Photo via The Bulwark

Grandpa Trump Is Getting Desperate

Read the original at The Bulwark ↗
Cite

Kristol, W. (2026, October 6). Grandpa Trump Is Getting Desperate. The Bulwark. https://www.thebulwark.com/p/grandpa-trump-is-getting-desperate-south-carolina-graham-annie-andrews-poll-midterms

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

The Bulwark · collected 2026-10-06 · by William Kristol commentary

Quick Summary

Bill Kristol discusses how former President Donald Trump is showing signs of desperation as he increasingly focuses on influencing Senate races like the one in South Carolina against Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, using inflammatory rhetoric and personal attacks. The article notes that Trump's involvement appears aimed at rallying his base ahead of midterms but also highlights the ethical issues surrounding such tactics.
Written by AI on 2026-10-06, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In early October, Donald Trump held a unique midterm rally in Dallas to boost Republican voter turnout ahead of the November 3 elections. Despite Trump’s claims of its success, polls since then show that Democrats gained momentum. The RealClearPolitics Generic Congressional Vote poll had Democrats at 50.5% and Republicans at 42.1%, up from September when Democrats were at 48.1% and Republicans at 42.3%. Texas Senate candidate Ken Paxton, in a leaked audio recording obtained by The New York Times, admitted that the convention negatively affected his numbers during a private fundraiser for donors. This admission suggests broader issues within the Republican base regarding Trump's influence on their campaigns and political performance.

Written for “Trump Midterm Convention Controversy” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 14 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Trump Midterm Convention Controversy
Politics · 15 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 4 of 16 claims Outlet record 69/100
The Independent
Hedges 4 of 24 claims Outlet record 59/100
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 1 of 19 claims Outlet record 66/100
Fox News
Hedges 3 of 35 claims Outlet record 69/100
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different events: one discusses leaked audio about Ken Paxton's frustrations, while the other reports on Trump's visit to Texas for campaigning.”
Fox News
Hedges 1 of 14 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles describe different events involving Ken Paxton: one regarding his fundraising complaints and another about him questioning James Talarico's absence at a Trump rally.”
CBS News
⚖️ Centre further right than this Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different events: one is about leaked audio revealing Ken Paxton's frustration, while the other describes President Trump campaigning for Paxton in Texas.”
Washington Examiner
Hedges 4 of 18 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Ken Paxton's campaign, with Article A focusing on audio leaks about his frustration over lack of control and Article B reporting on a donor memo warning of spending disparities.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 2 of 39 claims Outlet record 69/100
“While both articles discuss leaked audio involving Ken Paxton and Trump, they describe different instances of leaking, indicating distinct events.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 3 of 55 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles describe different parts of an ongoing series of events involving leaked audio scandals affecting Ken Paxton's campaign, rather than the exact same incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
95
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
8 of 95 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly left
expected in commentary, which argues a position · beta estimate
Publisher signals
not measured
these signals count newsroom corrections; Commentary has none to count
Outlets on this story
15
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-06 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Bulwark · 585 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

William Kristol
27 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 “The Almighty has His own purposes.”
🔮 How Bad Could It Get for Republicans? (w/ Sarah Longwell) | Bulwark on Sunday A recording from The Bulwark’s live video
🔮 One might even call what happened this year a Brew Wave.
2026-10-29 · assertive framing · Is This Heaven? No, It’s the Midterms.
🔮 Most billionaire political donors would be content to throw their lucre into a PAC to buy up a bunch of ad time and call it a day.
2026-10-28 · assertive framing · How Do You Solve a Problem Like Elon Musk?
🔮 The 2006 precedent could serve as something of a warning.
2026-10-27 · assertive framing · Wave Goodbye to a Republican Congress
🔮 A recording from The Bulwark’s live video With one week until Election Day, Bill Kristol and Andrew Egger break down the Senate races that could deliver Democrats a historic midterm wave.
🔮 They discuss Trump’s disastrous polling, the GOP’s crumbling coalition, the possibility of election interference, and what a crushing Republican defeat could mean for Trump’s billionaire allies and the future of American politics.
🔮 We don’t know: Homeland Security hasn’t claimed he was resisting arrest, attacking an officer, or anything else that might have provoked such a response.
2026-10-09 · assertive framing · Hegseth Wants You to Watch a Snuff Film
🔮 About an hour and a half later, Trump had a further thought to share, this time in ALL CAPS: MY RALLIES ARE SAVING THE REPUBLICAN PARTY, AGAIN!!! Lots of Republicans would beg to differ with the leader of their party.
2026-10-07 · assertive framing · Reasons for Hope. Reasons for Alarm.
🔮 Darline is a High Quality person, maybe the Highest, and Annie Trannie is not, in particular, as it pertains to representing the Values of the Great People of South Carolina
2026-10-06 · assertive framing · Grandpa Trump Is Getting Desperate
Also by William Kristol
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 27 articles by William Kristol →

Topics

GOP Republican Senate South Carolina Texas

Subjects

South Carolina GPE · 10× Trump PERSON · 10× Republican NORP · 4× Andrews PERSON · 3× Darline Graham PERSON · 3× Paxton PERSON · 3× Donald J. Trump PERSON · 2× Senate ORG · 2× GOP ORG · 1× Texas GPE · 1×

Narrative

The spokesperson noted that this is “the same answer to a question that the Governor has sliced and diced for his advertising purposes where he leaves out the second part of her statement,” and pointed to “Josh Shapiro’s position and ‘evolution’ on the issue,” accusing him of “selling out the people of Pennsylvania for his own political gain.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-06
🔮 Darline is a High Quality person, maybe the Highest, and Annie Trannie is not, in particular, as it pertains to representing the Values of the Great People of South Carolina
2026-10-06 · The Bulwark
Grandpa Trump Is Getting Desperate · assertive framing

