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Steve Hilton trails Xavier Becerra in California governor’s race — but voters dislike Becerra more: poll

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Cite

Koehn, J. (2026, September 25). Steve Hilton trails Xavier Becerra in California governor’s race — but voters dislike Becerra more: poll. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/25/us-news/steve-hilton-trails-xavier-becerra-in-california-governors-race-but-voters-dislike-becerra-more-poll/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

New York Post · collected 2026-09-25 · by Josh Koehn

Quick Summary

A new poll commissioned by Steve Hilton's campaign shows Xavier Becerra leading the California governor’s race with 52% support compared to Steve Hilton's 37%. However, both candidates have similar unfavorable ratings at around 30-37%, indicating voter dissatisfaction. The poll suggests that while Democrats' strong registration advantage contributes to Becerra's lead, there is no widespread enthusiasm for his campaign.
Written by AI on 2026-09-26, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Xavier Becerra, the former US Health Secretary and current frontrunner for California's governorship, leads Republican Steve Hilton by 18 points according to recent polls, with 54% of likely voters supporting Becerra compared to 36% for Hilton. However, only 44% of voters view Becerra favorably, indicating his lead might stem from California's strong Democratic lean rather than broad voter enthusiasm. Among Democrats, 18% have an unfavorable opinion of Becerra. Meanwhile, Hilton, a former adviser to British Prime Minister David Cameron and Fox News host, has campaigned extensively on issues like the high cost of living, homelessness, crime, and healthcare for illegal immigrants but remains less known to voters.

Written for “California Governor Race Polls” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 California Governor Race Polls
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 4% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 26 claims Outlet record 70/100
New York Post
Hedges 4 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different polls regarding different political figures: one poll about Xavier Becerra's favorability in his race against Steve Hilton and another about Gavin Newsom's job approval ratings.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
23
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
4%
1 of 23 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-26 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 16140 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Josh Koehn
22 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Hankey employees around 2,000 people in Southern California, telling Forbes in January his HQ will stay in LA for now.
🔮 Becerra joined San Francisco Mayor Daniel Lurie at a Friday morning reception, before heading south to share the stage with Gov. Gavin Newsom on Sunday at Hollywood’s Palladium.
🔮 Respondents could select up to two top election issues, meaning fighting Trump and addressing affordability were not mutually exclusive choices.
🔮 “She has a calendar and she pulls every single day to her liberation day,” Newsom said, describing her impending freedom from “the tyranny of her father who’s destroyed her life because he’s in politics.” But eight years in the governor’s office may not be enough for Newsom, who is still entertaining a 2028 presidential run.
🔮 Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton blasted Democratic rival Xavier Becerra on Thursday for opening the door to a mileage tax that could cost California drivers another $1,000 a year — accusing Democrats of relentlessly gouging working families.
🔮 “When 62% of Californians are unsatisfied with him, it’s easy to see that his presidential aspirations will be taking a ride on California’s high-speed rail to nowhere,” Rankin said.
🔮 Gov. Gavin Newsom loves to rattle off statistics — but he may not like a whopping new figure being tagged to him and California Democrats ahead of his likely presidential campaign.
🔮 Steve Hilton is demanding federal officials turn over records — including a former federal contractor’s laptop — that he claims could expose what Xavier Becerra knew about migrant children being handed to traffickers during the Biden administration.
🔮 The district attorney’s office has yet to say if and when charges will be filed against Swalwell.
🔮 The California governor, who previously went to the Granite State in March to hawk his memoir, will campaign for Democrats across New Hampshire on Saturday, mixing voter rallies and fundraising with face time in a state poised to help shape the 2028 presidential race.
Also by Josh Koehn
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 22 articles by Josh Koehn →

Topics

California Democrat Democrats Hilton Republican

Subjects

Hilton PERSON · 14× Becerra PERSON · 11× California GPE · 5× Democrat NORP · 3× Republican NORP · 3× Californians NORP · 2× Democrats NORP · 2× Instagram ORG · 2× Sacramento GPE · 2× Trump PERSON · 2×

Narrative

Hilton, a former Fox News host and adviser to former British Prime Minister David Cameron, is seeking to become California’s first Republican governor since Arnold Schwarzenegger.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-26
🔮 “As we get closer to the election, we’ll be asking a simple question: why would you vote the same way and expect a different result?”

