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Zack Polanski: 'I'm the underdog but I can win' Holborn and St Pancras by-election

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Cite

Burford, R. (2026, September 25). Zack Polanski: 'I'm the underdog but I can win' Holborn and St Pancras by-election. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/holborn-st-pancras-by-election-win-zack-polanski-b1298301.html

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Evening Standard · collected 2026-09-25 · by Rachael Burford analysis

Quick Summary

Zack Polanski, leader of the Green Party, is running against Labour’s Sagal Abdi-Wali in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election set for October 8. Despite acknowledging that his party is the underdog in this traditionally safe Labour seat, Polanski expresses confidence based on recent electoral successes, including winning four parliamentary seats in the 2024 general election and a fifth through a by-election earlier this year. He plans to campaign intensively, even skipping the Green Party’s annual conference to focus on the race.
Written by AI on 2026-09-25, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Zack Polanski, the leader of the Green Party, is running as an underdog candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election to replace the seat vacated by former Prime Minister Jeremy Denton. Despite being seen as unlikely to win, Polanski asserts that his party can defy expectations and take this traditionally Labour stronghold. He points to recent successes, including winning four parliamentary seats at the 2024 general election in Bristol Central, North Herefordshire, Waveney Valley, and Brighton Pavilion, as well as securing a fifth MP, Hannah Spencer, through a by-election victory in Gorton and Denton earlier this year. Additionally, the Green Party made significant gains against Labour during the council elections held in May, further bolstering Polanski's confidence in his party’s ability to perform unexpectedly well in Holborn and St Pancras.

Written for “Zack Polanski By-election Campaign” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Zack Polanski By-election Campaign
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
Hedges 0 of 15 claims Outlet record 65/100
“While both articles discuss the upcoming Holborn and St Pancras by-election, they describe different aspects: Article A focuses on when the election will take place and Sir Keir Starmer's tenure, while Article B features an interview with Zack Polanski of the Green Party discussing his campaign strategy. They do not report on the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 10 of 23 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of political events in the UK, with one focusing on a by-election and the other on a Labour party conference poll.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 6 of 19 claims Outlet record 65/100
“Article A discusses Zack Polanski's campaign strategy and optimism in a specific by-election, while Article B reports on a poll predicting the outcome of general elections for London seats, showing a different scenario for the Green Party.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 5 of 15 claims Outlet record 65/100
“Article A discusses a broader political context and multiple by-elections, while Article B focuses specifically on Zack Polanski's stance in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 43 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Both articles discuss the Holborn and St Pancras by-election but focus on different candidates; ARTICLE A focuses on Zack Polanski from the Green Party, while ARTICLE B discusses Sagal Abdi-Wali from Labour.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
25
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
2 of 25 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
65/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 8089 article(s) · 68 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 68 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Rachael Burford
61 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Rachael Burford
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 61 articles by Rachael Burford →

Topics

Denton Gorton Greens Holborn Labour

Subjects

Labour NORP · 8× Polanski PERSON · 5× Greens NORP · 4× British NORP · 3× Holborn GPE · 3× London GPE · 3× Brighton ORG · 2× Denton GPE · 2× Gorton GPE · 2× the Green Party ORG · 2×

Narrative

“But what I’m hearing on thousands of doorsteps over and over again are people recognising that Labour have tired, old ideas that aren’t really meeting this moment, the cost of housing, whether it’s renters whose rents are going up and they badly need rent controls or leaseholders where this Labour government said they would end the feudal system of leasehold but haven’t taken the action.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 But Mr Polanski pointed to his party’s performance at the 2024 general election and council polls held in May.

Claims (25 extracted, 2 hedged)

Zack Polanski has acknowledged that he is the “underdog” in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election but insisted that the Green Party can defy expectations and take the safe Labour seat vacated by the former Prime Minister. asserted
Party → acknowledge → Minister
The Green Party leader rejected suggestions that his party has reached the limits of its recent surge in popularity and said he hopes to pull off “one of the biggest upsets in British political history”. asserted
he → reject → history
But Mr Polanski pointed to his party’s performance at the 2024 general election and council polls held in May. uncertain
Polanski → point → May
“In 2024, we went on to win all four of our target seats. asserted
we → go → seats
We then, of course, earlier this year in February in Gorton and Denton won our fifth MP, Hannah Spencer, despite polls, journalists, commentators, everyone saying we can’t do it. asserted
we → win → it
“And you know what? asserted
you → know → ?
In Holborn & St. Pancras...I intend to win.” asserted
I → intend → Holborn
The Greens won four parliamentary seats at the 2024 election - Bristol Central, North Herefordshire, Waveney Valley and Brighton Pavilion. asserted
Greens → win → Central
The party subsequently gained a fifth MP through a by-election victory in Gorton and Denton earlier this year. asserted
party → gain → Gorton
At the council elections in May, the Greens made sweeping gains in London at the expense of Labour. uncertain
Greens → make → Labour
She is the leader of Camden council who came to Britain from Somalia as a child refugee and has promoted her strong links to the community across the constituency. asserted
who → come → constituency
The upcoming by-election is viewed as a significant test of whether the Greens can translate their national support into another Westminster breakthrough and whether Mr Polanski’s momentum can extend beyond his party’s existing parliamentary strongholds. asserted
momentum → view → strongholds
Asked directly whether he accepted that he is the underdog, Mr Polanski said: “Oh, without a doubt. asserted
Polanski → ask → doubt
They have a Labour council, a Labour mayor of London and the Labour government. asserted
They → have → London
“But what I’m hearing on thousands of doorsteps over and over again are people recognising that Labour have tired, old ideas that aren’t really meeting this moment, the cost of housing, whether it’s renters whose rents are going up and they badly need rent controls or leaseholders where this Labour government said they would end the feudal system of leasehold but haven’t taken the action. asserted
they → hear → action
“And so, although I’m the underdog, I’m feeling pretty confident, although not complacent. asserted
I → ’m → ?
I’m going to be campaigning for every single vote.” asserted
I → go → vote
The Greens are holding their annual political conference just days before the by-election on October 8, which would usually mean activists, campaigners, MPs and councillors holed up in Brighton deciding on party policy. asserted
activists → hold → policy
But Mr Polanski has said he will not be attending the full meeting of members between October 2 and 4. asserted
he → say → October
He has urged activist to skip the conference as well to help him campaign, offering refunds and online voting to those who have already paid for their spot. asserted
who → urge → spot
“I won't be in Brighton for very long because I want to win an election,” he said. asserted
he → want → election
“And what I would say to every activist in the Green Party is I love Green Party Conference, I have not missed one in the last nine years. asserted
I → say → years
“But this is a historic by-election because it's not just about this seat, although first and foremost it's about the people in Holborn & St. Pancras, but it's about winning big in London in the next few years. asserted
it → win → years
“It's about winning big at the next general election. asserted
It → win → election
And if we win this election, if we cause one of the biggest upsets in British political history, then that will change the future of British politics.” asserted
that → win → politics
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