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Russia’s Shadow War Is Spreading Across Europe

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Cite

Stein, S. (2026, September 20). Russia’s Shadow War Is Spreading Across Europe. The Bulwark. https://www.thebulwark.com/p/russias-shadow-war-is-spreading-across

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

The Bulwark · collected 2026-09-20 · by Sam Stein commentary

Quick Summary

Sam Stein and former CIA officer Marc Polymeropoulos analyze recent international events, including escalated attacks by the Houthis on Saudi Arabia and Ukraine's offensive against Russia with drone and missile strikes. They discuss various geopolitical issues such as the U.S.'s role in both conflicts, Russia’s increasing covert operations across Europe, and potential hardships for Ukraine this winter. The article is an opinion piece that encourages readers to support the publication financially for continued coverage of such topics.
Written by AI on 2026-09-20, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On September 20, 2026, Ukraine launched what was described as the largest drone attack ever against the Russian capital, Moscow, during the final day of Russia's parliamentary elections. More than 1,600 drones were intercepted and shot down across Russia, with 450 targeting Moscow specifically. Two people were killed in the attacks: a 44-year-old woman and an elderly man, both in separate incidents in the Moscow region. Additionally, a major oil refinery near Moscow was damaged by one of the drones.

Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin accused Ukraine of attempting to disrupt the tightly controlled elections, which were held from September 18-20. President Vladimir Putin's ruling party is expected to maintain its dominance in the vote, reflecting his ongoing control over Russian politics since New Year’s Eve 1999.

Ukraine has been stepping up attacks on Russian energy infrastructure recently, targeting critical revenue sources for Russia's war effort in Ukraine, which entered its fifth year. The timing of these drone strikes coincided with Putin’s framing of the election as a referendum on support for his military actions.

Written for “Ukraine Drone Attacks Moscow” on 2026-11-05, grounded in this article and the 28 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Ukraine Drone Attacks Moscow
Politics · 29 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Independent
Hedges 2 of 20 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different aspects of geopolitical tensions but do not refer to the same specific incident or time.”
The Guardian
Hedges 4 of 24 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles cover different topics; one discusses Latvia's president warning about Europe's lack of preparedness for drone and aerial warfare, while the other covers Russia’s shadow war spreading across Europe with a focus on recent attacks by the Houthis and Ukraine.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left further left than this Hedges 3 of 31 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles cover different aspects of geopolitical tensions and conflicts involving Russia, but do not describe the same specific incident.”
Washington Examiner
Hedges 1 of 47 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles cover different aspects of geopolitical events without focusing on the same specific incident.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 2 of 16 claims Outlet record 60/100
National Post
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 2 of 47 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different topics and timeframes involving various international actors and events.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left further left than this Hedges 5 of 62 claims Outlet record 59/100
“While both articles discuss drone strikes by Ukraine against Russia, they describe different aspects of the ongoing conflict and do not specifically refer to the exact same incident.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left further left than this Hedges 5 of 35 claims Outlet record 59/100
Fox News
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 1 of 25 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of international relations and security concerns but do not describe the same specific incident or happening.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of geopolitical tensions involving Russia but describe distinct events and analyses from different dates.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
10
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 10 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
expected in commentary, which argues a position · beta estimate
Publisher signals
not measured
these signals count newsroom corrections; Commentary has none to count
Outlets on this story
29
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
110
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-20 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Bulwark · 606 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Sam Stein
32 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
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Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 32 articles by Sam Stein →

Topics

Bulwark+ CIA Houthis Russia Ukraine

Subjects

Ukraine GPE · 3× Bulwark+ ORG · 2× CIA ORG · 2× Marc Polymeropoulos PERSON · 2× Russia GPE · 2× Sam Stein PERSON · 2× Houthis NORP · 1× Moscow GPE · 1× Riyadh GPE · 1× Saudi Arabia GPE · 1×

Narrative

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Claims (10 extracted, 0 hedged)

Russia’s Shadow War Is Spreading Across Europe asserted
War → spread → Europe
Sam Stein and former CIA officer Marc Polymeropoulos give their takes on the flurry of international headlines over the weekend. asserted
Stein → give → weekend
Sam Stein and former CIA officer Marc Polymeropoulos give their takes on the flurry of international headlines over the weekend. asserted
Stein → give → weekend
The Houthis have escalated attacks on Saudi Arabia, including strikes on Riyadh, while Ukraine has launched a major wave of drone and missile strikes on Moscow and Russian energy infrastructure. asserted
Ukraine → escalate → Moscow
They also discuss the Trump administration’s response to the Saudi crisis, the U.S. role in Ukraine, Russia’s escalating attacks and sabotage efforts across Europe, and the prospect of a brutal winter for Ukraine. asserted
They → discuss → Ukraine
A quick note: Bulwark+ members give us the freedom to follow the news wherever it leads, including stories that don’t just chase an algorithm. asserted
that → give → algorithm
That’s why we can spend real time with experts like General Hertling on stories we think deserve your attention. asserted
we → ’ → attention
If you think this kind of coverage is worthwhile, please consider joining Bulwark+. Join Bulwark+ to unlock the rest Become a paying member of The Bulwark to get access to this post and other subscriber-only content. asserted
kind → think → post
A subscription gets you: - Unlimited access to articles and newsletters including The Triad by JVL and Receipts by Catherine Rampell. - Ad-free editions of our shows (with transcripts) and member-only shows like The Secret Podcast. - Plus community chats and commenting features. asserted
subscription → get → chats
Your support helps keep our work sustainable and available to those who cannot afford a membership. asserted
who → help → membership
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