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Paxton campaign rocked by THIRD leaked tape as he slams Iran war just hours before rally with Trump

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Churchill, V. (2026, October 7). Paxton campaign rocked by THIRD leaked tape as he slams Iran war just hours before rally with Trump. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16189935/Paxton-campaign-leaked-tape-Trump.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-07 · by Victoria Churchill

Quick Summary

Texas Senate candidate Ken Paxton faced another leak from a September 24 event where he criticized Washington decision-making for issues like the war with Iran and rising fuel costs, which affect diesel prices and overall expenses. This is the third leaked audio from the same event; Paxton acknowledged having no control over gas prices or ending the war. With under a month until Election Day, polls show Paxton trailing Democratic opponent James Talarico. The article highlights the challenges for Republican candidates as President Trump faces record-low approval ratings and battles to prevent Democrats from gaining control of Congress.
Written by AI on 2026-10-07, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Republican US Senate candidate Ken Paxton, running for office in Texas, admitted in leaked audio from a private fundraising event that rising fuel prices due to Donald Trump's war in Iran are hurting his campaign. When asked what was dragging his campaign, Paxton replied, "It’s not tariffs... it’s the war, it’s gas prices, it’s diesel." He added that when diesel reaches over $6 per gallon, people feel the pinch, leading to higher food and other essential costs. The audio leak comes just days before Trump is set to campaign with Paxton in San Antonio. With under a month until the midterms, Democrats are ahead in many competitive races, including Paxton's, highlighting Republicans' biggest problem being affordability issues.

Written for “Paxton Leaked Tapes Controversy” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Paxton Leaked Tapes Controversy
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 13% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 23 claims Outlet record 66/100
CBS News
⚖️ Centre Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different events: one involves leaked audio from an earlier campaign stop, while the other is about Trump's rally in Texas to support Paxton.”
Fox News
Hedges 1 of 14 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles describe different events: one involves leaked audio from a previous rally criticizing policy issues, and the other is about Paxton calling out his opponent's absence at a recent Trump rally.”
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A describes a leaked audio tape incident involving Ken Paxton criticizing Washington, while Article B covers President Trump's rally for Paxton where he addressed controversial comments about Iran.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 4 of 28 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different leaked audio recordings involving Ken Paxton on separate occasions.”
Fox News
Hedges 3 of 35 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles describe different occurrences involving Ken Paxton, one discussing his frustration with campaign control and another about a leaked audio tape where he criticizes Washington decision-making.”
TIME
Hedges 2 of 33 claims Outlet record 59/100
“Article A discusses a leaked audio tape from Ken Paxton's campaign, while Article B describes a rally with President Trump in San Antonio supporting Paxton.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 43 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A describes a leaked audio from September 24th where Paxton makes certain statements, while Article B covers a rally with Trump in San Antonio on October 7th or 8th.”
The Bulwark
⚖️ Leans strongly left Hedges 8 of 95 claims
“The articles describe different leaking incidents: one about control over campaign strategy and another about issues dragging his campaign, suggesting separate audio leaks on different dates.”
The Hindu
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 31 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe different parts of the same day's events, but not the exact same moment or incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
23
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
13%
3 of 23 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
68/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-07 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8448 article(s) · 20 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 20 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Victoria Churchill
50 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 - Sign up HERE for the DC Insider Newsletter - for your guide on all the latest from the midterm campaign trail and what's rattling the White House A history professor who has accurately predicted the outcome of nine of the last 11 presidential races has issued his final assessment of the 2026 midterms.
🔮 - Sign up HERE for the DC Insider Newsletter- our guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill Republicans are on course to lose the House of Representatives in less than a week, and even President Donald Trump fears his voters will stay home.
🔮 President Trump himself has cast doubt on the GOP's chance at success with concerns about whether conservative voters will show up to vote this fall – especially because he's not on the ballot.
🔮 Per Axios, Castellanos believes that 'Republicans and independents are going to be screaming for attention, and many of them, including those who voted for Trump, may show their frustration by not showing up.'
🔮 At the rally, Darline called him 'one of Lindsey's greatest friends,' adding that Trump 'will always be a part of the Graham family.' Last month, the GOP allocated an additional $5 million in South Carolina to support Darline. The influx of cash was being sent as an 'insurance policy,' per Axios, to keep a seat in Republicans' hands that Lindsey had always won by more than 10 percent.
🔮 El-Sayed, who is on the Democratic ticket for Michigan, has faced Trump's ire for his politics and Islamic background, with the President saying he is a 'Member of the Muslim Brotherhood,' and claiming that he 'should never be allowed inside the halls of our great, beautiful Capitol building in Washington, DC.' On Sunday, Trump said that 'Abdul' would have to 'be the only Senator that will have to have to go through a metal detector before he's allowed to go into the Senate.
🔮 The two chatted aboard Air Force One en route to President Donald Trump's rally in Michigan, where Minaj is expected to speak on stage later in the day.
🔮 Earlier in the interview, Trump shared that he has 'worked very hard,' telling Kudlow that he has 'done 14 rallies in 9 days,' before admitting, 'it's a lot,' which may offer an explanation for the raspy voice he appeared to have during the segment.
🔮 In a post sent by Mitchell, screenshotted by a source, the future GOP candidate shared a selfie boasting about racking up '2 alcohol violations in a week.' In another screenshotted post, he wrote that he was 'taking lots of xanx tonight,' adding 'and no one will stop me.'
🔮 This is a breaking news story and will be updated.
Also by Victoria Churchill
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 50 articles by Victoria Churchill →

