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Heat pump sales soar across Europe after states cut electricity taxes, data shows

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Kollewe, J. (2026, September 28). Heat pump sales soar across Europe after states cut electricity taxes, data shows. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/28/heat-pump-sales-soar-across-europe-after-ciuntries-cut-electricity-taxes-data-shows

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The Guardian · collected 2026-09-28 · by Julia Kollewe

Quick Summary

Sales of residential heat pumps in Europe increased to 1.16 million units from January to June this year, up from 1.05 million during the same period last year, according to the European Heat Pump Association (EHPA). This surge is attributed to rising oil and gas prices due to the Iran war and subsequent electricity tax reductions in some countries. The European Commission has proposed plans to lower electricity taxes and accelerate the transition away from fossil fuels towards renewable energy sources like heat pumps.
Written by AI on 2026-09-28, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Sales of residential heat pumps increased across Europe in the first six months of 2026, with 1.16 million units sold compared to 1.05 million in the same period in 2025, according to the European Heat Pump Association (EHPA). This surge was driven by soaring energy prices and government policies, including tax changes in some countries that lowered electricity costs. For instance, in Belgium, where heat pump adoption is still low, the government announced plans for a 3% reduction in electricity taxes starting in 2026, although this measure also raised gas costs by 3%. The European Commission encouraged EU governments to reduce electricity tax and expedite the transition from fossil fuels like oil and gas to renewable energy sources following the US-Israeli attacks on Iran in February, which led to a seven-month war and disrupted oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude oil prices as high as $126 per barrel.

Written for “Heat Pump Sales Rise In Europe” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Heat Pump Sales Rise In Europe
Environment · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 10% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
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Hedges 7 of 54 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss different topics related to rising fuel prices but describe distinct events and outcomes.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 1 of 12 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different topics related to energy prices and policies, but describe distinct events: one about diesel pump price increases in the UK and potential export bans due to the Iran war, while the other reports on increased heat pump sales across Europe in response to electricity tax cuts and rising oil/gas prices.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 21 of 57 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different topics related to global fuel and energy prices but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Euronews
Hedges 6 of 24 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of energy issues in Europe but describe distinct events: one is about a warning from the EU Energy Commissioner to curb demand, while the other reports on increased sales of heat pumps due to tax cuts and price hikes.”
BBC News
Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different topics: one is about diesel and petrol price increases due to the Middle East war, while the other reports on increased heat pump sales in Europe following changes in electricity taxes and high oil/gas prices.”
Semafor
Hedges 1 of 5 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different topics, with one focusing on oil prices due to tensions between the US and Iran, and the other on increased heat pump sales in Europe as a result of higher energy costs caused by those same tensions.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 1 of 24 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles describe different actions related to energy policy and shortages caused by the Iran war: one focuses on increased heat pump sales due to tax changes, while the other reports on G7's decision to release oil stockpiles in response to price pressures.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 10 of 64 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects related to the Iran situation but do not describe the same specific incident or outcome.”
CBS News
Hedges 3 of 24 claims Outlet record 65/100
“While both articles discuss the impact of higher oil prices due to the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz closure, they describe different aspects of the broader economic situation and do not report on a single specific incident.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 8 of 41 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A discusses heat pump sales in Europe, while Article B focuses on military actions and attacks near the Strait of Hormuz involving Iran and the US.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
21
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
10%
2 of 21 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Environment
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-28 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2937 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Julia Kollewe
12 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 City experts welcomed news that the chancellor will overturn a decision by his predecessor, Rachel Reeves, to cut the allowance from £20,000 to £12,000 a year from April to get more money flowing into UK company stocks.
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🔮 Johnson, of Misterton in Nottinghamshire, submitted false claims to Axa Insurance between May 2021 and January 2022, relating to alleged burglaries at properties in Shetland and Goole, East Yorkshire.
🔮 The boss of Britain’s biggest insurer has warned that homes being built now could become uninsurable in the future because they are sited in flood-risk areas.
🔮 It pointed to Belgium, where heat pump uptake remains low, although the government announced tax changes for 2026 that will cut electricity costs by 3% and raise gas costs by 3%.
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🔮 Elliot, a housing activist and member of Scotland’s tenants’ and community union Living Rent, added: “Because so many international students were away back home, they couldn’t do that in person.
Also by Julia Kollewe
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 12 articles by Julia Kollewe →

