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Hochul leads Blakeman by 11 points, but losing ground with this key voting bloc in new Marist poll

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Fierick, H., Golden, V., & Brown, H. (2026, October 7). Hochul leads Blakeman by 11 points, but losing ground with this key voting bloc in new Marist poll. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/07/us-news/hochul-leads-blakeman-by-11-points-but-losing-ground-with-this-key-voting-bloc-in-new-marist-poll/

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New York Post · collected 2026-10-07 · by Hannah Fierick, Vaughn Golden, Haley Brown

Quick Summary

A Marist poll shows New York Governor Kathy Hochul leading Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman by 11 points in the race for governor with 53% to 42%, based on a survey of 1,361 registered voters. However, Hochul is losing ground among independent voters and suburban areas, where Blakeman has support from 49% of independents compared to 42% for Hochul and the race is tied in suburbs at 48%. Hochul dominates in New York City with a 69%-to-24% margin over Blakeman.
Written by AI on 2026-10-07, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In a newly released Marist poll, Governor Kathy Hochul leads Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman by 11 points with only four weeks left until the New York governor election. The poll surveyed 1,361 registered voters and found Hochul at 53% compared to Blakeman's 42%. However, among independents, Blakeman leads 49% to 42%, and both candidates are nearly tied in suburban areas with each receiving 48%. In New York City, the gap widens significantly: Hochul holds a strong lead at 69% against Blakeman's 24%. Despite the poll results, Blakeman criticized it as "woke" during an event in Queens and predicted high turnout for him in the city.

Written for “New York Gubernatorial Race Polls” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 New York Gubernatorial Race Polls
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
Hedges 3 of 15 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles report on different polls conducted by Marist and Emerson College respectively, covering similar but distinct snapshots of the gubernatorial race.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
16
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 16 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-07 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 16532 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Hannah Fierick
25 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 Now they’re facing a new nightmare – as the city is filling the building’s vacant apartments with unsupervised placements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani-backed programs like The Fortune Society – without providing on-site social workers or oversight. “It is not an exaggeration to say that many tenants are living in fear for their safety,” the Tenant Association said in a statement.
🔮 That means about 200 carriage drivers will see their livelihoods – and entire industry – vanish from the city without a trace in less than two years.
🔮 The City Council quietly passed a controversial bill that would give nonprofits the first shot at buying up distressed Big Apple properties.
🔮 Chi Ossé, a Democratic Socialists of American chum of Mayor Zohran Mamdani, ditched government hearings on Monday and Tuesday to instead travel multiple hours outside of his Brooklyn district to head to Rochester and Syracuse.
🔮 Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s Democratic Socialists of America crony Chi Ossé has the worst attendance record of any member of the City Council, records show.
🔮 Gov. Kathy Hochul said Wednesday that Mayor Zohran Mamdani made the right call to stick by NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch, despite mounting pressure from Hizzoner’s socialist comrades.
🔮 New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani insisted he has “no plans” to fire NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch, despite rabid demands from his radical cronies — as he appeared alongside the Big Apple’s top cop to honor fallen officers Tuesday.
🔮 Mayor Zohran Mamdani and City Council Speaker Julie Menin have struck a deal to an horse drawn carriages in the Big Apple.
🔮 Social media trolls spewed vile hate towards the Big Apple’s police commissioner Jessica Tisch –- echoing calls from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s political allies demanding he axe the top cop from her post.
🔮 When Big Apple Mayor Zohran Mamdani and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul announced the controversial tax on luxury second homes — or co-ops worth more than $1 million and houses over $5 million — in the city, they claimed the policy would generate $500 million-plus in revenue.
Also by Hannah Fierick
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 25 articles by Hannah Fierick →
Vaughn Golden
43 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 The initiative will also include a science-technology-engineering and math, or STEM, career-readiness curriculum focused on data science, healthcare, software development and advanced manufacturing.
🔮 The mailer may also violate limits on how much local candidates can spend supporting candidates on the federal level.
🔮 I will share funding away from government to faith-based organizations, who work in the community, who live in the community.”
🔮 AI chatbots will be banned from feigning human emotions in conversations with kids, under a new law signed by New York Gov. Kathy Hochul Wednesday.
🔮 Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman warned New York voters that congestion pricing could come to a “community near you” if Gov. Kathy Hochul wins reelection Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, vowed to kill the program outright if he beats the Democratic incumbent in the Nov. 3 election as he claimed Hochul could have a menu of new taxes she could unleash if she secures another term. “Doesn’t matter whether it’s New York City, Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, Albany, Binghamton or any town in between,” Blakeman claimed while speaking on Fifth Avenue in Manhattan Tuesday.
🔮 Hotel bills were for her entire team, and may have included multiple stays for multiple nights.
🔮 Big Apple Mayor Zohran Mamdani will finally hit the campaign trail with Gov. Kathy Hochul — with less than two weeks before Election Day, the incumbent Democrat announced Thursday.
🔮 Kassay, who is seeking a second two-year term to the Assembly’s third district in Suffolk, is facing Republican Will Sussman in the Nov. 3 election.
🔮 New York state’s rosy mid-2026 economic picture could come crashing down if a potential AI-fueled market bubble bursts, Gov. Kathy Hochul’s Budget Director Blake Washington warned recently.
🔮 “People will say elections are term limits.
Also by Vaughn Golden
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 43 articles by Vaughn Golden →
Haley Brown
30 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 Queens 7-train riders will have to endure another five months of detours and closures after station repairs were expanded — as the project’s price tag soared to $254 million.
🔮 “I don’t think he’s gonna get fired immediately, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he was eventually pushed out,” the source said.
🔮 The way trucks are tolled may be keeping them parked in the zone, Geotab data showed.
🔮 The Adams administration-era redesign will work, but building owners and contractors aren’t likely to spring for better looking sheds while cheaper green plywood versions remain an option, said David Burney, a Pratt Institute associate professor and former city construction commissioner.
🔮 Mayor Zohran Mamdani said Wednesday the city now has red light cameras at as many intersections as state law allows.
🔮 Shuttle buses will replace both trains between Myrtle Avenue-Broadway in Brooklyn and Essex Street in Manhattan, and J trains will only run between Jamaica Center and Myrtle Avenue-Broadway as crews replace track switches, according to the MTA.
🔮 Citi Bike has increased its footprint by about 11% in New York City, adding 234 stations across seven new neighborhoods in Brooklyn, Queens and the Bronx, Mayor Zohran Mamdani announced Thursday.
🔮 Gov. Kathy Hochul said Wednesday that Mayor Zohran Mamdani made the right call to stick by NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch, despite mounting pressure from Hizzoner’s socialist comrades.
🔮 Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s transportation boss all but declared war on drivers during an event Thursday — claiming most car owners are “wealthy” and calling parking a public land “giveaway.”
🔮 “On January 1st, as governor, I will sign an executive order, New York State is no longer a sanctuary state.”
Also by Haley Brown
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 30 articles by Haley Brown →

