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Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest

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Cite

Kerry, C. (2026, October 15). Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/sport/racing/runner-by-runner-guide-to-the-2026-everest-20261015-p614uf.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

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The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-15 · by Craig Kerry

Quick Summary

This article provides a detailed preview of the 2026 Everest horse race at Royal Randwick Racecourse, focusing on three main contenders: Ka Ying Rising, Jimmysstar, and Giga Kick. Ka Ying Rising, trained by David Hayes and ridden by Zac Purton, is favored to win despite concerns about wet track conditions and a wide barrier draw. Jimmysstar, trained by Ciaron Maher with Nash Rawiller as jockey, showed strong form in his last race but has yet to prove himself on heavy ground. Giga Kick, trained by Clayton Douglas and ridden by Dylan Gibbons, is returning for a third attempt at the race after winning in 2022 and finishing second in 2024, with potential advantages if the track conditions are wet.
Written by AI on 2026-10-15, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On October 17, 2026, Tempted, a four-year-old mare trained by Ciaron Maher and owned by Godolphin Australia, upset the defending champion Ka Ying Rising to win the $20 million Everest at Randwick. Despite starting as a $6.50 underdog due to track conditions drying from heavy 8 to soft 5, Tempted rode boldly with jockey Chad Schofield and finished just half a neck ahead of Ka Ying Rising in the 1200m race. This victory ended Ka Ying Rising's impressive winning streak at 21 races. The Hong Kong superstar had been favored at $1.35, but was three-wide from gate 11, while Tempted started from gate one and carried an extra 5.5 kilograms compared to last year’s race.

Written for “The Everest Race 2026” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 4 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 The Everest Race 2026
Sports · 5 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 12% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 1 of 43 claims Outlet record 61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 2 of 43 claims Outlet record 61/100
“Article A discusses the prospects of Tempted and Jimmysstar competing against Ka Ying Rising in the upcoming Everest race, while Article B provides a general guide to the 2026 Everest race including details about Ka Ying Rising's form.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 3 of 23 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss related racing events and odds for Ka Ying Rising but describe different aspects and outcomes.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
66
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
12%
8 of 66 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
5
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-15 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 5874 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Craig Kerry
43 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 A draw in 18, which will come into 15 with emergencies out, will make it tougher for Bayliss to give Fully Lit ($10 TAB) a similar ride in a race stacked with speed, but he remained hopeful.
🔮 The son of Written Tycoon, now destined for a career at stud with a group 1 on his resume, will go for a spell and likely return in the Apollo Stakes (1400m) at Randwick in February. “He was only ever going to have four runs, and it was a tough run,” Ryan said.
🔮 The cracking pace set and the barrier helped him clock 1:14.05 on Saturday, bettering Trapeze Artist’s 2019 record of 1:14.19. Godolphin racing and bloodstock manager Jason Walsh said the group 1 CF Orr (1400m) at Sandown on November 14 could be next for Pericles. “We were talking about the CF Orr Stakes from here, but a little bit might depend on whether Beiwacht is turning up there as well, but that’s probably the next option,” Walsh said.
🔮 Michael, John and Wayne Hawkes-trained Federalist was also scratched from the Golden Eagle on Wednesday and will spell, cutting the field to 16. Star mare Sheza Alibi was $1.90 after drawing ideally in six for owner Fred Noffke and Victorian trainers Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman.
🔮 “To look at her, you wouldn’t give much for her, but geez, she seems to have everything.
🔮 He took it on and couldn’t put it together, I suppose, so they asked me to train it.
🔮 “I always had an air of confidence she would run her best race today,” Maher said.
🔮 Why this seven-year-old, $34 shot might just be poised to spring an almighty Everest upset By
🔮 TAB senior trader Tim Ryan says Everest day favourites Ka Ying Rising and Autumn Glow are set to deliver a multimillion dollar “wipeout” on Saturday, after the blow of losing Pride Of Jenni from the King Charles III Stakes.
🔮 The six-year-old, expected to take his winning streak to 22 on Saturday and prizemoney past $37 million, has raced just once on rain-affected going, and won.
2026-10-15 · assertive framing · Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest
Also by Craig Kerry
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 43 articles by Craig Kerry →

