Photo via Daily Mail

Disillusioned Iowans could tank GOP's midterm chances as even a die-hard MAGA fan issues a damning snub of Trump-backed Ashley Hinson: 'A lot of them are liars'

Read the original at Daily Mail ↗
Cite

Churchill, V. (2026, October 17). Disillusioned Iowans could tank GOP's midterm chances as even a die-hard MAGA fan issues a damning snub of Trump-backed Ashley Hinson: 'A lot of them are liars'. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16214763/Disillusioned-Iowa-GOP-midterm-Trump-liars.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-17 · by Victoria Churchill

Quick Summary

A Daily Mail survey finds that nearly two-thirds of Iowans are not planning to vote in next month’s midterms. The article highlights dissatisfaction among voters towards Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrats’ increased voter turnout. Travis Lawson, a Trump supporter, criticizes Hinson but remains loyal to the party, while Mindy, a 49-year-old healthcare worker, expresses disillusionment with politicians and negative advertising.Democrats appear more energized; Bill Vogel and his wife cite Trump's corruption as their reason for voting Democratic.
Written by AI on 2026-10-17, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of October 2026, nearly two-thirds of Iowans surveyed by the Daily Mail have no plans to vote in the upcoming midterm elections. This shift could impact Republican Ashley Hinson's Senate race against Democrat Josh Turek, with Democrats appearing more energized than Republicans. In Fort Dodge, supporters of Hinson were enthusiastic at a get-out-the-vote event, but elsewhere in town, voters like Travis Lawson expressed dissatisfaction. Older Iowans such as Bill and Mary Kate Vogel, both in their 80s and Democrats, criticized President Trump's use of taxpayer money for personal projects. Younger voters like Sydney Rose, 19, are backing Turek due to his stance on funding public education. This disillusionment among Iowans may undermine the GOP's midterm chances despite Hinson being strongly backed by former President Trump.

Written for “Iowa Gop Midterm Challenges” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Iowa Gop Midterm Challenges
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
ABC News (US)
Hedges 3 of 37 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of voter behavior and sentiment leading up to midterm elections but describe distinct events.”
NPR
Hedges 2 of 42 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss voter sentiment towards Trump but involve different states (Georgia and Iowa) and different time periods.”
Washington Examiner
Hedges 1 of 19 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles discuss different issues related to voter turnout for midterms but describe separate events happening in different locations and involving distinct contexts.”
NBC News
Hedges 7 of 49 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm elections without describing the same specific incident.”
Al Jazeera
Hedges 12 of 129 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss voter sentiment and loyalty in different locations (Iowa vs. Pennsylvania) for upcoming midterms, with no indication they are describing the exact same incident.”
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 5 of 35 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different events occurring at distinct times and places: one is about Iowans' attitudes towards voting, while the other reports on Trump's pep rally in North Carolina.”
New York Post
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 20 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses voter apathy and disillusionment in Iowa, while Article B reports on early voting trends with a Democratic edge across several states.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 24 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles cover different aspects of political sentiment and polls in Iowa leading up to midterm elections but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
