Photo via Evening Standard

When is the Holborn and St Pancras by-election - and what time will the result be announced?

Read the original at Evening Standard ↗
Cite

Burford, R., Cecil, N., Place, T., & Howie, M. (2026, September 24). When is the Holborn and St Pancras by-election - and what time will the result be announced? Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/holborn-st-pancras-byelection-date-result-labour-keir-starmer-b1295417.html

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Evening Standard · collected 2026-09-24 · by Rachael Burford, Nicholas Cecil, Tom Place, Michael Howie

Quick Summary

The Holborn and St Pancras by-election to replace former Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer will take place on October 8, with the count beginning after polls close at 10pm on October 10. The result is typically announced in the early hours of the morning following the election, influenced by voter turnout, which averaged around 54% in recent elections. This article details the procedural steps leading to the by-election and provides context based on historical turnout rates for similar events.
Written by AI on 2026-09-24, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Holborn and St Pancras by-election in London is set for Thursday, October 8, following Sir Keir Starmer's departure from his position as Member of Parliament (MP) to become Prime Minister. The process began when Labour’s Chief Whip Anneliese Midgley moved the writ, initiating a series of formal steps that concluded with Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle issuing the Warrant for the by-election. By-elections must be held between 21 and 27 working days after the writ is issued. The seat has been held solely by Labour since its creation in 1983, most recently by Starmer who took over from Frank Dobson in 2015. This time, Labour faces a challenge from the Green Party to retain control of what Starmer describes as "the best constituency in the country."

