Photo via New York Post

NFL Week 3 betting trends: Buccaneers’ historic skid and biggest playoff odds movers

Read the original at New York Post ↗
Cite

Svoboda, D. (2026, September 29). NFL Week 3 betting trends: Buccaneers’ historic skid and biggest playoff odds movers. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/29/betting/nfl-week-3-betting-trends-buccaneers-historic-skid-and-biggest-playoff-odds-movers/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

New York Post · collected 2026-09-29 · by Dylan Svoboda

Quick Summary

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have set a record for the longest streak of failing to cover the spread in NFL history at 12 games since Week 8 last season. Meanwhile, playoff odds saw significant changes: the Raiders and Bears improved their chances significantly, while the Packers and Chargers experienced declines. Rookie standout Jeremiyah Love from the Cardinals is now leading the Offensive Rookie of the Year betting market with +150 odds, closely followed by Kenyon Sadiq of the Jets at +1000. Brock Purdy’s MVP odds have dropped to +425 after a strong start with nine touchdown passes and only one interception through three games.
Written by AI on 2026-09-29, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In NFL Week 3, betting trends showed significant changes, particularly for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who lost to the Vikings and extended their record-breaking losing streak to 12 games without covering the spread since the Super Bowl era began. The Buccaneers are now home underdogs against the Packers in Week 4. Meanwhile, the Raiders and Chicago Bears saw improved playoff odds after strong performances, while the Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Chargers experienced a decline. Quarterback Derek Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers has seen his MVP odds improve to +425 at DraftKings, second only to Josh Allen (+260), due to his impressive stats: nine touchdowns with just one interception in three games. Other top contenders for the MVP title include Lamar Jackson (+600), Patrick Mahomes (+800), and Joe Burrow (+850). Conversely, Drake Maye of the New England Patriots has seen a significant drop to +8000 after turning over the ball three times in their loss to Jacksonville.

Written for “NFL Betting Trends Week 3” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 NFL Betting Trends Week 3
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different weeks of NFL betting trends and player props, indicating distinct time periods.”
New York Post
Hedges 3 of 64 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different weeks of NFL betting trends and do not focus on the same specific game or incident.”
New York Post
Hedges 3 of 53 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL Week 3 and do not focus on the same specific game or incident.”
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL Week 3 and do not describe the same specific incident.”
Fox News
Hedges 2 of 35 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different NFL games and trends across multiple weeks, not a single specific incident.”
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 12 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different NFL weeks (Week 4 in A, Week 3 in B) and cover distinct betting trends and predictions.”
New York Post
Hedges 3 of 64 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles cover different weeks and focus on distinct teams and betting trends.”
New York Post
Hedges 5 of 63 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different games and betting trends within the NFL, not the same specific incident.”
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL Week 3, with Article A focusing on expert picks and predictions while Article B covers betting trends and historical skids.”
Fox News
Hedges 4 of 69 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL Week 3 and do not focus on the same specific game or incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-29 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 16008 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Dylan Svoboda
65 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The Chiefs, who will come to town on Sunday for a huge divisional battle, have a plus-40 point differential, even after their 20-3 loss to the Seahawks last Sunday.
🔮 The Golden State Valkyries will have a chance to win their first WNBA championship Saturday when they host the Atlanta Dream in Game 7.
🔮 The injury adds to a growing list of setbacks for the Thunder, who are already facing the possibility of losing Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace for the remainder of the season.
🔮 After a stop as the quarterbacks coach at the University of Hawaii, Jones worked his way up through the NFL ranks, becoming the head coach of Atlanta from 1994-96. “We mourn the passing of former head coach June Jones,” the Falcons wrote on X. “A visionary in the passing game, Coach Jones will be remembered with gratitude for his contributions to our organization and the lasting impact he made on those he coached and mentored.”
2026-10-29 · assertive framing · College football coaching great June Jones dead at 73
🔮 Charania added that Haliburton will miss at least “about two weeks.”
🔮 The Colts couldn’t even beat the previously winless Titans at home Sunday, blowing a 13-point halftime lead in an embarrassing 26-20 defeat that caused the franchise to make some drastic moves.
2026-10-25 · assertive framing · Colts vs. Vikings prediction: NFL Week 7 picks, odds
🔮 His status for Sunday remains uncertain, although it wouldn’t be surprising if Evans sat out with a bye looming in Week 8, and the 49ers are already dealing with several injuries at wide receiver.
2026-10-25 · assertive framing · 49ers vs. Falcons prediction: NFL Week 7 picks, odds
🔮 The former No. 1 overall pick will be reevaluated next week, the team announced.
🔮 Flair added that he was scheduled to undergo a procedure to treat the affected vein, which he hoped would allow him to resume traveling.
🔮 He will start opposite Milwaukee flamethrower Jacob Misiorowski, who is a heavy favorite for the 2026 National League Cy Young award after leading the majors in both ERA (1.80) and strikeouts (252).
2026-10-23 · assertive framing · Rays make surprise World Series Game 1 starter decision
Also by Dylan Svoboda
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 65 articles by Dylan Svoboda →