Topics

Belgium EHPA European Iran the European Commission

Subjects

EHPA ORG · 5× Belgium GPE · 4× European NORP · 2× Germany GPE · 2× Iran GPE · 2× Netherlands GPE · 2× the European Commission ORG · 2× Brussels GPE · 1× Commission ORG · 1× the European Heat Pump Association ORG · 1×

Narrative

Soon after the US-Israeli attacks on Iran on 28 February which unleashed the seven-month war, the European Commission published plans to encourage EU governments to lower electricity tax and to speed up the shift from fossil fuels oil and gas to renewable sources of energy.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-28
🔮 It pointed to Belgium, where heat pump uptake remains low, although the government announced tax changes for 2026 that will cut electricity costs by 3% and raise gas costs by 3%.

Claims (21 extracted, 2 hedged)

Sales of residential heat pumps jumped across Europe in the first six months of the year, as the Iran war sent oil and gas prices rocketing and some countries lowered electricity taxes. asserted
countries → jump → taxes
Homeowners bought 1.16m heat pumps across 12 European countries, up from 1.05m in the first half of 2025, according to the European Heat Pump Association (EHPA). uncertain
Homeowners → buy → Association
Iran’s effective closure of the strait of Hormuz, an important shipping passage, severely disrupted the flow of oil and gas shipments and sent the price of crude oil as high as $126 a barrel in late April. asserted
price → disrupt → April
Soon after the US-Israeli attacks on Iran on 28 February which unleashed the seven-month war, the European Commission published plans to encourage EU governments to lower electricity tax and to speed up the shift from fossil fuels oil and gas to renewable sources of energy. asserted
Commission → unleash → energy
Soaring energy prices and electricity tax changes have fuelled the growth in heat pump sales so far this year, the EHPA said, which has long argued that the popularity of the heating systems depends heavily on the price of electricity. asserted
popularity → soar → electricity
Rather than generating heat from burning fuel, the pumps transfer heat energy from one place to another and can be used for warming and cooling a home. asserted
pumps → generate → home
In its electrification action plan, the Commission said tax on electricity should be no higher than that on gas. asserted
tax → say → gas
Brussels hopes to amend the network charges consumers pay on their utility bills to reward flexible options such as heat pumps. asserted
consumers → hop → pumps
Heat pump sales have risen in European countries where electricity taxes have been cut, , the EHPA said. asserted
EHPA → rise → countries
In Germany, a subsidy scheme has led to heat pumps being the No 1 heating tech being installed, it added. asserted
it → lead → Germany
The 12 countries covered in the data are: Austria; Belgium; Switzerland; Denmark; Finland; France; Germany; Italy; Netherlands; Norway; Portugal; and Sweden. asserted
countries → cover → data
Paul Kenny, the EHPA director general, said: “Europe is ending its addiction to a toxic, costly drug from dodgy suppliers: gas. asserted
Europe → say → suppliers
The sooner electricity becomes the most affordable solution, the quicker we’ll get clean. asserted
we → become → ?
The European Commission has made this clear – but now all EU governments must enact it, following in the footsteps of the Netherlands and Belgium.” asserted
governments → make → Netherlands
The industry body found that taxes on electricity are often higher than on gas, which drives up the cost sharply. asserted
which → find → cost
In the UK, electricity costs more than four times as much as gas, similar to Belgium. asserted
electricity → cost → Belgium
The EHPA said countries that tax electricity more than gas experience slower adoption of heat pumps and are more dependent on fossil fuels. asserted
that → say → fuels
It pointed to Belgium, where heat pump uptake remains low, although the government announced tax changes for 2026 that will cut electricity costs by 3% and raise gas costs by 3%. asserted
that → point → %
Separately, a two-year study by the London-based Centre for Net Zero found that installing solar panels and a battery in a UK home saves £681 a year on average. asserted
installing → base → 681
Families’ annual bills fell by almost two-thirds (62%) after they received free solar panels and a battery, based on smart meter data used to calculate their electricity bills, in news first reported by the Times. asserted
they → fall → Times
Great Britain recorded more new solar power installations in the first half of this year than in any six-month period since 2011, according to government figures published in July. uncertain
Britain → record → July
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