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House prices at their most affordable since 2015 compared to salaries

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Denton, J. (2026, October 2). House prices at their most affordable since 2015 compared to salaries. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/money/mortgageshome/article-16175145/House-prices-affordable-2015-compared-salaries.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-02 · by Jane Denton

Quick Summary

House prices compared to salaries have become more affordable, with the average home now costing 7.3 times the average household income, down from 7.6 last year according to Lloyds Banking Group data. This marks the lowest ratio since 2015 due to slow house price growth; property prices increased by only 0.5% to £299,131 while earnings rose 4.5% to £40,790. First-time buyers now face an average cost of less than six times their income compared to 6.1 last year. Regions like Scotland and northern England offer the best affordability nationally, with Inverclyde and Aberdeen leading at a ratio of just 3.5 times earnings.
Written by AI on 2026-10-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

According to Lloyds Banking Group’s analysis using its house price index and Office for National Statistics figures, housing affordability has reached its most favorable level since 2015. The ratio of average home prices to household incomes dropped from 7.6 to 7.3 in the year leading up to April-June 2026, with no quarter showing a lower ratio in over a decade. Nationally, while property values slightly increased by 0.5%, earnings rose by 4.5%—significantly outpacing home price growth and narrowing the affordability gap.

First-time buyers now face an average cost of just under six times their earnings, down from 6.1 to 5.9. Notable improvements in affordability were seen in traditionally expensive regions: London’s ratio fell from 10.9 to 10.3, Eastern England's decreased from 8.7 to 8.2, and the South West saw a drop from 8.2 to 7.7.

Despite these improvements, London and the South East remain among Britain’s least affordable areas for homebuyers. Scotland and northern England have many of the most affordable local authorities, with Inverclyde standing out as particularly accessible.

Written for “UK Housing Affordability” on 2026-10-30, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 UK Housing Affordability
Economy/Business · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 13 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different trends in house prices over various time periods and geographical regions.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 7 of 34 claims Outlet record 65/100
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 15 claims Outlet record 65/100
“While both articles discuss housing affordability in relation to income, they cover different aspects and time frames of the topic.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 2 of 7 claims Outlet record 65/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of UK house prices and affordability over a period, but they do not describe the exact same specific incident or moment in time.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 3 of 22 claims Outlet record 65/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of house price trends in the UK and do not focus on the exact same incident or time period.”
The Guardian
Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss house price trends but cover different time periods and data sources, indicating distinct analyses rather than a single specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
33
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
9%
3 of 33 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
68/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-02 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8386 article(s) · 20 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 20 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jane Denton
10 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Jane Denton
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 10 articles by Jane Denton →

Topics

England Inverclyde Lloyds London Scotland

Subjects

Scotland GPE · 4× Elmbridge GPE · 3× England GPE · 3× Inverclyde GPE · 3× London GPE · 3× Aberdeen GPE · 2× Blackpool GPE · 2× Lloyds ORG · 2× St Albans GPE · 2× Yorkshire GPE · 2×

Narrative

said: 'Several traditionally expensive areas recorded some of the largest improvements in affordability, including Westminster (London), where the ratio fell from 15.2 to 13.3; Cambridge (Eastern England), from 11.4 to 10.0; Elmbridge (South East), from 18.7 to 17.4; and New Forest (South East), from 10.1 to 8.7.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-02
🔮 Mortgage rates rising The data will be of little comfort to buyers facing higher borrowing costs as mortgage rates increase.
2026-10-02 · Daily Mail
House prices at their most affordable since 2015 compared to salaries · assertive framing

Claims (33 extracted, 3 hedged)

