Photo via The Straits Times

Le Pen and Melenchon gain momentum ahead of French 2027 election, poll shows

Read the original at The Straits Times ↗
Cite

The Straits Times. (2026, October 14). Le Pen and Melenchon gain momentum ahead of French 2027 election, poll shows. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/le-pen-and-melenchon-gain-momentum-ahead-of-french-2027-election-poll-shows

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Straits Times · collected 2026-10-14 · by The Straits Times

Quick Summary

A recent poll by Odoxa indicates that Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Melenchon are leading in pre-election sentiment for the French 2027 presidential race. Conducted between September 24 and October 7, the survey of 12,000 people shows Le Pen with either 37% or 38% support for the first round, followed by Melenchon at 18% or 18.5%. The poll highlights a polarized political landscape as Emmanuel Macron's tenure nears its end, with centrist candidates like Edouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal lagging significantly behind.
Written by AI on 2026-10-14, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of October 14, 2026, a poll by Odoxa shows that French far-right leader Marine Le Pen and hard-left rival Jean-Luc Mélenchon are gaining momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential election. In scenarios tested among 12,000 people between September 24 and October 7, Le Pen is projected to lead in the first round with either 37% or 38% of votes, while Mélenchon would secure 18% or 18.5%. This polarisation widens as Emmanuel Macron's presidency nears its end, with centrist candidates like Edouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal polling significantly lower at 17% and 11%, respectively. Le Pen is also predicted to easily win in a run-off against Mélenchon or Philippe, indicating the shrinking influence of France’s centrist political space.

Written for “French Election Polls Update” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 French Election Polls Update
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Le Pen, Melenchon head for run-off as France's political divide deepens, poll shows Different event
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 0 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different polls conducted by different pollsters over different time periods.”
French centre left must wage ‘existential battle’ to prevent far right winning presidency Different event
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left further left than this Hedges 1 of 22 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the French political landscape and election dynamics, rather than a single specific incident or occurrence.”
Presidential hopeful Melenchon joins France school protest march Different event
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Centre further left than this Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe different aspects of Melenchon's political activities: one focuses on his participation in a school protest march, while the other reports poll results about his electoral standing.”
Marine Le Pen promises ‘trial of strength’ with EU if elected French president Different event
The Independent
Hedges 4 of 20 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Marine Le Pen's political situation and future prospects, not a single specific event.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
11
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 11 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
The Straits Times's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-14 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Straits Times · 4076 article(s) · 5 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 5 correction(s)
2026-10-30
Number of residents leaving Oleshky still unclear, Kyiv says
2026-10-21
X Community Notes ‘failed’ to flag US election falsehoods, study says
2026-10-04
Tennessee prison chief resigns after failed execution
2026-10-03
US prison chief resigns after failed execution of death row inmate Christa Pike
2026-09-13
Russia hits Ukrainian-Polish border area, Kyiv says

