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“(TE uses the term “uncertain,” which this analysis treats as the equivalent of a toss-up rating.) In Iowa, different forecasters can see the race between Republican Rep.”

“… considered strongholds for the party, such as in Texas, where most surveys have found that the Democratic candidate James Talarico is ahead—by a narrow margin—of Republican Ken Paxton in a heated and expensive Senate race heading into Election Day on…”

“The Senate remains a toss up amid several tightly contested races, many in red states Trump won in 2024.”

“Polls show the race as a toss-up.”