Topics

Democrats Marist New York City Queens Republican

Subjects

Hochul PERSON · 4× Marist ORG · 4× Blakeman PERSON · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× Democrats NORP · 2× New York City GPE · 2× Queens GPE · 2× Republican NORP · 2× Republicans NORP · 2× Kathy Hochul PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Gov. Kathy Hochul holds an 11-point lead over Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, but is losing ground among independents with just four weeks to go in the race for governor, a newly released Marist poll shows.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-07

Claims (16 extracted, 0 hedged)

Gov. Kathy Hochul holds an 11-point lead over Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, but is losing ground among independents with just four weeks to go in the race for governor, a newly released Marist poll shows. asserted
poll → hold → governor
The survey sampled 1,361 registered voters across New York state and found the Democratic governor ahead of her Republican rival 53% to 42%. asserted
governor → sample → rival
But Blakeman had a strong showing among independent voters, carrying 49% in the survey compared to 42% who backed Hochul. asserted
who → have → Hochul
And the two are in a dead heat in the the Empire State’s suburbs, split at 48%. asserted
two → split → %
The governor crushed Blakeman in New York City by a 69% to 24% margin, the poll found. asserted
poll → crush → margin
The survey mirrors a Marist 2022 poll that had Hochul with a 10-point lead over her Republican opponent, then-Rep. Lee Zeldin. asserted
that → mirror → opponent
Hochul wound up beating Zeldin by 6 points. asserted
Hochul → wind → points
Blakeman blasted the poll as “woke” while speaking to reporters at a Queens event. asserted
Blakeman → blast → event
“The phony Marist poll by the woke university that always favors Democrats over Republicans,” he charged, before predicting he’ll get “record turnout” in New York City. asserted
he → favor → City
Meanwhile, Hochul dismissed questions over whether she was concerned about the race. asserted
she → dismiss → race
Double digits means something,” she told reporters Wednesday. asserted
she → mean → reporters
“So, I’ll just let you all analyze that.” asserted
you → let → that
The Marist poll also found respondents favoring national Democrats over Republicans ahead of the pivotal midterms, 55% to 42%. asserted
respondents → find → midterms
Asked how much President Trump influences their vote for congress in next month’s election, 33% indicated he’s not much of a factor either way, while 44% said they’re casting their vote “against” Trump. asserted
they → ask → Trump
Almost half – 49% – of independents surveyed said Trump is not much of a factor. asserted
Trump → survey → factor
The survey, conducted between Oct. 1 and Oct. 4, has a margin of error of 3.6%. asserted
survey → conduct → %
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