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Donald Trump's Maga cult is finally crumbling | Arwa Mahdawi

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Mahdawi, A. (2026, September 29). Donald Trump's Maga cult is finally crumbling | Arwa Mahdawi. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/sep/29/donald-trump-maga-cult-finally-crumbling

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The Guardian · collected 2026-09-29 · by Arwa Mahdawi

Quick Summary

Arwa Mahdawi discusses how Donald Trump's approval ratings are declining due to events like the war in Iran and the Epstein case, leading some of his most dedicated supporters to turn against him. The article highlights specific cases such as Trisha Hope and Rick Frazier from the Front Row Joes group who have distanced themselves from Trump, citing ethical concerns. Additionally, influential podcaster Joe Rogan has also distanced himself, further indicating a broader shift in public opinion that could impact the upcoming midterm elections, where Democrats are favored to gain control of both houses of Congress according to recent polls.
Written by AI on 2026-09-29, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Donald Trump's once-loyal supporters are beginning to show signs of wavering faith. One such supporter is Trisha Hope, a member of the Front Row Joes, a group of ultra-devoted Trump followers known for their dedicated presence at his rallies and personal attention from him. During the 2019 impeachment proceedings, Hope was in Washington DC supporting Trump. However, she now says that if there is another impeachment attempt following midterms losses, she will support it rather than defend Trump again. The shift in her stance is attributed to factors including the war with Iran and revelations about Jeffrey Epstein. This change reflects a broader decline in Trump's approval ratings among his most fervent supporters.

Written for “Trump Support Eroding” on 2026-10-30, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Trump Support Eroding
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
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Daily Mail
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The Bulwark
⚖️ Centre further right than this Hedges 2 of 20 claims
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Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 3 of 21 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe different events: one discusses a decline in Trump's support among his most fervent supporters, and the other describes Trump rallying for Republicans in Ohio.”
The Bulwark
⚖️ Centre further right than this Hedges 0 of 5 claims
“The articles describe different events related to Trump's supporters but do not cover the same specific incident or rally.”
The Independent
Hedges 2 of 21 claims Outlet record 59/100
“Article A discusses the declining support for Donald Trump among his most fervent supporters, while Article B focuses on a pollster's analysis of white non-college-educated voters deserting Trump ahead of midterms. The articles cover related themes but describe different specific occurrences.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 4 of 45 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss similar themes but refer to different aspects of support erosion for Trump; Article A focuses on a specific group's loss of faith, while Article B discusses podcasters and content creators shifting focus away from Trump.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
37
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
2 of 37 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-29 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 1826 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Arwa Mahdawi
14 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Imagine if a female athlete said changing diapers wasn’t her job: the rightwing pitchforks would be instantly out for her.
🔮 As all that was happening, Usha picked up Death Comes for the Archbishop by Willa Cather.
🔮 You may be familiar with rule 34 of the internet, which states that if something exists or can be imagined, there will almost certainly be online porn of it.
🔮 “If you had a trigger-happy cop, or somebody had done the wrong thing, somebody could have ended up dead,” Giuffra said.
🔮 While the president may hawk bibles as a side hustle, he is not exactly devout; he serves only mammon.
🔮 This downgrading of pathogen surveillance didn’t cause the Cyclospora outbreak, but it might have made it harder for health authorities to respond to it.
🔮 In an interview with Politico published on Monday, Hope declared: “If we do lose the midterms and [Trump] is impeached again, I will be walking the halls of Congress in support of that impeachment.”
🔮 Trust me, he keeps saying, everything will get better after the midterms.
🔮 We’re now approaching month seven of a war against Iran that Donald Trump repeatedly assured us would be over in a matter of weeks.
🔮 They may not all be interested in changing diapers or hands-on parenting, but they’re very keen on population growth.
Also by Arwa Mahdawi
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 14 articles by Arwa Mahdawi →

Topics

Congress Maga Politico Washington DC the Front Row Joes

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 19× Hope PERSON · 5× Rogan PERSON · 3× Congress ORG · 2× Democrats NORP · 2× Epstein PERSON · 2× Frazier PERSON · 2× Politico ORG · 2× Republicans NORP · 2× Maga ORG · 1×

Narrative

“After the first Trump administration, my family spent money we did not have on lawyers because of multiple partisan Democrat-led investigations into President Trump,” Katie Miller, the podcasting wife of Trump’s right-hand man, Stephen Miller, tweeted earlier this month.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-29
🔮 In an interview with Politico published on Monday, Hope declared: “If we do lose the midterms and [Trump] is impeached again, I will be walking the halls of Congress in support of that impeachment.”
2026-09-29 · The Guardian
Donald Trump's Maga cult is finally crumbling | Arwa Mahdawi · assertive framing

