Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 20 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
72/100
Dawn's corrections and
hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
3
Environment
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
El Nino will intensify even more before peaking in December, the United Nations said Thursday, warning it could be among the strongest witnessed since at least 1950.
uncertain
it → intensify → 1950
The naturally occurring weather phenomenon is set to bring higher temperatures to much of the planet, the UN’s weather and climate agency said, with its impact compounding the effects of man-made climate change.
asserted
impact → occur → change
“El Nino will continue to intensify ahead of its forecast peak in December,” the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) said in its monthly Global Seasonal Climate Update.
“It is likely to bring above-average temperatures to much of the globe and shift rainfall patterns, increasing the risk of drought and floods in different regions.”
asserted
It → continue → regions
El Nino warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, bringing worldwide changes in winds, pressure and rainfall patterns.
asserted
Nino → warm → winds
It typically takes place every two to seven years and lasts around nine to 12 months.
asserted
It → take → months
Conditions oscillate between El Nino and its opposite La Nina, with neutral conditions in between.
asserted
Conditions → oscillate → between
El Nino ‘strengthening rapidly’
asserted
Nino → strengthen → ?
“Sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific are forecast to increase to record levels during October-November-December 2026, reflecting the strengthening of the El Nino event which will drive weather patterns and impact economies, ecosystems and communities across the globe,” the WMO said.
asserted
WMO → forecast → globe
The forecast is based on consensus across 13 leading national and international meteorological centres.
asserted
forecast → base → centres
“El Nino is firmly established and strengthening rapidly,” said WMO chief Celeste Saulo.
asserted
Saulo → establish → ?
“WMO forecasts indicate a near-100 per cent likelihood that it will persist through February 2027, potentially being one of the strongest since at least 1950.”
asserted
it → indicate → 1950
Saulo explained that El Nino does not add new heat to the planet, but releases heat being stored in the ocean.
asserted
Nino → explain → ocean
“The ocean it’s drawing from is the warmest we’ve ever measured it.
asserted
we → draw → it
There is simply more heat available to release,” she said.
asserted
she → be → ?
Sea temperatures record
The index which measures sea surface temperature anomalies across the central-eastern equatorial Pacific — the region at the heart of El Nino — increased from 1.6°C above normal in June to 2.5°C above normal in August.
asserted
which → measure → August
For October-November-December, the anomaly is forecast to reach approximately 3.7°C above normal.
asserted
anomaly → forecast → normal
This would be the highest since observations began, eclipsing the previous record of 2.6°C set in 2015-2016.
asserted
observations → begin → 2015
The last El Nino contributed to making 2023 the second-hottest year on record and 2024 the all-time high at around 1.55°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average.
asserted
2024 → contribute → average
While El Nino usually peaks between November and February, the resulting spike in temperatures typically comes later.
asserted
spike → peak → temperatures
This El Nino is already hitting some regions hard, including in Central America, where animals and crops are dying from drought.
asserted
animals → hit → drought
The Aporia
