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Diesel set to hit record high price TODAY as Donald Trump considers export ban as Iran war drags on

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Tooher, P. (2026, September 26). Diesel set to hit record high price TODAY as Donald Trump considers export ban as Iran war drags on. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16163061/Diesel-set-hit-record-high-price-TODAY-Donald-Trump-considers-export-ban-Iran-war-drags-on.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-09-26 · by Patrick Tooher

Quick Summary

Diesel prices are expected to reach a record high today, surpassing the previous peak from early in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The current average price per liter is 198.89p, and it’s forecasted to breach £2 within days due to concerns over dwindling supplies as Iran's conflict continues and President Trump considers an export ban. This development increases pressure on Labour to delay a planned fuel duty increase scheduled for January, with experts calling for government action to mitigate the financial burden on drivers experiencing price hikes since early February.
Written by AI on 2026-09-27, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Diesel prices in the UK are set to hit a record high today, surpassing 198.89p per liter, which is slightly below the previous peak of 199.09p recorded after Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. This surge is driven by concerns over potential export bans from the US due to escalating tensions with Iran, which has closed the strategically important Strait of Hormuz, affecting global oil supplies. Since the US and Israel attacked Iran on February 28, diesel prices have increased by 56.6p per liter, according to RAC figures. With the average cost nearing £2 per liter, there is growing pressure on Chancellor John Healey to extend the freeze on fuel duty in next month's Budget to alleviate financial strain on drivers. The tax raised from fuel duty brought in £24 billion last year alone, with diesel and petrol taxed at 52.95p per liter.

Written for “Iran War And Fuel Prices” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Iran War And Fuel Prices
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 15% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
BBC News
Hedges 1 of 14 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles refer to general trends and predictions of rising diesel prices due to global factors but describe different points in time and places (UK vs. Channel Islands).”
Dawn
Hedges 1 of 19 claims Outlet record 72/100
“The articles describe different pricing actions for diesel on distinct dates, with one reporting a record high price and another a reduction in price.”
New York Post
Hedges 5 of 22 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different timeframes and outcomes related to diesel and oil prices, with ARTICLE A focusing on a record high price for diesel on a particular day due to fears of an export ban, while ARTICLE B reports on oil futures reaching new levels after Trump's rejection of a peace deal.”
Dawn
Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 72/100
“The articles describe different actions regarding diesel prices in distinct countries and timeframes.”
BBC News
Hedges 1 of 23 claims Outlet record 68/100
“While both articles discuss high diesel prices due to the Iran war, they describe different aspects and timeframes of the situation.”
New York Post
Hedges 9 of 23 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A reports Energy Secretary Chris Wright rejecting a diesel export ban on September 23, while Article B discusses concerns over potential record-high prices of diesel due to a possible export ban on September 26.”
ABC News (US)
Hedges 7 of 54 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles describe a related situation but are reporting on different time frames and potential future actions by Donald Trump, rather than the exact same specific incident.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 1 of 12 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A reports on the potential outcome of a diesel export ban, while Article B quotes Trump considering such an action.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 4 of 28 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A discusses the imminent record high for diesel prices on a specific day, while Article B reports on the actual breaking of that previous record and includes additional context about measures being considered to address rising fuel costs.”
Semafor
Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different stages in the process: one focuses on the impending record-high diesel prices due to potential export ban, while the other reports on crisis talks about a possible diesel export ban.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
15%
3 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
69/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-27 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8837 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Patrick Tooher
5 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 A record amount of cash could be withdrawn from ATMs this weekend as savers heed ministers' advice to hoard money at home in case calamity strikes.
🔮 ‘I think they will be as much if not more significant indicators for the long-term direction of the UK.’
🔮 Bank bosses have warned that any such raid on their bumper profits would push up interest rates on mortgages and business loans and reduce lending and investment.
🔮 The Chancellor is set to host a delegation of retail and hospitality chiefs in Downing Street on Tuesday, amid reports that a 'warehouse tax' raid has been ruled out.
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source The price of diesel will hit a record high today as fears grow that low stocks may dwindle further if Donald Trump imposes an export ban as the Iran war drags on. The average cost of a litre of diesel last night was 198.89p, a fraction below the high in the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. 'The previous record of 199.09p a litre for diesel will be broken today,' Simon Williams, the RAC's head of policy, told The Mail on Sunday.
Also by Patrick Tooher
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Daily Mail Iran RAC Russia The Mail on Sunday