Claims (95 extracted, 8 hedged)

The hot-mic moments just keep coming for Texas GOP Senate hopeful Ken Paxton. asserted
moments → come → Paxton
Last week, it was leaked audio of Paxton admitting that Trump’s ballyhooed midterm convention had actually hurt his numbers. asserted
convention → leak → numbers
This week, it’s audio of Paxton complaining about how little control he has over his own campaign strategy—since most of the money behind him is super PAC money from Trump. asserted
most → ’ → Trump
“I’ve never been in a race where I felt less control over the campaign and, like, what issues are going to matter,” Paxton told a small fundraiser room, “because it’s all coming—you know—from D.C.” asserted
you → feel → D.C.
The nineteenth-century American writer Henry David Thoreau famously claimed that “The mass of men lead lives of quiet desperation.” asserted
mass → claim → desperation
I’ve always thought this assertion unfair, even untrue. asserted
assertion → think → ?
But it’s neither unfair nor untrue to observe that one man, Donald J. Trump, is today exhibiting clear signs of not-at-all-quiet desperation. asserted
man → ’ → desperation
Yesterday afternoon, for example, Trump was engaged in a typical flurry of posts alternately attacking the media and promising $5,000 to Americans if they re-elect Republican majorities in Congress. asserted
they → engage → Congress
And then out of the blue came an attack on the Democratic senate nominee in South Carolina: asserted
attack → come → Carolina
Annie “Trannie” Andrews is running against our wonderful Darline Graham for the Senate in South Carolina. . . . asserted
Andrews → run → Carolina
Darline is a High Quality person, maybe the Highest, and Annie Trannie is not, in particular, as it pertains to representing the Values of the Great People of South Carolina asserted
it → pertain → Carolina
—She is in favor of Transgender for Everyone, Open Borders, Defunding the Police, High Taxes, a Weak Military, and will absolutely fight to take your guns away—In other words, she is against our Great Second Amendment! asserted
she → defunde → Amendment
Trannie is not for South Carolina, and South Carolina must show, in the upcoming Election, that it is not for her. asserted
it → show → her
VOTE FOR DARLINE GRAHAM—SHE HAS MY COMPLETE AND TOTAL ENDORSEMENT, AND WILL NOT LET YOU DOWN! asserted
SHE → vote → YOU
Before going on to explain Trump’s sudden interest in the South Carolina contest, I do want to note that his bigotry is of course revolting. asserted
bigotry → go → course
In a civilized era, it would be shocking to see it coming from a president of the United States. asserted
it → see → States
But we do not live in a civilized era. asserted
we → live → era
In a non-cowardly era, the slur would be denounced by Republicans as well as Democrats. asserted
slur → denounce → Republicans
But we do not live in a non-cowardly era. asserted
we → live → era
In a better era, Andrews’s Republican opponent, Sen. Darline Graham, would step up to criticize a supporter for using the term. asserted
opponent → step → term
But we do not live in a better era. asserted
we → live → era
She’s running for a supposedly safe Republican seat. asserted
She → run → seat
And since she knows that she needs to win Trump voters over to have a path to victory, she’s actually been sparing in her own attacks on Trump. asserted
she → know → Trump
As a mom and a pediatrician, I’m in this race to fight for my patients, my three kids, and South Carolina. asserted
I → ’m → patients
And I’m going to work with anyone to put South Carolina first, because lowering costs and making life better for families across our state is going to take all of us working together. asserted
all → go → us
If you care more about your bills than the politics in Washington, this campaign is for you. asserted
campaign → care → you
He hasn’t been to South Carolina recently, and isn’t scheduled to go soon. asserted
He → schedule → Carolina
When Natalie Harp (presumably) sent the post on his behalf at 5:23 p.m. yesterday, she and her boss were on Air Force One, heading to Nebraska, where Trump was going to campaign for that state’s endangered Republican, Sen. Pete Ricketts. asserted
Trump → send → Republican
I’d like to think that it was because yesterday, on Tim Miller’s podcast, I went out on a limb and suggested that Andrews had a real chance to win. uncertain
Andrews → like → chance
Could it be that Trump was watching the most recent Bulwark Daily podcast on Air Force One? uncertain
Trump → watch → Force
Who knows? asserted
Who → know → ?
Only Natalie, I suppose. asserted
I → suppose → ?
I suspect the explanation is simple: In recent political updates from staff, Trump has been told that South Carolina looked surprisingly competitive. asserted
Carolina → suspect → staff
The two most recent public polls on the South Carolina race, one of them from a decidedly Republican-friendly firm, have Graham leading by only one point. asserted
Graham → have → point
A news story over the weekend noted that “Republicans, for their part, said they expected Ms. Graham to need a financial boost to secure a win in the end,” and that there were “conversations about getting more help for Darline.” asserted
Graham → note → Darline
And then, just this morning, Axios reported that the main Republican Senate super PAC is shifting $5 million to South Carolina to help Graham. asserted
PAC → report → Graham
It seems President Trump and I are not the only ones who reached the conclusion that South Carolina is in play. asserted
Carolina → seem → play
And with a wave of the sort we’re seeing, why shouldn’t it be? asserted
it → see → sort
After all, Trump won Nebraska in 2024 by a wider margin than South Carolina, and he was in Nebraska last night trying to help save that Republican incumbent. asserted
he → win → incumbent
And last weekend’s New York Times/Siena polls had Democratic senate candidates up by seven and six points in Alaska and Texas, and South Carolina was only about five points more Republican in 2024 than those two states. asserted
Carolina → have → states
…and 55 more, not listed.
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support