BBC News
⚖️ Centre Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss similar themes of voter disillusionment but describe different reporting efforts and focus on distinct aspects of the election, suggesting they are not describing the exact same specific incident.”
NBC News
Outlet record 60/100
“While both articles discuss voter sentiment in Iowa, they do not describe the exact same incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
25
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 25 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
68/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-17 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8674 article(s) · 21 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 21 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Victoria Churchill
53 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The moment came around an hour into Trump's rally in Daytona Beach on Friday, as the president campaigned ahead of elections that will determine control of Congress.
🔮 - Sign up HERE for the DC Insider Newsletter - for your guide on all the latest from the midterm campaign trail and what's rattling the White House A history professor who has accurately predicted the outcome of nine of the last 11 presidential races has issued his final assessment of the 2026 midterms.
🔮 - Sign up HERE for the DC Insider Newsletter- our guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill Republicans are on course to lose the House of Representatives in less than a week, and even President Donald Trump fears his voters will stay home.
🔮 President Trump himself has cast doubt on the GOP's chance at success with concerns about whether conservative voters will show up to vote this fall – especially because he's not on the ballot.
🔮 Per Axios, Castellanos believes that 'Republicans and independents are going to be screaming for attention, and many of them, including those who voted for Trump, may show their frustration by not showing up.'
🔮 At the rally, Darline called him 'one of Lindsey's greatest friends,' adding that Trump 'will always be a part of the Graham family.' Last month, the GOP allocated an additional $5 million in South Carolina to support Darline. The influx of cash was being sent as an 'insurance policy,' per Axios, to keep a seat in Republicans' hands that Lindsey had always won by more than 10 percent.
🔮 El-Sayed, who is on the Democratic ticket for Michigan, has faced Trump's ire for his politics and Islamic background, with the President saying he is a 'Member of the Muslim Brotherhood,' and claiming that he 'should never be allowed inside the halls of our great, beautiful Capitol building in Washington, DC.' On Sunday, Trump said that 'Abdul' would have to 'be the only Senator that will have to have to go through a metal detector before he's allowed to go into the Senate.
🔮 The two chatted aboard Air Force One en route to President Donald Trump's rally in Michigan, where Minaj is expected to speak on stage later in the day.
🔮 Earlier in the interview, Trump shared that he has 'worked very hard,' telling Kudlow that he has 'done 14 rallies in 9 days,' before admitting, 'it's a lot,' which may offer an explanation for the raspy voice he appeared to have during the segment.
🔮 In a post sent by Mitchell, screenshotted by a source, the future GOP candidate shared a selfie boasting about racking up '2 alcohol violations in a week.' In another screenshotted post, he wrote that he was 'taking lots of xanx tonight,' adding 'and no one will stop me.'
Also by Victoria Churchill
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 53 articles by Victoria Churchill →

