As tech leaders warn about the threats of artificial intelligence, most conjure up images of AI agents running amok, such as hacking systems used to run our critical infrastructure, banks or even militaries.
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most → warn → infrastructure
Yet one serious danger is mentioned less frequently – the threat posed by AI – empowered lethal weapons.
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danger → mention → weapons
Fully autonomous versions of these weapons are colloquially known as killer robots.
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versions → know → robots
Israel’s conduct in Gaza shows that, in an important respect, such AI weapon systems are already here.
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systems → show → respect
An algorithm has been deciding who lives and who dies.
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who → decide → ?
For more than a decade, governments have been meeting in Geneva to stop the development of autonomous AI weapons.
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governments → meet → weapons
In early September, 128 governments met to approve a report that could serve as the foundation for a binding treaty.
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that → meet → treaty
But a collection of lawyers sent by Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin teamed up to water it down.
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collection → send → it
Notably, they weakened a provision that requires humans to review military targets developed by AI before a strike.
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that → weaken → strike
Fully autonomous weapons remain the focus; the use of AI to determine targets for conventional weapons is not.
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use → remain → weapons
At risk is the longstanding quest to maintain a “human in the loop” – that is, meaningful or effective “human control” of AI-empowered weaponry.
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that → maintain → weaponry
For many people, talk of killer robots conjures up images of Arnold Schwarzenegger’s The Terminator.
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talk → conjure → Terminator
I have often thought about the problem in the context of the Tahrir Square uprising at the height of the Arab Spring that led to the ouster of the Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak.
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that → think → president
Mubarak’s fate was sealed when the Egyptian army made clear it would refuse to fire on Egyptian protesters.
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it → seal → protesters
But killer robots would have had no such qualms.
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robots → have → qualms
If Mubarak had been able to deploy them, he might have stayed in power.
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he → deploy → power
The negotiators in Geneva are not even addressing this problem.
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negotiators → address → problem
The Trump-Putin lawyers made sure that the agreed report referred only to war, not repression.
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report → make → war
Today, amid the drone warfare in eastern Ukraine, Russian and Ukrainian troops are experimenting with fully autonomous weapons to overcome jamming of the signals used to control drones.
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troops → experiment → drones
We can expect these nascent deployments to expand.
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deployments → expect → ?
If we look at targeting decisions more expansively, AI has already taken over.
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AI → look → decisions
In Gaza, the Israeli military is using AI to target Palestinians.
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military → use → Palestinians
Israel has long monitored phone communications in that territory.
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Israel → monitor → territory
After the Hamas attack of 7 October 2023, Israel used an AI system called “Lavender” to uncover patterns that it equated with the phone of a Hamas operative.
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it → use → operative
People whose phones AI determined met these criteria could be killed.
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AI → determine → criteria
Because it was easier to target suspects at home, a separate automated system called “Where’s Daddy?” tracked them there, meaning that their families were often killed too.
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families → target → them
There was no pretense that Hamas was using its operatives’ homes for military purposes.
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Hamas → be → purposes
It was simply easier for the AI system to find suspected Hamas fighters where they slept.
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they → find → fighters
Theoretically, a human remained in the loop because an AI-picked target was routed through intelligence officers who approved it and sent it to others who launched the attack.
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who → remain → attack
But in Israel’s killing spree that followed the Hamas attack, the intense demand for targets took precedence over such review.
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demand → follow → review
Israeli intelligence officers who received the AI selections routinely passed them to the attackers without second guessing.
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who → receive → attackers
As one officer described: “I would invest 20 seconds for each target at this stage, and do dozens of them every day.
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I → describe → them
I had zero added-value as a human, apart from being a stamp of approval.
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I → have → approval
It saved a lot of time.”
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It → save → time
From computer to killing, the human judgment exercised was perfunctory – a “rubber stamp”.
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judgment → exercise → killing
In essence, an algorithm played God.
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algorithm → play → God
One Israeli officer suggested the practice might be justified because AI makes better decisions than humans do.
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humans → suggest → decisions
It is dispassionate, while people’s judgment can be clouded, such as by the animosity toward all Palestinians that some Israelis felt after the Hamas attack.
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Israelis → cloud → attack
As one Israeli soldier explained: “I have much more trust in a statistical mechanism than a soldier who lost a friend two days ago.
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who → explain → friend
Everyone there, including me, lost people on October 7.
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Everyone → include → October
…and 29 more, not listed.