Claims extracted
30
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 30 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
69/100
Washington Examiner's corrections and
hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
It’s been said many times that a president’s job approval rating is one of the most important predictors of how his party will perform in midterm elections.
asserted
party → say → elections
President Donald Trump’s rating is very low at the moment — 38.7% approval versus 59.4% disapproval in the RealClearPolitics average of polls — which does not bode well for Republicans.
asserted
which → bode → Republicans
With what groups of voters does the president have a particular problem?
asserted
president → have → problem
A new poll from Fox News gives some answers.
asserted
poll → give → answers
First, the poll found Trump’s overall job approval rating to be below the RealClearPolitics average — 36%.
asserted
rating → find → average
A rating doesn’t get that low without being pretty depressed among many component groups.
asserted
rating → get → groups
Start with the places Trump is doing well.
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Trump → start → places
The Fox poll identified seven groups with whom the president has a job approval rating of 50% or higher.
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president → identify → %
Then Make America Great Again Republicans (95%).
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America → make → %
One thing to note is that even with the high approval ratings among those groups, most are lower than they should be.
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they → note → groups
One obvious example is Republicans — Trump should be doing better than 76% job approval with his own party.
asserted
Trump → do → party
For example, Trump should obviously be doing better than his 50% approval with white men without a college degree, who formed one of his main bases of support in all his elections.
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who → do → elections
Put that together, and the Fox pollsters found that Trump is at 44% approval overall with white voters without a degree.
asserted
Trump → put → degree
Then remember that Trump won 66% of those voters in 2024, according to exit polls.
uncertain
Trump → remember → polls
Now look at the groups among whom Trump is doing badly.
asserted
Trump → look → whom
It’s no surprise that his approval among Democrats is 2%, or that it is 5% among liberals.
asserted
it → ’ → liberals
But he should be doing better than his 22% approval rating with independents and his 32% rating with women.
asserted
he → do → women
In 2024, Trump won 46% of independents and 45% of women.
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Trump → win → women
In the overall job approval number, just 19% strongly approve of Trump, while 50% strongly disapprove.
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% → approve → Trump
That’s a pretty big gap between the people at the far ends of each side.
asserted
That → ’ → side
And in the Republican voters category, just 43% strongly approve, while 33% somewhat approve.
asserted
% → approve → category
That’s not great, either — just 43% of the president’s own party strongly approve of the job he is doing.
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he → ’ → job
It was terrible in lots of other ways, including voters’ views on the cost of living and their personal financial situations.
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It → include → living
It is not unfair to say that on every significant question, Trump’s numbers are worryingly low.
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numbers → say → question
Not surprisingly, because he is a human being, Trump likes to focus on the good news.
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Trump → like → news
That’s great!
asserted
That → ’ → ?
But remember this: While it is hard to find any definitive numbers, it’s likely that somewhere between 50% and 70% of Republicans identify as MAGA.
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50 → remember → MAGA
That means Trump is doing gangbusters with half, or maybe just under three-quarters, of his party while struggling with the large majority of the country that is not MAGA Republican.
asserted
that → mean → country
That’s not a good way to enter into a national election.
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That → ’ → election
When one asks about which groups Trump’s job approval rating has fallen into dangerously low territory, the answer is: a lot of them.
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answer → ask → them
The Aporia