Claims (37 extracted, 2 hedged)

It took a dead child sex offender and a disastrous war to do it, but it looks as though the Maga faithful are slowly beginning to lose confidence in dear leader. asserted
faithful → take → leader
As Donald Trump’s approval ratings drop to record lows, some of his most fervent supporters are turning on him. asserted
some → drop → him
See, as exhibit one, Trisha Hope, who was once a proud member of the Front Row Joes, a group of Trump superfans who follow the president to rallies around the country. asserted
who → see → country
They have custom-made T-shirts! asserted
They → have → shirts
They have branded baseball caps! asserted
They → brand → caps
They even have the attention of Trump himself, who frequently shouts out the group. asserted
who → have → group
He did once accidentally call them the “front row Jacks and Joes”, but who can expect a man of his calibre to pay attention to the plebs, eh? asserted
man → call → plebs
During Trump’s first impeachment, in 2019, Hope stationed herself in Washington DC for weeks, trying to drum up support for the president. asserted
Hope → station → president
But she’s not doing that again. asserted
she → do → that
In an interview with Politico published on Monday, Hope declared: “If we do lose the midterms and [Trump] is impeached again, I will be walking the halls of Congress in support of that impeachment.” asserted
I → publish → impeachment
What caused this change of heart? asserted
What → cause → heart
Hope cites the Iran war and the Epstein files as significant factors. asserted
Hope → cite → factors
So too does Rick Frazier, another defector from the Front Row Joes interviewed by Politico. asserted
Frazier → do → Politico
“Epstein crimes and feeding the industrial military complex … those are big nos for me,” Frazier said. asserted
Frazier → feed → me
Hope and Frazier are just two people with limited influence, but there’s another, much more powerful, Joe who has soured on Trump. asserted
who → ’ → Trump
Earlier this month the podcaster Joe Rogan, whose endorsement of Trump in 2024 is widely credited with helping him win the election, distanced himself from the president and his “rabid” supporters. asserted
him → credit → president
“Trump supporters are fucking nuts, man,” Rogan said on his podcast. asserted
Rogan → say → podcast
In the same episode, Rogan admitted that “I did kind of help Trump”, but insisted it was because he thought he’d drain the swamp. asserted
he → admit → swamp
“Obviously, it’s not been ideal in that regard,” Rogan added. asserted
Rogan → add → regard
It’s very satisfying to watch people wake up to the fact that the convicted felon in the White House is out for himself and nobody else. asserted
felon → ’ → himself
With the end of his very lucrative reign in sight, does it really matter that people like Hope are calling him “a fraud and liar”? asserted
people → matter → him
But growing disgust with the president certainly matters for the November midterm elections. asserted
disgust → grow → elections
Trump has asked voters to “pretend I’m on the ballot” and many have taken that advice to heart. asserted
many → ask → heart
A recent PBS News/NPR/Marist poll found that 45% of voters overall said their largest motivating factor for the midterms was voting against Trump. asserted
factor → find → Trump
While he still has a loyal following, the midterms are likely to be a rebuke to his presidency, with Democrats now on a path to flipping the Senate as well as retaking the House. asserted
Democrats → have → House
Trump’s desperate gimmicks and grandiose assurances aren’t landing the way they used to. asserted
they → land → ?
This month, the president promised a $5,000 (£3,775) “Trump dividend” if Republicans retain control of Congress after the midterms. asserted
Republicans → promise → midterms
According to one poll, only 13% of voters believed him. uncertain
% → accord → him
Trump is worried about the midterms – and the possibility of a third impeachment that comes with a Democratic victory – he’s not letting it show. asserted
it → come → victory
But Republicans more broadly are clearly stressed, not just about the midterms, but also about what sort of trouble they may be in when Trump 2.0 comes to an end. uncertain
Trump → come → end
“After the first Trump administration, my family spent money we did not have on lawyers because of multiple partisan Democrat-led investigations into President Trump,” Katie Miller, the podcasting wife of Trump’s right-hand man, Stephen Miller, tweeted earlier this month. asserted
Miller → spend → man
“You can’t convince me Democrats won’t do this again.” asserted
Democrats → convince → this
I hope they do. asserted
they → hope → ?
And this time I hope they do it properly, so that Trump and his enablers are at last held accountable. asserted
Trump → hope → it
People who are finally leaving the Maga cult are angry at Trump, certainly, but they’re also angry at a world in which the powerful seem to get away with everything. asserted
powerful → leave → everything
To stop that anger from propelling another Trump-like figure into the White House, there needs to be a reckoning with the systems that created him. asserted
that → stop → him
Let’s make Maga’s legal bills high again. asserted
bills → make → ?
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