NFL season for player props. asserted

we → call → props

We nailed Bryce Young’s come-up, hitting him to throw three touchdown passes at +515 but missed on some others in brutal fashion. asserted

We → nail → fashion

That’ll cover all of our losses and then some. asserted

That → cover → losses

But it doesn’t stop the frustration of missing other bets, including Jadarian Price to score a touchdown while Emmanuel Wilson and George Holani were stopped at the goal line four times. asserted

Wilson → stop → line

Regardless, our total record goes as follows as we move into Week 3. asserted

we → go → Week

If there was ever a week to back Quinshon Judkins, it’s this week, when the Carolina Panthers are missing their stud middle linebacker Devin Lloyd and weakside starter Claudin Cherelus. asserted

Panthers → be → linebacker

That’s a bad start for Carolina, which is already ranked No. 29 in rush defense DVOA. asserted

which → ’ → DVOA

Judkins hasn’t hit any of these numbers yet this year, but if we widen our sample size out a bit, he cleared 80 rushing yards in five games, and was over 59 in eight of his 13 games started. asserted

he → hit → games

Judkins can get right here, and I project the Browns could win or at least keep this game close at home. uncertain

Browns → get → home

De’Von Achane over 3.5 receptions (–112, DraftKings) | Over 5.5 receptions (+375, Caesars Sportsbook) De’Von Achane has been misused through two games by the Dolphins, and quarterback Malik Willis should be looking to get the ball in his hands. Achane is the only running back in the league that is playing 80 percent of snaps on offense and has a long history of being an excellent pass catcher out of the backfield. asserted

that → misuse → backfield

Achane was over 3.5 receptions once this year and in nine out of 16 games, though most of those (six) he also had at least six. asserted

he → have → six

both tight ends in Los Angeles are injured, leaving only Oronde Gadsden II as the primary option at the position. asserted

ends → injure → position

Gadsden supposedly had a “great week” at practice, and Jim Harbaugh sounds ready to let him loose. asserted

him → have → practice

The Bills are allowing the ninth-most yards to opposing tight ends so far this year, and they were a funnel last season to the position. asserted

they → allow → position

Why Trust New York Post Betting Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. asserted

he → trust → betting

During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. asserted

he → showcase → market

While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022. asserted

return → bet → 2022

NFL Week 3 player props, picks: Buy low on Quinshon Judkins, De’Von Achane

Quick Summary

AI analysis

Story

Compared with similar articles

Signals How these are calculated →

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Publisher

Who wrote this

Topics

Subjects

Narrative

Claims (17 extracted, 1 hedged)