Topics

ATC Everest Hong Kong Jockey Club Linebacker TAB

Subjects

Coolmore PERSON · 2× Giga Kick PERSON · 2× Hayes PERSON · 2× Jimmysstar ORG · 2× TAB ORG · 2× Yulong ORG · 2× David Hayes PERSON · 1× Hong Kong Jockey Club ORG · 1× Ka Ying Rising PERSON · 1× Zac Purton PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Trainer: Brad Widdup Jockey: Zac Lloyd Slot-holder: Mulberry Racing Barrier: 7 Weight: 56.5kg TAB: $81 The four-year-old mare appeared a highly unlikely Everest candidate when she finished last first-up in the Toy Show Quality (1100m), but she has since put herself in the picture with a return to her on-pace best with a front-running win in the Sheraco Stakes (1200m) then second to Tempted in the Premiere (1200m).
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-15
🔮 The six-year-old, expected to take his winning streak to 22 on Saturday and prizemoney past $37 million, has raced just once on rain-affected going, and won.
2026-10-15 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest · assertive framing

Claims (66 extracted, 8 hedged)

Trainer: David Hayes Jockey: Zac Purton Slot-holder: Hong Kong Jockey Club (leased from ATC) Barrier: 11 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $1.50 Seemingly unbeatable for so long, Ka Ying Rising’s stranglehold on the race has been loosening slightly, in the public view at least, as the Everest nears. Sound familiar? asserted
Everest → lease → view
Last year, it was a plain trial effort behind Linebacker and Overpass that sparked speculation the Hong Kong superstar had not handled the trip for his first overseas mission and test away from the pristine Sha Tin surface. asserted
superstar → spark → surface
He still won by a length and a quarter, even though Hayes and Purton said he was below his best. asserted
he → win → best
This year, a likely wet track is the question mark as he returns as the world’s highest-rated horse with another four Sha Tin track records and lessons learned from last time. asserted
he → return → time
His lone Randwick trial, held on a soft 7, was better, but again he was shaded, this time by Ninja. asserted
he → hold → Ninja
The six-year-old, expected to take his winning streak to 22 on Saturday and prizemoney past $37 million, has raced just once on rain-affected going, and won. asserted
old → expect → going
Hayes has concerns about a genuine heavy Randwick track, which seems a real possibility, but he has also seen his star power through slush in trials. asserted
star → have → trials
A wide draw is another factor, but his early speed should overcome that. asserted
speed → overcome → that
New challenges, but class usually prevails. asserted
class → prevail → ?
Jimmysstar Trainer: Ciaron Maher Jockey: Nash Rawiller Slot-holder: TAB Barrier: 8 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $13 Third last year despite a wide gate and run, Jimmysstar appeared a logical choice for another Everest, especially after winning the Russell Balding and CF Orr Stakes at his next two starts. asserted
Jimmysstar → appear → starts
However, connections of the seven-year-old were weighing up other options after he finished five lengths away in the Memsie Stakes (1400m), before he was back to his best at 1200m when winning the Manikato last start to lock in another Everest with TAB. asserted
he → weigh → TAB
He has performed well on wet tracks, with five wins and four placings in 13 runs, including victory on a soft 7 at Randwick in the Russell Balding, but he is yet to tackle heavy ground. asserted
he → perform → ground
Rawiller is a quality replacement for Ethan Brown in the saddle and a kind run and hot tempo should have the winner of $10 million in the money again. asserted
winner → have → money
Trainer: Clayton Douglas Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Slot-holder: Coolmore Barrier: 12 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $34 A biennial Everest specialist, Giga Kick returns for a third go at the race after winning in 2022 and finishing runner-up in 2024. asserted
specialist → return → 2024
He has been 10th in the Moir Stakes and eighth in the Manikato Stakes this time in, but he has fired third up at Randwick before, winning the All Aged Stakes and finishing second in the TJ Smith Stakes. asserted
he → fire → Stakes
A wet track could be an advantage, given he won the Champions Sprint on a heavy track last spring and was second in the 2023 TJ in his other run on it. uncertain
he → give → it
The extreme outside draw looks a disadvantage, but runners coming down the outside might have an edge late in the day on a heavy, turn up track. uncertain
runners → look → track