Topics

Democratic Republican Texas US Senate Washington

Subjects

Paxton PERSON · 11× Trump PERSON · 8× Texas GPE · 4× Ken Paxton PERSON · 3× Republican NORP · 3× Washington GPE · 3× Democratic NORP · 2× Republicans NORP · 2× Tracy Duhon PERSON · 2× US Senate ORG · 2×

Narrative

US President Donald Trump delivers remarks during a rally for Texas Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton in Denton, Texas, last week Republican US Senate candidate and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton was seen traveling to Iceland during the July 4th holiday weekend with his mistress Tracy Duhon The price of diesel is displayed in the pump of a gas station in Los Angeles, on September 22, 2026 The president is also battling record-low approval ratings and a cost-of-living crisis fueled by the war in Iran. Diesel surged to around $6.50 a gallon last month, pushing up the cost of transporting everything from groceries to construction materials across the country. The dramatic spike has been fueled by turmoil overseas in response to the wars in Ukraine and Iran, which have led to attacks on refineries in Russia and the Middle East.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-07
🔮 At a White House dinner in September, Trump laid a slew of backhanded compliments on Paxton, saying, 'you might not like the way he looks, you might not love his television interviews,' before praising him as the 'best attorney general' and adding 'that speaks a lot louder than the suit he's wearing that doesn't look so great.' Trump also said that Paxton 'can be a pain in the ass' during a visit to a truck plant in Denton, Texas last week. Still, at the Washington DC event last month, Paxton told lobbyists that messaging in a federal race often comes from others, leaving him stuck with decisions he cannot alter.

Claims (23 extracted, 3 hedged)