Topics

Democrats Fort Dodge Iowa Republican the Daily Mail

Subjects

Iowa GPE · 10× the Daily Mail ORG · 9× Democrats NORP · 8× Fort Dodge GPE · 6× Republicans NORP · 6× Trump PERSON · 5× Hinson PERSON · 3× Republican NORP · 3× Senate ORG · 2× Washington GPE · 2×

Narrative

His wife, Mary Kate, 80, presented Trump's use of taxpayer money to 'build monuments to himself' as one example of the 'corruption.' Bill and Mary Kate Vogel, both Democrats in their 80's voted on Wednesday on Story County hoping to take a stand against what they see as 'corruption' from President Donald Trump Sydney Rose, 19, a native of Marion, Iowa, is a future educator backing Josh Turek for the US Senate because she appreciates his stance on 'public money going to public schools'
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-17
🔮 However, 59 percent of likely statewide voters believed that Hinson would be elected in November.

Claims (25 extracted, 0 hedged)

- Sign up HERE for the DC Insider Newsletter- our guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill Nearly two-thirds of Iowans who spoke to the Daily Mail this week have no plans to vote in next month’s midterms. The question is whose voters stay home. asserted
voters → sign → midterms
Iowa had swung from battleground to Republican stronghold in the Trump era, but Democrats are suddenly competitive in key races here, including the Senate contest between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek. asserted
Democrats → swing → Hinson
The Daily Mail spent two days traveling in northern Iowa speaking not only with likely voters but also everyday citizens who repeatedly expressed dissatisfaction with the status quo in Washington. asserted
who → spend → Washington
Among likely voters, Democrats appeared much more energized, while Republicans were not automatically loyal backers of their party's candidate. asserted
Republicans → appear → candidate
Hinson's supporters brought the energy at a get-out-the-vote bus tour stop at the Decker Truck Line corporate headquarters and terminal in Fort Dodge, which the Daily Mail attended. asserted
Mail → bring → which
But a few miles away, in the town’s hollowed-out downtown of empty storefronts, the mood was very different. asserted
mood → hollow → storefronts
Travis Lawson, 36, lives on Social Security and disability. asserted
Lawson → live → Security
Travis Lawson spoke with the Daily Mail in Fort Dodge on Wednesday Mindy, a 49-year-old healthcare worker living in Fort Dodge, Iowa is not planning to vote this year He’s a Trump fan who ‘likes the way that they do stuff’ and plans to vote Republican. asserted
they → speak → Republican
Mindy, 49, a mother of two and a Fort Dodge resident who works in healthcare after graduating from a local two-year college program, told the Daily Mail that she is not planning to vote this year because when it comes to politicians, 'a lot of them are liars. asserted
lot → work → them
She was also put off by the slew of negative advertisements that she has seen on TV this cycle, as were several other voters who spoke with the Daily Mail. asserted
who → put → Mail
John Van Weef, from Waterloo, Iowa, who was in Fort Dodge visiting his children, told the Daily Mail that 'politicians are rigged,' and that the economy is 'poor' before gesturing to a crumbling alleyway behind him as evidence of mismanaged infrastructure investment. asserted
economy → visit → investment
Van Weef said he'd vote for himself rather than either party. asserted
he → say → himself
Democrats, by contrast, were noticeably out in large numbers on the first day of early voting on Wednesday, and the Daily Mail spoke to several of them outside polling sites in the cities of Nevada and Fort Dodge. asserted
Mail → speak → Nevada
Bill Vogel, 84, told the Daily Mail in Nevada that 'President Trump's corruption' was the main reason he is supporting Democrats this year. asserted
he → tell → Democrats
His wife, Mary Kate, 80, presented Trump's use of taxpayer money to 'build monuments to himself' as one example of the 'corruption.' Bill and Mary Kate Vogel, both Democrats in their 80's voted on Wednesday on Story County hoping to take a stand against what they see as 'corruption' from President Donald Trump Sydney Rose, 19, a native of Marion, Iowa, is a future educator backing Josh Turek for the US Senate because she appreciates his stance on 'public money going to public schools' asserted
money → present → schools
After the first day of early voting, more than 17,000 people had voted, with Democrats outpacing both Republicans and no-party voters. asserted
Democrats → vote → Republicans
Although tangible, the figure is not a shock, as Republicans do not typically vote early, even though the gap should increase before election day if more Democrats do. asserted
Democrats → vote → day
While nationally Democrats look more enthusiastic to vote than Republicans, the trend reverses in Iowa. asserted
trend → look → Iowa
When the sample moved from registered to likely voters, the Democratic lead also shrank in a recent Iowa poll conducted by Marist University. asserted
lead → move → University
CNN’s Iowa poll points the same way: likely voters in Iowa want Republicans to control the Senate, 53 percent to 46 percent, and CNN noted signs that Iowa offers a better playing field for Republicans than Ohio, where Trump has also won three times. asserted
Trump → want → Ohio
A poll released by Marist University Wednesday found Turek leading his opponent 48 percent to 45 percent. asserted
Turek → release → opponent
However, 59 percent of likely statewide voters believed that Hinson would be elected in November. asserted
Hinson → believe → November
Turek told his supporters on Thursday in Cedar Falls that 'young people... union workers, people in rural communities and farmers' would make the difference in his race. asserted
people → tell → race
Sydney Rose, 19, a native of Marion, Iowa, shared that she is backing Turek because she appreciates his stance on 'public money going to public schools,' as an education major who plans to teach in the Hawkeye State after graduation. asserted
who → share → graduation
As a younger voter, Rose also shared that she is 'trying to be optimistic' about the future, and believes that a vote for Turek is one to stop the United States from becoming a 'second or third-world country.' asserted
vote → share → States
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support