Trainer: Chris Waller Jockey: Ben Melham Slot-holder: Yulong Investments (owner) Barrier: 2 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $51 Strangely the last confirmed starter for the race, the enigmatic stallion prospect for Yulong will run in his second Everest, this time for his owners. asserted
prospect → confirm → owners
The five-year-old Harry Angel entire looked the likely pick for Yulong after running through the line strongly for sixth, two lengths away, last year for slot-holder James Harron, before snaring a long-awaited group 1 last start in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes a month ago at 1400m. asserted
Angel → look → 1400
Confirmation, though, did not come until Monday. asserted
Confirmation → come → Monday
Perhaps connections had an eye on the forecast, as well as their other options, such as three-year-old colt Paradoxium, which faded to fourth in the Roman Consul. asserted
which → have → Consul
Often a tease for punters with his late surges to the line without winning, Angel Capital thrived on dry ground last start but has never raced on heavy going and has only a debut win on a soft 5 Cranbourne track to show from four goes on anything but good. asserted
Capital → win → anything
Talented, but he will get back and 1400m appears his best distance. asserted
m → get → ?
The inside gate should at least give him an economical trip in the running line. asserted
gate → give → line
Caballus Trainer: Bjorn Baker Jockey: Tim Clark Slot-holder: James Harron Bloodstock Barrier: 10 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $151 The penultimate pick for the field, the six-year-old Darby Racing gelding was a surprise choice last Friday for some after finishing fifth, almost four lengths off Tempted, when first-up in the Premiere Stakes. asserted
gelding → finish → Stakes
The group 1 Newmarket winner, though, has an exceptional second-up record of four wins in five attempts and is a tough, seasoned campaigner after coming back from a bleeding attack at Scone last year to break through at the top level. asserted
winner → have → level
A wet track looks to be no help. asserted
track → look → ?
He has won three times on soft going but all of those were on a five and his only try on heavy was an eighth in the Champions Sprint last November at Flemington. asserted
try → win → Flemington
The wide gate is another obstacle, although he may be able to follow stablemate and expected front-runner Blue Door, drawn in nine, across. 6. uncertain
he → follow → 6
Headwall Trainer: Matthew Smith Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy Slot-holders: Max Whitby, Neil Werrett, Col Madden and Steve McCann Barrier: 6 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $51 Looks over the odds after two excellent runs this preparation. asserted
TAB → look → runs
The seven-year-old returned after a year out with a pastern injury to rattle home after finding trouble and finish a half-length behind Tempted in the Concorde Stakes (1000m), a race he won in 2025. asserted
he → return → 2025
He was then strong again late when a length away from front-running winner Mazu in The Shorts (1100m). asserted
He → run → Shorts
A solid tempo and an extra 100m could have him in the mix again. uncertain
tempo → have → mix
Rain could enhance his chances. uncertain
Rain → enhance → chances
He easily won both runs on heavy tracks, although one was on debut at Newcastle and the other was a midweek benchmark race for five-year-olds and above. asserted
other → win → olds
He also has finished top three in all four soft-track runs, but he hasn’t raced on a wet track in more than two years. asserted
he → finish → years
Smith was pleased with the middle draw, which should give McEvoy the chance to find a spot closer in the run. asserted
which → please → run
Ninja Trainer: Michael Freedman Jockey: Tommy Berry Slot-holder: Fairway Thoroughbreds (part-owner) Barrier: 3 Weight: 58.5kg TAB: $19 The first officially locked in for the Everest, Ninja was selected by part-owner John Camilleri, the man famous for breeding Winx, off his 1200m Missile Stakes win in August. asserted
Ninja → lock → August
The first-up victory over Napoleonic and Angel Capital followed a three-year-old season featuring wins in the Vo Rogue Plate (1300m) and Hobartville (1400m), and a luckless second in the Magic Millions Guineas (1400m). asserted
victory → follow → Guineas
Typically an on-pace runner which can absorb pressure, he made up decent ground after a run wide and back in the Shorts, when already in the Everest, but his stocks rose in an October 6 trial when going to the line just ahead of Ka Ying Rising on a soft 7 surface. asserted
stocks → absorb → surface
…and 26 more, not listed.
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