Who wrote this

The Straits Times
2577 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The president of the Castilla-La Mancha region, Emiliano Garcia-Page, and Urda mayor Manuel Galan were among the officials who attended the service.
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Spanish village gathers for memorial Mass for train crash victims
🔮 Iran warns fresh US strikes would unleash ‘flames of war’ far beyond current conflict AI generated
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Iran warns fresh US strikes would unleash ‘flames of war’ far beyond current conflict
🔮 Rubio to host meeting of Indo-Pacific Quad, wrap up G20 gathering WASHINGTON, Oct 31 - US Secretary of State Marco Rubio will host a meeting with the foreign ministers of Australia, India and Japan on Saturday, their third meeting this year, as plans take shape for a summit of the leaders of the four countries in Manila next month. The leaders' summit, slated to occur during the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) conference in the Philippine capital November 15-18, will be the first since 2024, and the first for US President Donald Trump.
2026-10-31 · mixed framing · Rubio to host meeting of Indo-Pacific Quad, wrap up G20 gathering
🔮 "What was achieved, nobody, absolutely nobody, could even have imagined.
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Abuse survivors to press Church on accountability during pope's trip to South America
🔮 "Listening to calls for a formal apology on behalf of the British state will form an important part of this process, and I am open to them," he added.
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · UK PM Burnham says he is 'open' to formal apology for slavery, but rules out reparations
🔮 It is one of 35 races in the 100-member Senate that will set the tone for Trump's final two years in office.
2026-10-31 · mixed framing · US campaign for control of Congress enters final weekend
🔮 "In a few hours, all Ukrainian citizens evacuated from Oleshky together with a Ukrainian delegation will be on Ukrainian territory.
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Residents of Russian-controlled Ukrainian town arrive in Belarus
🔮 US ambassador to Poland, Tom Rose, warned all sides: “Don’t take any action that could provoke violence or further escalation.”
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Polish President calls crisis talks after court stand-off
🔮 Lula supporters, shocked by right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro's first-round lead, quickly mobilized as the prospect sank in that the Bolsonaro clan could return to power.
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · When buses stopped running on Brazil election day, 'Lula's Army' grabbed their car keys
🔮 Egypt fears escalation in Iran war would be more destructive, foreign minister says MANAMA, Oct 31 -
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Egypt fears escalation in Iran war would be more destructive, foreign minister says
Also by The Straits Times
Spanish village gathers for memorial Mass for train crash victims
2026-10-31 · The Straits Times
Poland's president accuses Tusk of forced takeover of country's top court
2026-10-31 · The Straits Times
Iran warns fresh US strikes would unleash ‘flames of war’ far beyond current conflict
2026-10-31 · The Straits Times
US campaign for control of Congress enters final weekend
2026-10-31 · The Straits Times
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 2577 articles by The Straits Times →

Topics

France French Odoxa PARIS REUTERS

Subjects

Le Pen PERSON · 4× Melenchon PERSON · 4× French NORP · 2× Macron PERSON · 2× Philippe PERSON · 2× Emmanuel Macron's PERSON · 1× Jean-Luc Melenchon PERSON · 1× Marine Le Pen PERSON · 1× Odoxa ORG · 1× PARIS GPE · 1×

Narrative

French far-right leader Marine Le Pen and hard-left rival Jean-Luc Melenchon are gaining momentum ahead of next year's presidential election, a poll showed on Wednesday, with political polarisation widening as Emmanuel Macron's era draws to a close.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-14
🔮 • Le Pen would top the first-round vote with either 37% or 38% depending on the scenarios tested by pollster Odoxa in a survey carried out among 12,000 people between September 24 and October 7.
2026-10-14 · The Straits Times
Le Pen and Melenchon gain momentum ahead of French 2027 election, poll shows · assertive framing

Claims (11 extracted, 0 hedged)

Le Pen and Melenchon gain momentum ahead of French 2027 election, poll shows PARIS, Oct 14 - asserted
poll → gain → election
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen and hard-left rival Jean-Luc Melenchon are gaining momentum ahead of next year's presidential election, a poll showed on Wednesday, with political polarisation widening as Emmanuel Macron's era draws to a close. asserted
era → gain → close
• Le Pen would top the first-round vote with either 37% or 38% depending on the scenarios tested by pollster Odoxa in a survey carried out among 12,000 people between September 24 and October 7. asserted
Pen → top → September
• Melenchon would come second with 18% or 18.5% in each of the two scenarios. asserted
Melenchon → come → scenarios
• Both were tested against one centrist candidate comprising either Edouard Philippe or Gabriel Attal, both of whom are former Prime Ministers of Emmanuel Macron. asserted
both → test → Macron
Philippe is seen getting 17% of the votes, while Attal would get only 11%. asserted
Attal → see → %
• Le Pen is seen beating Melenchon easily in a run-off and also winning, albeit with a more narrow margin, if she faced Philippe. asserted
she → see → Philippe
• The growing unpopularity of Macron, as he comes to the end of his two terms as president, has hollowed out France's centrist political ground. asserted
he → grow → ground
• Melenchon has already run three times for president in 2012, 2017 and 2022 but has never managed to reach the second round. asserted
Melenchon → run → round
Le Pen has also run these same three times. asserted
Pen → run → ?
She made it to the run-off in 2017 and 2022, but lost to Macron. asserted
She → make → Macron
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support
Terms · Privacy · beta v2.0.0
Articles to 31 Oct 2026