The Aporia
Carter, C. (2026, October 29). Fox News shifts its rating of South Carolina Senate race to toss-up. Washington Examiner. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/congressional/4784047/fox-news-shift-rating-south-carolina-senate-toss-up/
Carter, Claire. “Fox News shifts its rating of South Carolina Senate race to toss-up.” Washington Examiner, 29 Oct. 2026, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/congressional/4784047/fox-news-shift-rating-south-carolina-senate-toss-up/.
Carter, Claire. “Fox News shifts its rating of South Carolina Senate race to toss-up.” Washington Examiner, October 29, 2026. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/congressional/4784047/fox-news-shift-rating-south-carolina-senate-toss-up/.
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As of October 29, 2026, the South Carolina Senate race between incumbent Senator Darline Graham (R-SC) and Democrat Annie Andrews is now considered a "toss-up" by Fox News, reflecting a tightening contest just days before Election Day. According to recent polling from the New York Times/Siena poll, both candidates are tied at 48% each among likely voters. This marks a significant shift from previous ratings that favored Graham.
Graham, appointed to the Senate in July after her brother Sen. Lindsey Graham's death, decided to run for a full term following President Donald Trump’s encouragement and won a bitter primary against Rep. Ralph Norman (R-SC). However, she faces criticism for her lack of experience; 51% of voters believe she lacks the necessary expertise to be an effective senator.
South Carolina has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1998 when Fritz Hollings served his final term until 2005. Trump remains personally invested in the race, holding rallies for Graham and using unflattering nicknames against Andrews. Republicans have allocated additional $5 million to support Graham as an "insurance policy" to retain control of a seat Lindsey Graham always won by more than 10%.