- Sign up HERE for the DC Insider Newsletter- our guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill Trailing US Senate candidate Ken Paxton has been caught trashing Washington decision-making yet again, as more explosive audio has surfaced just hours before he is due to share the stage with President Trump. Paxton was asked by an attendee what he sees as 'dragging' his campaign, to which he responded, 'It's not tariffs.... asserted
It → sign → which
It's the war, it's gas prices, it's diesel,' according to the audio from a September 24th event. uncertain
it → accord → event
The Lone Star State Republican made the admission to a room of lobbyists at a private fundraising lunch in Washington, DC, per audio reported on by Axios. asserted
Republican → make → Axios
'When it's over $6 per gallon for diesel... people are feeling the pinch,' Paxton also stated, before adding that rising fuel costs drive 'up food prices and everything else.' The Texan also acknowledged that he can't stop the war, and has 'no control over gas prices.' asserted
he → feel → prices
Paxton's remarks are the third that have been leaked from the same event in the last month. asserted
that → leak → month
The revelation comes as Trump heads to San Antonio to campaign with him Wednesday evening. asserted
Trump → come → him
With under a month left before Election Day, Paxton is behind Democratic opponent, James Talarico, in the latest polling from the New York Times and Siena Research. asserted
Paxton → leave → Times
Paxton's campaign has also been marred by a slew of personal issues amid his ongoing divorce, and his fling with his mistress Tracy Duhon, which the Daily Mail has extensively reported on. asserted
Mail → mar → which
The leak comes at a perilous moment for Republicans, as Trump is being forced to campaign in deep-red states as the GOP scrambles to stop Democrats from seizing control of both the House and Senate. asserted
GOP → come → House
US President Donald Trump delivers remarks during a rally for Texas Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton in Denton, Texas, last week Republican US Senate candidate and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton was seen traveling to Iceland during the July 4th holiday weekend with his mistress Tracy Duhon The price of diesel is displayed in the pump of a gas station in Los Angeles, on September 22, 2026 The president is also battling record-low approval ratings and a cost-of-living crisis fueled by the war in Iran. Diesel surged to around $6.50 a gallon last month, pushing up the cost of transporting everything from groceries to construction materials across the country. The dramatic spike has been fueled by turmoil overseas in response to the wars in Ukraine and Iran, which have led to attacks on refineries in Russia and the Middle East. asserted
which → deliver → Russia
A new Reuters/Ipsos poll found Trump's approval rating to be 32 percent. asserted
rating → find → ?
That same poll found that 44 percent of voters surveyed preferred Democratic candidates, compared to just 37 percent who favored Republicans. asserted
who → find → Republicans
Against that backdrop, Paxton privately complained about how little control he has over his own campaign in separate leaked audio obtained by Politico and released Monday. asserted
he → complain → Politico
'I don't control message or what we're doing,' he said, griping that the direction was coming from DC. asserted
direction → control → DC
The admission was striking given Paxton owes his candidacy to Trump after spending months fighting for the president's endorsement during a brutal GOP primary. asserted
Paxton → give → primary
At a White House dinner in September, Trump laid a slew of backhanded compliments on Paxton, saying, 'you might not like the way he looks, you might not love his television interviews,' before praising him as the 'best attorney general' and adding 'that speaks a lot louder than the suit he's wearing that doesn't look so great.' Trump also said that Paxton 'can be a pain in the ass' during a visit to a truck plant in Denton, Texas last week. Still, at the Washington DC event last month, Paxton told lobbyists that messaging in a federal race often comes from others, leaving him stuck with decisions he cannot alter. uncertain
he → lay → decisions
'I don't have ability to change anything,' he said. asserted
he → have → anything
One attendee told Politico that Paxton never blamed Trump's team by name, but those in the room understood who he meant. asserted
he → tell → who
The two are pictured here in November of 2019 The comments are particularly awkward for a candidate who won the nomination by branding incumbent John Cornyn a Washington insider insufficiently loyal to Trump. asserted
who → picture → Trump
'I'm not their person and I'm never going to be their person,' Paxton said of the DC establishment during the primary, according to the AP. uncertain
Paxton → go → AP
Paxton adviser Nick Maddux insisted the attorney general was 'obviously' referring to super PACs, which campaigns cannot coordinate with. asserted
campaigns → insist → which
In a separate recording obtained by the New York Times, Paxton said Trump's midterm convention in Texas 'dropped our numbers' — a report Maddux dismissed as 'manipulated nonsense'. asserted
Maddux → obtain → nonsense
Despite the polling anxiety, Paxton maintains a major cash advantage over Talarico, rolling out a $20 million ad buy last month while receiving millions from Senate Majority Leader John Thune's GOP fund since September. asserted
Paxton → maintain → September
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