Topics

Buccaneers Bucs NFL Packers Tampa Bay’s

Subjects

NFL ORG · 5× Packers ORG · 3× Bears ORG · 2× Buccaneers ORG · 2× Bucs ORG · 2× Chargers ORG · 2× Love PERSON · 2× Raiders ORG · 2× Sadiq PERSON · 2× Tampa Bay’s ORG · 2×

Narrative

- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Purdy has now thrown nine touchdowns and just one interception through three games, helping send his MVP odds from +800 last week to +425 at DraftKings, second only to Allen (+260). Lamar Jackson (+600), Patrick Mahomes (+800) and Joe Burrow (+850) round out the top five. Drake Maye, meanwhile, has tumbled to +8000 after turning the ball over three times in the Patriots’ blowout loss to Jacksonville.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-29
🔮 - Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Purdy has now thrown nine touchdowns and just one interception through three games, helping send his MVP odds from +800 last week to +425 at DraftKings, second only to Allen (+260). Lamar Jackson (+600), Patrick Mahomes (+800) and Joe Burrow (+850) round out the top five. Drake Maye, meanwhile, has tumbled to +8000 after turning the ball over three times in the Patriots’ blowout loss to Jacksonville.

Claims (20 extracted, 1 hedged)

The NFL’s third week delivered another shakeup at the betting window, with one team making history for all the wrong reasons and the contenders separating themselves from the pretenders. asserted
contenders → deliver → pretenders
Several early-season surprises are also beginning to make their mark on the futures market, with a handful of award contenders seeing their odds shift dramatically. asserted
odds → begin → contenders
Here are the biggest betting trends coming out of Week 3. asserted
trends → come → Week
Buccaneers make betting history — for all the wrong reasons The Buccaneers have become a bettor’s worst nightmare. asserted
Buccaneers → make → reasons
Sunday’s 23-16 loss to the Vikings marked Tampa Bay’s 12th consecutive game without covering the spread, the longest such skid in the Super Bowl era, according to Action Network. uncertain
loss → mark → Network
The Bucs have been favored in eight of those games, including last week’s stunning loss to the Browns as nine-point favorites. asserted
Bucs → favor → favorites
Tampa Bay hasn’t covered since Week 8 of the 2025 season, when it defeated the Saints, 23-3. asserted
it → cover → Saints
Things aren’t looking much better heading into Week 4, with the Bucs opening as home underdogs against the Packers. asserted
Bucs → look → Packers
Raiders, Bears climb as Packers, Chargers slide The Raiders and Bears were among the biggest winners in the playoff futures market following Week 3. asserted
Raiders → climb → Week
Las Vegas shortened from +245 to +160 at DraftKings Sportsbook after improving to 3-0, while Chicago jumped from +130 to -108 following its rout of the Eagles. asserted
Chicago → shorten → Eagles
The Falcons also made a sizable move, going from +730 to +255 after stunning Green Bay. asserted
Falcons → make → Bay
The Packers, meanwhile, slipped from +120 to +215, and the winless Chargers tumbled from +280 to +460. asserted
Chargers → slip → +460
Tampa Bay’s 0-3 start has been even more costly, sending its postseason odds from +250 to +520. asserted
start → send → +520
Love leads rookie race as Sadiq surges Jeremiyah Love is beginning to separate himself in the Offensive Rookie of the Year market. The Cardinals running back rushed for 109 yards Sunday against the 49ers, sending his odds from +370 last week to +150 at DraftKings. asserted
back → lead → DraftKings
But Jets tight end Kenyon Sadiq made an even bigger leap, going from +4000 to +1000 after breaking out for seven catches, 105 yards and a touchdown in Sunday’s loss to the Lions. asserted
Sadiq → make → Lions
Sadiq, who opened the season at +4500, now has the fifth-shortest odds for the award, behind Love, Denzel Boston (+700), KC Concepcion (+900) and Jadarian Price (+950). asserted
who → open → Love
Purdy closes gap in MVP race Josh Allen remains the MVP favorite, but Brock Purdy is quickly closing the gap. asserted
Purdy → close → gap
The 49ers quarterback tossed four touchdown passes in Sunday’s 36-30 win over the Cardinals, keeping San Francisco unbeaten despite its mounting injury issues. asserted
quarterback → toss → issues
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Purdy has now thrown nine touchdowns and just one interception through three games, helping send his MVP odds from +800 last week to +425 at DraftKings, second only to Allen (+260). Lamar Jackson (+600), Patrick Mahomes (+800) and Joe Burrow (+850) round out the top five. Drake Maye, meanwhile, has tumbled to +8000 after turning the ball over three times in the Patriots’ blowout loss to Jacksonville. asserted
Maye → read → Jacksonville
Why Trust New York Post Betting Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He asserted
Svoboda → trust → sports
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support