The Aporia · NFL Week 4 early predictions: Patriots vs. Bills, Giants vs. Cardinals

NFL Week 4 early predictions: Patriots vs. Bills, Giants vs. Cardinals

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Richter, E. (2026, September 28). NFL Week 4 early predictions: Patriots vs. Bills, Giants vs. Cardinals. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/28/betting/nfl-week-4-early-predictions-patriots-vs-bills-giants-vs-cardinals/

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Quick Summary

The article provides early predictions for NFL Week 4 games, focusing on the Patriots vs. Bills and Giants vs. Cardinals matchups. For the Patriots +7 against the Bills, the prediction suggests taking advantage of the current line before it drops to Bills -6.5 due to the Patriots' poor performance this season. In the Giants +1.5 versus the Cardinals game, the article notes a significant shift from preseason expectations and mentions potential movement in favor of the Giants with recent roster changes.

Written by AI on 2026-10-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In NFL Week 4, early predictions focus on two key games: Patriots +7 against the Bills, and Giants vs. Cardinals. The analysis suggests a "buy-low" opportunity for the Patriots despite their poor performance so far this year, noting they still retain elements of the Super Bowl team from just seven months ago. DraftKings lists the Bills as favorites by 7 points, but many bookmakers have adjusted to Bills -6.5 due to recent trends. The prediction highlights a discount from an original three-point spread in the preseason, influenced by AJ Brown's injury status. Bettors are advised to take advantage of these odds while they last for potential hedge opportunities.

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0 of 12 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")

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takes no side on a contested political question

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66/100

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Who wrote this

Erich Richter

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All 82 articles by Erich Richter →

Claims (12 extracted, 0 hedged)

We move on to October football, having beaten some good lines, including last week, when we nailed the Falcons +7 on Monday before the move to +4.5 when Michael Penix Jr. was unsurprisingly listed as active. asserted

Jr. → move → +4.5

Atlanta wound up winning outright as significant underdogs with the Packers’ season appearing to be on life support. We also beat the line on Saints -3 against the Raiders, as New Orleans closed at -3.5, though they lost as favorites. asserted

they → wind → favorites

The goal, of course, is to beat the line for hedge opportunities, but it’s also a nice added bonus to win the bets. asserted

it → beat → bets

NFL Week 4 early predictions Patriots +7 (DraftKings) vs. Bills This is a classic buy-low spot on the Patriots, who have looked horrid through three weeks. asserted

who → look → weeks

Most books are moving this line to Bills -6.5, so you’ll want to snag the touchdown while it’s still there. We all know the Patriots have fallen off a cliff this year, but there’s still a semblance of the team that went to the Super Bowl just seven months ago. asserted

that → move → Bowl

The preseason line on this had the Bills favored by three so you’re getting a four point discount in my eyes even with the AJ Brown injury. asserted

you → favor → injury

- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Giants +1.5 (DraftKings) vs. Cardinals This line is completely different than what we saw preseason. asserted

we → read → what

Big Blue was favored by seven points in the preseason lookahead line, but some strong play by the Cardinals combined with the Jaxson Dart injury has forced an eight and a half point line move. asserted

play → favor → move

I’m not super confident in the Giants to win this game, but I think there’s a chance that the 1.5-point spread moves in the Giants’ favor with the acquisition of J.J. McCarthy on Monday. asserted

spread → ’m → Monday

Why Trust New York Post Betting Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. asserted

he → trust → betting

During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. asserted

he → showcase → market

While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022. asserted

return → bet → 2022

NFL Week 4 early predictions: Patriots vs. Bills, Giants vs. Cardinals

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Claims (12 extracted, 0 hedged)