Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
10%
2 of 20 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and
hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Democrats are running up lopsided majorities of the early votes as Americans head to the polls and mail in their ballots, carving out a clear majority of the votes cast so far.
asserted
Americans → run → votes
Of early and mail-in voters, 54% were Democrats, 30% Republicans and 16% independents or “other,” according to state election data compiled by TargetSmart and NBC News.
uncertain
% → mail → TargetSmart
The early vote advantage carries over to the marquee Senate races, including several held in Republican-leaning states.
asserted
advantage → carry → states
In Michigan, where Democrat Abdul El-Sayed is battling former Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.), the Democratic edge is 55-36%, based on voters’ registrations.
asserted
edge → battle → registrations
In Iowa, where Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa) is in a tough race with Democrat Josh Turek, the edge from registered Democrats is 57-29%, with 14% from “other.”
asserted
edge → register → other
None of the data show how people actually voted – just who showed up or sent in their ballot.
asserted
who → show → ballot
“We know the Democrats have the enthusiasm advantage,” said University of Kentucky political scientist Stephen Voss.
asserted
Voss → know → Kentucky
But what remains to be seen is whether the early numbers point to a predicted overall wave of voters or merely “upper status voters who always vote anyway,” he added.
asserted
he → remain → voters
One way to explore that is to compare numbers to four years ago.
asserted
way → explore → numbers
In Republican-leaning Nebraska, where Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts is battling independent Dan Osborne, the Democratic edge has expanded from then.
asserted
edge → lean → Osborne
It’s 45-38 now, compared to 44-41 at this point in voting in 2022.
asserted
It → ’ → 2022
Eighty-nine percent of Democrats who have voted in Nebraska also voted in 2022 and 2024, while 10% are new voters, according to the secretary of state.
uncertain
% → vote → state
For Republicans, 91% voted in the past but just 7% are new voters.
asserted
% → vote → past
Virginia is seeing a flood of early turnout, with 519,000 ballots in compared to 260,000 by this point in 2022, with the total doubling in left-leaning Fairfax County.
asserted
total → see → County
In Texas, the which features a high-profile race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico (D-Texas) and AG Ken Paxton (R-Texas), Democratic edge is an overwhelming 62-32%.
asserted
edge → feature → Talarico
Democrats historically tend to vote early or by mail, although President Trump has regularly blasted mail-voting in favor of in-person voting on Election Day, calling it “inherently corrupt.”
asserted
Trump → tend → it
But this year, on campaign stops and online, he has been changing his message.
asserted
he → change → message
In a video last weekend, Trump told supporters from the Oval Office: “If your state has early voting, do not wait.
asserted
state → tell → voting
Vote early, vote by mail, or vote in person on Election Day, November 3rd, so we can defeat the radical left ‘Dumocrats’ in a midterm victory that is too big to rig.”
asserted
that → vote → victory
He also told voters to “pretend I’m on the ballot.”
asserted
I → tell → ballot
The Aporia
