The Aporia
Rao, P. (2026, October 21). Breach of Paris Agreement global warming level ‘inevitable,’ UN says. Semafor. https://www.semafor.com/article/10/21/2026/breach-of-paris-agreement-global-warming-level-now-inevitable-un-says
Rao, Prashant. “Breach of Paris Agreement global warming level ‘inevitable,’ UN says.” Semafor, 21 Oct. 2026, https://www.semafor.com/article/10/21/2026/breach-of-paris-agreement-global-warming-level-now-inevitable-un-says.
Rao, Prashant. “Breach of Paris Agreement global warming level ‘inevitable,’ UN says.” Semafor, October 21, 2026. https://www.semafor.com/article/10/21/2026/breach-of-paris-agreement-global-warming-level-now-inevitable-un-says.
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As countries prepare for the upcoming COP31 climate conference in Turkey, a new UN report reveals that global temperatures are now projected to rise between 1.7-1.8 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by mid-century, even under the most optimistic scenarios. The United Nations Environment Programme's (UNEP) annual Emissions Gap Report indicates that current national climate plans would result in only a 5% to 8% reduction in emissions by 2030 and an 11-15% reduction by 2035, far short of the necessary reductions. To achieve even the best-case scenario outlined in the report, global emissions must decrease by 45% by 2035 and 69% by 2040 from 2025 levels. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres emphasized that urgent action is needed to avoid further devastating impacts of climate change such as extreme weather events.