Photo via The Independent

Trump is going to get ‘trounced’ in the midterms, Anthony Scaramucci predicts

Read the original at The Independent ↗
Cite

Sommerlad, J. (2026, November 3). Trump is going to get ‘trounced’ in the midterms, Anthony Scaramucci predicts. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-midterms-anthony-scaramucci-republicans-b3078455.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Independent · collected 2026-11-03 · by Joe Sommerlad

Quick Summary

Anthony Scaramucci, who served briefly as White House communications director under President Trump before being fired, predicts that Republicans will suffer significant losses in the upcoming midterm elections. On CNBC’s Squawk Box Europe, Scaramucci stated that Trump and his party are likely to face a "trouncing" due to voter dissatisfaction with issues like the cost of living and the war in Iran. He suggested that should Democrats gain control of one or both chambers of Congress, it could lead to investigations into the administration and an internal struggle within the Republican Party over its future direction post-Trump.
Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On November 3, 2026, Anthony Scaramucci, former White House communications director under President Donald Trump, predicted that Republicans would suffer significant losses in the upcoming midterm elections. Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box Europe, Scaramucci asserted that Trump and his party are "going to get trounced." He attributed this prediction to widespread voter dissatisfaction with issues such as affordability, the continuation of foreign conflicts, and transparency regarding the Epstein case. Polling data indicated a likelihood that Democrats would regain control of the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate. Scaramucci noted that while there might still be elements of MAGA (Make America Great Again) in future political platforms due to Trump's influence and financial backing, many supporters are now distancing themselves from him.

Written for “Trump Predicted To Lose Midterms” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The model judged this article politically coded and scored it -0.50, but 1 quote(s) could not be found in the article and the other 3 are attributed speech rather than the article's own narration, so the score is not published.
Written under an earlier scoring contract, which gave a paragraph rather than checkable quotes. Re-analysing this article replaces it.
Leaning score withheld for article 126136: no verified evidence · logged 2026-11-03

Story

📰 Trump Predicted To Lose Midterms
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 3 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss potential outcomes of the midterm elections but describe different aspects and sources, not a single specific incident.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans strongly right Hedges 5 of 46 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of President Trump's situation regarding the midterms and potential foreign policy reactions, not the same specific incident.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses a prediction about the outcome of the midterm elections, while Article B provides live coverage and context for the ongoing voting process.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 6 of 57 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss different perspectives on what might happen in the midterms, not a report of the same specific election results.”
Times of India
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 10 of 55 claims Outlet record 59/100
“Article A describes the context and outcome expectations of the US midterm elections, while Article B features a prediction by Anthony Scaramucci about the results of those elections. They discuss related topics but describe different specific occurrences.”
South China Morning Post
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 8 claims Outlet record 62/100
“The articles discuss similar topics but do not clearly describe the exact same incident or time point.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans strongly left Hedges 7 of 21 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different predictions about the outcome of the midterms, not a single specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
24
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
2 of 24 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3661 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Joe Sommerlad
71 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 President Donald Trump and his Republicans are about to get “trounced” in Tuesday’s midterm elections, former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci has predicted.
🔮 President Donald Trump is facing a potentially disastrous midterms Election Day Tuesday, with his Republican Party set to lose its majority in the House of Representatives and perhaps the Senate too, according to current polling.
🔮 Some polls are open for Tuesday’s crucial midterm elections, which will decide majority control of Congress for the final two years of Donald Trump’s presidency.
🔮 “Please stand firm against any directive that would undermine our constitutional right to a free and fair election.
🔮 The duo was the most resoundingly upbeat about the war in its earliest stages but neither has held a press conference since May.
🔮 A fresh round of polling data in the final hours before Election Day shows Democratic candidates leading virtually every battleground state that will likely determine which party controls the Senate.
🔮 President Donald Trump is set to deliver his “closing argument” to midterm voters at the iconic Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington, D.C. - a site dogged by the administration’s botched repair job.
🔮 During a joint appearance on Fox 2 Detroit, Dingell said she had talked to Stevens on Saturday and been assured she was not about to change horses, only for Stevens to do precisely that, while McMorrow noted that the latter’s fiance had publicly backed Rogers and suggested he might have influenced her decision.
🔮 The immigration agency, which answers to the Department of Homeland Security, paid $495.6 million in August for the vacant Prairie Correctional Facility in small-town Appleton in response to President Donald Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration on the assumption that more holding space for inmates would be needed.
🔮 “It could be quite a brutal evening,” one senior Republican strategist told Politico.
Also by Joe Sommerlad
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 71 articles by Joe Sommerlad →

