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Annual rate of UK house price growth halved in September, says Nationwide

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Shaw, V. (2026, October 1). Annual rate of UK house price growth halved in September, says Nationwide. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/business/money/middle-east-quilter-government-nationwide-building-society-london-b1299086.html

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Evening Standard · collected 2026-10-01 · by Vicky Shaw

Quick Summary

In September, the annual growth rate of UK house prices dropped to 0.8%, down from 1.6% in August, according to Nationwide's index. The average house price across the UK was £274,251 as of September. Robert Gardner, chief economist at Nationwide, attributes this slowdown to economic uncertainty and rising mortgage rates due to financial market expectations of interest rate increases by the Bank of England. He predicts that housing activity may regain momentum if economic conditions improve and confidence returns among buyers and sellers.
Written by AI on 2026-10-01, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In September, UK house price growth halved to 0.8% annually from 1.6% in August, according to data released by Nationwide. The average UK house price stood at £274,251 for the month. Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, noted this marked the weakest rate of growth since December 2025. He attributed the slowdown partly to economic uncertainty and growing expectations of Bank of England base rate increases, which have pushed up mortgage rates. While housing affordability has improved due to house price growth lagging behind earnings growth, higher interest rates partially offset these gains, dampening market activity.

Additionally, Moneyfacts reported that UK mortgage interest rates had reached their highest levels since July 2024 and October 2023 for two-year and five-year fixed-rate mortgages respectively. This trend has deterred potential buyers amid rising energy costs and inflation concerns stemming from conflicts in the Middle East, particularly the US-Israel war with Iran.

Written for “UK House Price Growth Slows” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 2 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 UK House Price Growth Slows
Economy/Business · 3 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
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Hedges 2 of 7 claims Outlet record 65/100
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Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the housing market and interest rates in two separate timeframes.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 3 of 21 claims Outlet record 65/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the housing market in the UK: one focuses on home sales and mortgage rates, while the other reports on house price growth.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 5 of 20 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss housing market trends in different countries (UK and Australia) with distinct data and timeframes.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 3 of 21 claims Outlet record 65/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the UK housing market and do not describe the same specific incident.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 3 of 33 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of house price trends in the UK and do not focus on the exact same incident or time period.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
22
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
3 of 22 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
65/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
3
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-01 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 8048 article(s) · 68 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 68 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Vicky Shaw
64 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The move was welcomed by many savings and investments providers – although some raised concerns that plans for a new “starter Isa” could add more complexities to the Isa system.
🔮 Here is a look at what will be available under the plans: – What is the Your First Home scheme? The scheme will provide 20% equity loans to first-time buyers.
🔮 The move was welcomed by many savings and investments providers – although some raised concerns that plans for a new “starter Isa” could add more complexities to the Isa system.
🔮 The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) said that understanding geographical patterns could help identify where climate-related risks may have the greatest effect on consumers and mortgage lending if flooding becomes more frequent or severe.
🔮 The Government recently unveiled the Your First Home initiative, which will give first-time buyers the chance to buy a new build property with a 2.5% deposit, with the Government stepping in to lend them an extra 20% towards the cost.
🔮 Read More He added: “Those coming to the end of a current fixed (mortgage) deal will not only face higher rates but also a more volatile market where deals can come and go quickly.”
🔮 This would put someone on the full new state pension on course to receive £250.70 per week from next April – up from £241.30 per week currently.
🔮 Matt Smith, a mortgage expert at Rightmove, said: “It’s been a difficult few weeks for home buyers who have been watching mortgage rates rise quickly, particularly for those who had worked out what they could afford based on lower rates earlier in the year. “
🔮 Matt Smith, a mortgage expert at Rightmove, said: “It’s been a difficult few weeks for home buyers who have been watching mortgage rates rise quickly, particularly for those who had worked out what they could afford based on lower rates earlier in the year. “
🔮 The encouragement may have included signs saying a business accepts or prefers cash, or being asked directly if they can pay that way.
Also by Vicky Shaw
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 64 articles by Vicky Shaw →

Topics

AJ Bell Antony Roberts Bank of England London Nationwide

Subjects

Nationwide ORG · 2× AJ Bell ORG · 1× Amy Reynolds PERSON · 1× Antony Roberts ORG · 1× Bank of England ORG · 1× Gardner PERSON · 1× John Healey PERSON · 1× London GPE · 1× Robert Gardner PERSON · 1× Sarah Coles PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Nathan Emerson, chief executive at property professionals’ body Propertymark, said: “Many consumers are taking a more cautious approach to their household finances, with affordability pressures continuing to influence decisions around buying and selling property.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-01
🔮 “When purchasing a home is one of the biggest financial decisions a person will ever make, uncertainty over inflation, interest rates and potential policy changes can be enough to delay a move by weeks or even months.”
2026-10-01 · Evening Standard
Annual rate of UK house price growth halved in September, says Nationwide · assertive framing