Written for “Holborn And St Pancras By Election” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Holborn And St Pancras By Election
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
Hedges 2 of 25 claims Outlet record 64/100
“While both articles discuss the upcoming Holborn and St Pancras by-election, they describe different aspects: Article A focuses on when the election will take place and Sir Keir Starmer's tenure, while Article B features an interview with Zack Polanski of the Green Party discussing his campaign strategy. They do not report on the same specific incident or occurrence.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 43 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Holborn and St Pancras by-election but do not describe the same specific incident or outcome.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 5 of 15 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Holborn and St Pancras by-election but do not clearly describe the exact same specific event or occurrence.”
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 5 of 11 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, with Article A focusing on candidate odds and potential outcomes, while Article B focuses on the timing and historical context of the election.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
15
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 15 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
64/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-24 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 8127 article(s) · 73 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 73 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Rachael Burford
61 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Business rates cut The move would mean thousands of high-street shops, cafes, pubs and other small businesses would no longer have to pay business rates.
🔮 Buses, taxis, private hire vehicles, bicycles, scooters and pedicabs will all be diverted.
🔮 The Mayor suggested he was confident more resources to tackle homelessness and rough sleeping in the capital would be announced.
🔮 The Mayor of London stressed that closer ties to Europe were more vital then ever as Vladimir Putin’s illegal war in Ukraine rages on and Donald Trump appears to have an “unsettling ambivalence” towards security on the continent.
🔮 Council sources said it was the “largest ever” number of job cuts the borough had seen in one go and will hit departments “across the board”.
🔮 Tory London Mayor challenger vows to scrap affordable housing targets and free up space for 300k new homes
🔮 He said he would also set up automated announcements on trains to remind the public not to disturb other passengers with phone calls, music or videos.
🔮 Homes in just one borough - Tower Hamlets - could remain slightly below the threshold, analysis by the Standard reveals.
🔮 A major London Tube station could be forced to close because of its crumbling infrastructure.
🔮 Read More “And I hope the Reform Party will take immediate and firm action against those who’ve been revealed to be making these abhorrent comments.”
Also by Rachael Burford
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 61 articles by Rachael Burford →
Nicholas Cecil
95 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 “Because if you just put a number on it, then we may have a shortage in a certain area, and then you’re saying well we can’t recruit people, it’s got to be linked to whether the economy is..” But he said that overall immigration was” in a much better place than it was”.
🔮 To name a few - the 2016 Brexit referendum, the 2017 general election when Theresa May threw away her Commons majority, more recently the Runcorn and Helsby by-election won by Reform UK by six votes, and the Green victory in Gorton and Denton.
🔮 “There’s so much more we could be doing to bring in opportunities and investment to that area, especially through Stratford International, which - despite its name - has never had an international train stop there.”
🔮 The full impact of John Healey’s first Budget on London may only become clear in coming days.
2026-10-28 · mixed framing · Budget 2026: Biggest winners and losers in London
🔮 In what is a huge boost for the capital, John Healey announced that City Hall will be allowed to spend a proportion of income tax and retain some business rates.
🔮 The Office for Budget Responsibilty has upgraded its economic growth forecast to 1.2% this year, Mr Healey said, followed by 1% next year, 1.6% in 2028, 1.8% in 2029, 1.7% in 2030 and 1.6% in 2031.
🔮 Inflation creeping up will only have exacerbated this grim outlook.
🔮 Tax rises will almost certainly hit the capital hardest given that it is the wealthiest region of Britain.
🔮 Ms Rayner’s warm words came as the next mayoral contest, due to take place in 2028, was already starting to take shape. However, other Labour figures seen as possible challengers to be the party’s candidate include Tottenham MP David Lammy, Tooting MP Rosena Allin-Khan, as well as Steve Reed, MP for Streatham and Croydon North.
🔮 Business rates cut The move would mean thousands of high-street shops, cafes, pubs and other small businesses would no longer have to pay business rates.
Also by Nicholas Cecil
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 95 articles by Nicholas Cecil →
Tom Place
153 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Manson, whose real name is Brian Hugh Warner, is set to face a jury trial after the proposed event amid ongoing allegations of sexual misconduct and abuse made by multiple women.
🔮 Despite Durkan's conviction and sentencing, the investigation remains active, and the Met want to hear from women in Islington and north London between January 2020 and March 2026 who may have noticed unusual activity around their home, especially late at night or in the early hours of the morning.
🔮 However, after taking control following victory at the May elections, the new administration now says abandoning the project would be financially and environmentally “devastating”.
🔮 Despite Durkan's conviction and sentencing, the investigation remains active, and the Met want to hear from women in Islington and north London between January 2020 and March 2026 who may have noticed unusual activity around their home, especially late at night or in the early hours of the morning.
🔮 Property management company, Prime Property Management, told affected residents: “Given the immediate need to vacate, you will unfortunately have to incur the alternative accommodation costs yourself in the first instance.
🔮 Footage released by the force on Thursday showed vehicles reversing into the shop’s display windows and robbers rushing inside to grab as much goods as they could carry before fleeing.
🔮 The Labour leader responded, saying both Labour and the Conservative councillors could gauge concern through “many emails” and in-person conversations with Jewish residents and leaders of Jewish organisations. Cllr Rawlings also claimed that support for The Green Party policy essentially amounted to telling Jewish people to “disown their communities to participate in British politics”. Before the final vote, Barnet’s sole Green councillor Charli Thompson said there was “highly inaccurate” information in Cllr Rawlings’ claims, adding: “I would argue that we need to be voting on motions with accurate information in them – not falsehoods”.
🔮 “I couldn’t just go, ‘guys it’s me, vote for me, but that’s all I can do really’.
🔮 The Labour leader responded, saying both Labour and the Conservative councillors could gauge concern through “many emails” and in-person conversations with Jewish residents and leaders of Jewish organisations. Cllr Rawlings also claimed that support for The Green Party policy essentially amounted to telling Jewish people to “disown their communities to participate in British politics”. Before the final vote, Barnet’s sole Green councillor Charli Thompson said there was “highly inaccurate” information in Cllr Rawlings’ claims, adding: “I would argue that we need to be voting on motions with accurate information in them – not falsehoods”.
🔮 This is a breaking news story and will be updated.
2026-10-29 · assertive framing · Legendary actor Sir Patrick Stewart dies aged 86
Also by Tom Place
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 153 articles by Tom Place →
Michael Howie
90 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Williams denies the attempted murder of 10 people on the train that had to make an emergency stop in Huntingdon on the evening of Saturday, 1 November last year. The defendant also denies trying to kill four other people in Peterborough and east London.
🔮 London rents set to rise as property taxes hiked in Budget Plans to increase taxes for landlords risk a “steady rise” in rent prices, the UK’s official Budget watchdog has warned.
🔮 Business rates cut The move would mean thousands of high-street shops, cafes, pubs and other small businesses would no longer have to pay business rates.
🔮 Emergency services will have access to the street at all times.
🔮 Successive London administrations have considered ways of reducing traffic and improving the public realm on the street, while London Mayor Sadiq Khan first proposed pedestrianising it as part of his 2016 mayoral programme.
🔮 Under the plans, the state pension could still rise by more than inflation or 2.5% in some years, to keep its value relative to average worker earnings.
🔮 Mumbai will stage the Earthshot Prize next month where the future king will meet Bollywood stars as he learns about India’s hugely popular film industry, play with cricketing royalty and preside over the ceremony awarding £5 million in prize money.
🔮 “Those results send a clear message: if you profit from retail crime, you will be arrested.
🔮 Following a mild and calm start to October, much wilder weather is set to sweep the capital as Storm Austen hits the UK.
🔮 Firefighters will remain at the scene for the next few hours to dampen down the area.
Also by Michael Howie
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 90 articles by Michael Howie →