Topics

Democrats Iran MAGA Republicans White House

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 6× Scaramucci PERSON · 5× Democrats NORP · 3× Donald Trump PERSON · 3× Iran GPE · 3× MAGA ORG · 3× Republicans NORP · 3× Israelis NORP · 2× U.S. GPE · 2× White House ORG · 2×

Narrative

Scaramucci said he foresaw only a gradual break with Trump over time, however, explaining: “There’ll be DNA elements of MAGA in the next presidential candidate for sure, because looming large over that presidential candidate will be Donald Trump and several hundred million dollars of his PAC money, and so they’re not going to want to get too far away from him in 2028.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03
🔮 President Donald Trump and his Republicans are about to get “trounced” in Tuesday’s midterm elections, former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci has predicted.

Claims (24 extracted, 2 hedged)

President Donald Trump and his Republicans are about to get “trounced” in Tuesday’s midterm elections, former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci has predicted. asserted
Scaramucci → trounce → elections
Guesting on CNBC’s Squawk Box Europe, Scaramucci, 62, who served for just 11 days in Trump’s first White House administration before being fired, said the U.S. is currently at a crossroads with the two main parties offering “two different visions of where the country should go.” asserted
country → gueste → visions
“I think the president’s going to get trounced, by the way, and I think he knows he’s going to get trounced,” the former financier turned podcaster and pundit said. asserted
financier → think → way
“You have one vote. asserted
You → have → vote
You have one customer relations survey that you can do on the American president – that’s at the midterms, and people are not happy,” Scaramucci added. asserted
Scaramucci → have → midterms
“He promised affordability, he promised no more ‘forever wars,’ he promised transparency on the Epstein files. asserted
he → promise → files
He didn’t deliver on any of that stuff, and so there’s a lot of people inside MAGA that are now also breaking from him. asserted
that → deliver → him
” Polling heading into Election Day suggested the Democrats will win back the House of Representatives and perhaps the Senate amid widespread voter unhappiness about the Iran war and the high cost of living. uncertain
Democrats → head → living
If Democrats take control of one or both chambers of Congress it could stall Trump’s agenda for his last two years in office. uncertain
it → take → office
Trump has spent the last month touring red states and giving rallies in the hope of encouraging turnout but has continued to dismiss the issues voters tell pollsters they care most about, spending Monday at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool discussing its renovation rather than offering a convincing closing argument for the still-undecided voters. asserted
they → spend → voters
Scaramucci, whose famously short stint in Trump’s service was recently eclipsed by that of Katie Zachariah, looked ahead to what will happen if the much-talked-about “blue wave” does materialize. asserted
wave → eclipse → Zachariah
“If he gets trounced here, there will be bicameral investigations that will be the main show because there’s a lot of things that’s going on in the administration that the Democrats are going to want to uncover,” he said. asserted
he → trounce → that
“The Republicans, in my mind, I think there’ll be a great intellectual civil war. asserted
I → think → mind
The Republicans are going to have to reconcile where do they want to go. asserted
they → go → ?
It’s no longer the party of Ronald Reagan, certainly not the party of George W Bush, but is it the party of Donald Trump after he leaves the stage?” asserted
he → ’ → stage
Scaramucci said he foresaw only a gradual break with Trump over time, however, explaining: “There’ll be DNA elements of MAGA in the next presidential candidate for sure, because looming large over that presidential candidate will be Donald Trump and several hundred million dollars of his PAC money, and so they’re not going to want to get too far away from him in 2028. asserted
they → say → 2028
“So there will be elements of MAGA, but I also think there’ll be a civil war in that party.” asserted
I → think → party
Asked his view of the Iran war, the former adviser said: “I don’t see any alignment between the Iranians, the Israelis, and the Americans for a potential negotiated solution right now. asserted
I → ask → solution
“If the Americans are going to ramp up the military strikes alongside of the Israelis... asserted
Americans → go → Israelis
I don’t really understand how that’s going to necessarily help the region either.” asserted
that → understand → region
The U.S. launched new airstrikes on Iran’s Qeshm Island late Monday, which Trump did not address when he spoke to Sean Hannity on Fox News shortly after, discussing other potential targets and quibbling over whether or not the conflict really amounted to a war as there had been no physical fighting. asserted
conflict → launch → war
“Wars are very bad for business,” Scaramucci warned. asserted
Scaramucci → warn → business
“They’re not great for the stock market. asserted
They → ’re → market
So I would like to have a negotiated settlement, but there’s nothing on the matrix where you see the concentric circles lining up, where these three groups would say, ‘OK, that’s a deal that all three of us are willing to accept.’” asserted
three → like → us
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support