Claims (22 extracted, 3 hedged)

The annual rate of growth in UK house prices halved to 0.8% in September, from 1.6% in August, according to an index. uncertain
rate → halve → index
Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, said: “September saw UK annual house price growth halve to 0.8%, the weakest rate of growth since December 2025.” asserted
growth → say → December
He added: “Market activity and house prices have remained subdued in recent months, in part reflecting the uncertain economic backdrop. asserted
activity → add → backdrop
“This in turn has led to mounting financial market expectations of (Bank of England base rate) increases, which has maintained upward pressure on the market interest rates which underpin mortgage pricing.” asserted
which → lead → pricing
Mr Gardner said that underlying housing affordability is improving, “as house price growth has been well below earnings growth for some time”. asserted
growth → say → time
He said: “These gains have been only partially offset by higher mortgage rates. asserted
gains → say → rates
“This suggests that activity should regain momentum in the quarters ahead providing the energy shock fades and confidence returns – especially if market interest rates fall back to pre-conflict levels.” uncertain
rates → suggest → levels
“Many buyers and sellers alike appear to be sitting on their hands as they wait for a clearer economic backdrop and a better understanding of the policy landscape ahead of Chancellor John Healey’s first Budget. asserted
they → appear → Budget
“When purchasing a home is one of the biggest financial decisions a person will ever make, uncertainty over inflation, interest rates and potential policy changes can be enough to delay a move by weeks or even months.” asserted
uncertainty → purchase → weeks
Read More Sarah Coles, head of personal finance at AJ Bell said: “Prices are now growing at their slowest pace since December last year, and are significantly lagging inflation. asserted
Prices → read → inflation
It means property is losing value once inflation is taken into account. asserted
inflation → mean → account
“It’s easy to see why. asserted
It → ’ → ?
Mortgage rates have been climbing since early August, forcing buyers to rethink their plans.” asserted
rates → climb → plans
Amy Reynolds, head of sales at London-based estate agency Antony Roberts, said: “We’re seeing a sensible, needs-driven market: well-presented homes priced correctly are selling, and those pitched too hopefully are sitting.” asserted
those → base → market
Nathan Emerson, chief executive at property professionals’ body Propertymark, said: “Many consumers are taking a more cautious approach to their household finances, with affordability pressures continuing to influence decisions around buying and selling property.” asserted
pressures → say → property
Tom Bill, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank said: “House prices are stalling as the impact of rising mortgage rates takes its toll on demand, a pattern we expect to continue in the final three months of this year.” asserted
we → say → year
The Government recently announced a new first-time buyer scheme called Your First Home, which will give people in England a helping hand to buy a new build home. asserted
which → announce → home
Further details about the initiative will be outlined in the Budget. asserted
details → outline → Budget
Simon Gerrard, chairman, Martyn Gerrard Estate Agents, said: “The housing market has been in desperate need of liquidity and it’s good to see the Government take action to provide it.” asserted
Government → say → it
Nicky Stevenson, managing director of Fine & Country, said: “Nationwide’s latest figures underline just how finely balanced the housing market remains. asserted
market → say → Fine
“This is a market where buyer have more choice, and that means competition between sellers is particularly strong.” asserted
competition → have → sellers
Here are average house prices in the third quarter of this year and the annual change, according to Nationwide Building Society: Northern Ireland, £227,922, 5.9% North West, £231,360, 3.9% Scotland, £196,215, 3.3% North East, £174,731, 3.3% Yorkshire and the Humber, £217,029, 1.2% Wales, £214,816, 0.7% West Midlands, £252,355, 0.6% Outer South East (includes Ashford, Basingstoke and Deane, Bedford, Braintree, Brighton and Hove, Canterbury, Colchester, Dover, Hastings, Lewes, Fareham, Isle of Wight, Maldon, Milton Keynes, New Forest, Oxford, Portsmouth, Southampton, Swale, Tendring, Thanet, Uttlesford, Winchester, Worthing), £337,137, 0.0% Outer Metropolitan (includes St Albans, Stevenage, Watford, Luton, Maidstone, Reading, Rochford, Rushmoor, Sevenoaks, Slough, Southend-on-Sea, Elmbridge, Epsom and Ewell, Guildford, Mole Valley, Reigate & Banstead, Runnymede, Spelthorne, Waverley, Woking, Tunbridge Wells, Windsor and Maidenhead, Wokingham), £427,430, minus 0.2% South West, £305,180, minus 0.3% East Midlands, £237,449, minus 0.5% East Anglia, £272,119, minus 0.7% uncertain
includes → accord → Sea
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