Claims (23 extracted, 1 hedged)

Xavier Becerra looks like he’ll run away with the California governor’s race in a matchup with Republican Steve Hilton — but voters aren’t exactly thrilled about it. asserted
voters → look → it
A new poll commissioned by Hilton’s campaign found Becerra, a career politician of more than three decades, leading the governor’s race 52% to 37%. asserted
Becerra → commission → race
And yet, just 32% of likely California voters viewed the Democrat favorably, which was the same figure as Hilton’s favorable rating. asserted
which → view → rating
Echelon Insights’ poll this month — obtained exclusively by The California Post — found that Becerra had a higher unfavorable rating, at 37% to Hilton’s 30%. asserted
Becerra → obtain → %
The numbers suggest Becerra’s substantial lead in the race owes more to Democrats’ overwhelming voter registration advantage than any broad enthusiasm for his campaign. asserted
lead → suggest → campaign
Becerra has ducked reporters and held few events since the June primary election. asserted
Becerra → duck → election
Hilton also remains unfamiliar to many voters. asserted
Hilton → remain → voters
Twenty-one percent said they had never heard of the Republican, compared with 15% who had never heard of Becerra. asserted
who → say → Becerra
“A majority of Californians want change, not more of the same,” Hilton told The Post. asserted
Hilton → want → Post
“As we get closer to the election, we’ll be asking a simple question: why would you vote the same way and expect a different result?” asserted
you → get → result
He added, “Everyone knows Becerra wouldn’t change anything, and would just be a rubber stamp for the costs and craziness from his Democrat friends in Sacramento.” asserted
Becerra → add → Sacramento
President Donald Trump, who endorsed Hilton, fared worse with California voters than both gubernatorial candidates, with 28% viewing Trump favorably and 64% unfavorably. asserted
% → endorse → Trump
“This poll shows that the only strategy Democrats have got — trying to tie me to President Trump — has completely failed,” Hilton said. asserted
Hilton → show → Trump
“Californians know that the insane costs and craziness we all have to put up with here are caused by Democrat policies from Sacramento not policies from Washington. asserted
we → know → Washington
However, when asked how they would vote to succeed Gov. Gavin Newsom if the election were held today, 52% of people polled still chose Becerra and 37% chose Hilton. asserted
% → ask → Hilton
Half of voters in the poll said they definitely or probably would consider voting for Becerra, compared with 40% who said that of Hilton. asserted
who → say → Hilton
And 45% said they would not consider Hilton, versus 38% who said they would not consider Becerra. asserted
they → say → Becerra
Hilton’s campaign sees an opening among voters it identifies as “key voter targets.” asserted
it → see → targets
When the poll gave respondents a series of critical statements about Becerra’s record, including his tenure as U.S. health and human services secretary in which hundreds of thousands of migrant children reportedly went unaccounted for, the statewide matchup tightened to 44% for Becerra and 42% for Hilton. uncertain
matchup → give → Hilton
Hilton, a former Fox News host and adviser to former British Prime Minister David Cameron, is seeking to become California’s first Republican governor since Arnold Schwarzenegger. asserted
Hilton → seek → Schwarzenegger
Echelon Insights conducted the English-language survey for Hilton’s campaign in mid-September, and it included 1,199 likely California voters. asserted
it → conduct → voters
The pollster said it weighted the statewide results to reflect the likely electorate. asserted
it → say → electorate
The reported margin of sampling error was plus or minus 4.3 percentage points. asserted
margin → report → error
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