Topics

Camden Council Greens Holborn Labour St Pancras

Subjects

Holborn GPE · 5× Labour NORP · 4× St Pancras GPE · 3× Keir PERSON · 2× Keir Starmer PERSON · 2× Anneliese Midgley PERSON · 1× Camden Council ORG · 1× Frank Dobson PERSON · 1× Greens ORG · 1× Lindsay Hoyle PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Sir Keir has been the MP for Holborn and St Pancras since 2015 and was elected Prime Minister in 2024. He added: “It has been a huge honour and privilege to represent the best constituency in the country and to have taken over from Frank Dobson, who was such a great constituency MP and a member of the last Labour government." The seat of Holborn and St Pancras was created in 1983, and has only ever been held by Labour.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-24
🔮 When will the by-election be to replace Sir Keir Starmer?

Claims (15 extracted, 0 hedged)

Labour is facing a challenge from the Greens to succeed Sir Keir Starmer as MP for Holborn and St Pancras. asserted
Labour → face → Holborn
Sir Keir has been the MP for Holborn and St Pancras since 2015 and was elected Prime Minister in 2024. He added: “It has been a huge honour and privilege to represent the best constituency in the country and to have taken over from Frank Dobson, who was such a great constituency MP and a member of the last Labour government." The seat of Holborn and St Pancras was created in 1983, and has only ever been held by Labour. asserted
seat → elect → Labour
When will the by-election be to replace Sir Keir Starmer? asserted
election → replace → Starmer
Camden Council has confirmed that the Holborn and St Pancras by-election will be held on Thursday, October 8. asserted
election → confirm → Thursday
The process of triggering the by-election started with Labour’s Chief Whip Anneliese Midgley “moving the writ”. asserted
Midgley → trigger → writ
Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle then put the question to MPs to decide whether to agree to the motion. asserted
Hoyle → put → motion
As it was backed by MPs, the motion became an Order for the Speaker, who in turn issues a Warrant to the Clerk of the Crown who then sends the writ to the Returning Officer. asserted
who → back → Officer
By-elections have to be held between 21 and 27 working days from the issuing of the writ. asserted
elections → have → writ
Sir Keir will leave the House of Commons once a new MP has been elected to replace him. asserted
MP → leave → him
When will we know the result? asserted
we → know → result
The count will begin after polling stations close at 10pm on Thursday, October 10. asserted
stations → begin → Thursday
The result of by-elections usually are announced in the early hours of the morning the following day. asserted
result → announce → morning
In 2024, the result in the General Election vote in Holborn and St Pancras was announced at 4.15am. asserted
result → announce → 4.15am
The time we know the result of the by-election will be influenced by the size of the turnout. asserted
we → know → turnout
The last two by-elections in the UK saw turnouts of 44.1% (in Clacton on August 13, 2026, when Nigel Farage regained his seat), and 58.8% (in Makerfield on June 18, 2026, when Prime Minister Andy Burnham was elected MP). asserted
Burnham → see → June
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support