House prices have become more affordable in relation to salaries, data from Lloyds Banking Group shows. asserted
data → become → Group
The average home now costs 7.3 times the average household income, down from 7.6 a year ago, Lloyds said. asserted
Lloyds → cost → 7.6
The ratio has reached its lowest level since 2015, driven by slow house price growth. asserted
ratio → reach → growth
Nationally, the average property price edged up 0.5 per cent in the past year, to £299,131, while average earnings increased by 4.5 per cent to £40,790, narrowing the gap. asserted
earnings → edge → gap
For first-time buyers, homes now cost less than six times earnings, falling from 6.1 to 5.9. asserted
homes → cost → 5.9
Conventionally unaffordable regions have seen some of the largest improvements in house price to income ratio, though London and the south-east of England remain the most expensive places to buy. asserted
London → see → England
Scotland and northern England feature many of Britain's most affordable local authorities, led by Inverclyde and Aberdeen, according to the research. uncertain
Scotland → feature → research
The gap between house prices and earnings has narrowed, new data shows Where are the most affordable locations in each region? asserted
locations → narrow → region
At a local authority level, significant differences in house price affordability remain. asserted
differences → remain → affordability
Many of the lowest house price to earnings ratios are found in Scotland and northern England. asserted
Many → find → Scotland
These are the locations where buyers are likely to get more for their money. asserted
buyers → get → money
Inverclyde and Aberdeen in Scotland are the most affordable locations, with the average home costing 3.5 times earnings in both areas. asserted
home → cost → areas
The next cheapest locations are Kingston upon Hull in Yorkshire and the Humber, as well as Blackpool and Dundee, where homes cost 3.6 times earnings. asserted
homes → cost → earnings
At the other end of the scale, Elmbridge in Surrey remained the least affordable local authority with a house price-to-income ratio of 17.4. asserted
Elmbridge → remain → 17.4
Kensington and Chelsea in London followed at 17.3, while St Albans ranked third at 14.1. Lloyds asserted
Albans → follow → 14.1
said: 'Several traditionally expensive areas recorded some of the largest improvements in affordability, including Westminster (London), where the ratio fell from 15.2 to 13.3; Cambridge (Eastern England), from 11.4 to 10.0; Elmbridge (South East), from 18.7 to 17.4; and New Forest (South East), from 10.1 to 8.7. asserted
ratio → say → 8.7
Conversely, several more affordable areas saw their ratios increase. asserted
ratios → see → ?
Rossendale recorded the largest increase from 4.8 to 5.4, while Wrexham in Wales increased from 4.9 to 5.5 and Halton from 5.1 to 5.6. asserted
Wrexham → record → 5.6
Buyers looking for a more affordable option in the south-east of England should consider Portsmouth, where the house price to income ratio is 5.2 and the average cost of a home is £216,713. asserted
cost → look → home
Asaam said: 'Where you buy continues to make a huge difference to affordability. asserted
buy → say → affordability
Our recent research showed homebuyers can save 28 per cent on average by looking just next door to the UK’s priciest postcodes. asserted
homebuyers → show → postcodes
Mortgage rates rising The data will be of little comfort to buyers facing higher borrowing costs as mortgage rates increase. asserted
rates → rise → costs
Households are being hit with a fresh wave of mortgage rate hikes this week as lenders prepare for higher inflation and interest rates. asserted
lenders → hit → inflation
Higher interest rates mean average monthly mortgage repayments have increased from an average of £1,100 to £1,157 over the past year according to Lloyds. uncertain
repayments → mean → Lloyds
The average first-time buyer mortgage payment now accounts for around 34 per cent of income, compared with 41 per cent for those renting. asserted
payment → account → those
And in some parts of the UK potential buyers are still being kept out of the housing market due to house prices being much higher than average incomes. asserted
prices → keep → incomes
Andrew Asaam, mortgages director at Lloyds, said: 'There are some encouraging signs for people looking to buy a home. asserted
Asaam → say → home
Wages have continued to rise while house prices have remained relatively stable, helping to narrow the gap between earnings and house prices. asserted
prices → continue → earnings
'However, affordability remains stretched for many households. asserted
affordability → remain → households
Mortgage rates are higher than they were a year ago and saving for a deposit continues to be one of the biggest barriers facing first-time buyers. asserted
saving → save → buyers
'Buyers may have more options than they realise, including mortgages designed for those with smaller deposits.' uncertain
they → have → deposits
Ian Harris, president of NAEA Propertymark, said: 'While the narrowing gap between house prices and earnings is encouraging, affordability on paper does not always translate into affordability at the point of purchase. asserted
affordability → say → purchase
'Buyers are still facing higher borrowing costs and the challenge of raising a deposit, with many having to compromise on property type, location or budget.' asserted
many → face → type
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