Subjects

Iran GPE · 3× Donald Trump PERSON · 2× Healey PERSON · 2× RAC ORG · 2× The Mail on Sunday ORG · 2× Daily Mail ORG · 1× Labour ORG · 1× Russia GPE · 1× Simon Williams PERSON · 1× Ukraine GPE · 1×

Narrative

Donald Trump speaks to members of the press before departing from the new South Lawn helipad at the White House Such a move would hit the UK because it is a net importer of diesel – and the US is by far its biggest supplier. Soaring pump prices have ramped up calls on Chancellor John Healey to extend the freeze on fuel duty in next month's Budget to ease the cost of living burden. The tax, which raised £24billion last year, takes 52.95p a litre for petrol and diesel.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-27
🔮 - See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source The price of diesel will hit a record high today as fears grow that low stocks may dwindle further if Donald Trump imposes an export ban as the Iran war drags on. The average cost of a litre of diesel last night was 198.89p, a fraction below the high in the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. 'The previous record of 199.09p a litre for diesel will be broken today,' Simon Williams, the RAC's head of policy, told The Mail on Sunday.

Claims (20 extracted, 3 hedged)

- See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source The price of diesel will hit a record high today as fears grow that low stocks may dwindle further if Donald Trump imposes an export ban as the Iran war drags on. The average cost of a litre of diesel last night was 198.89p, a fraction below the high in the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. 'The previous record of 199.09p a litre for diesel will be broken today,' Simon Williams, the RAC's head of policy, told The Mail on Sunday. uncertain
Williams → see → Sunday
Experts say the £2 barrier will be breached within days as the Middle East conflict enters its eighth month. asserted
conflict → say → month
The news will pile pressure on Labour to delay a 5p rise in fuel duty planned for January. asserted
news → pile → January
Drivers have already seen the cost of filling up at the pump jump by 56.6p a litre since the US and Israel attacked Iran on February 28, according to RAC figures. uncertain
US → see → figures
Energy prices have soared after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz waterway through which a fifth of the world's oil supplies flow. asserted
fifth → soar → supplies
The latest price surge comes as President Trump mulls a 90-day ban on US diesel exports as he tries to keep pump prices down and shore up support ahead of November's midterm elections. asserted
he → come → elections
Donald Trump speaks to members of the press before departing from the new South Lawn helipad at the White House Such a move would hit the UK because it is a net importer of diesel – and the US is by far its biggest supplier. Soaring pump prices have ramped up calls on Chancellor John Healey to extend the freeze on fuel duty in next month's Budget to ease the cost of living burden. The tax, which raised £24billion last year, takes 52.95p a litre for petrol and diesel. asserted
which → speak → petrol
It was due to rise by 5p but last May prime minister Sir Keir Starmer pushed that back until the end of the year. uncertain
Starmer → rise → year
Opposition parties are urging Mr Healey to extend the freeze further. asserted
parties → urge → freeze
Shadow Chancellor Andrew Griffith told The Mail on Sunday: 'The Government cannot change everything in the world but it should certainly drop its own plans to raise fuel prices from the end of this year.' asserted
it → tell → year
Robert Jenrick, Reform UK's Treasury spokesman, said raising the duty would be a 'disaster for people's finances and the economy'. asserted
raising → say → finances
'Healey should make clear now he won't go ahead with his 5p hike on January 1,' he said. asserted
he → make → January
Andrew Bowie, Conservative energy spokesman, said any further increases in diesel prices 'would be a huge concern to all those who rely on it, from farmers and hauliers to tradespeople and others who are just going about their day.' asserted
who → say → day
Almost a third of passenger cars on the road run on diesel. asserted
third → run → diesel
That figure rises to 38 per cent – or 16 million vehicles – if lorries, vans and HGVs are included. asserted
lorries → rise → cent
'Ministers should be fighting for our interests and seeking a carve-out to any ban if necessary,' Mr Bowie added. asserted
Bowie → fight → ban
'But unfortunately Labour have already proven before that they're incapable of negotiating good deals for Britain.' Emergency stockpiles of the fuel have fallen to just 42 days after a series of refinery closures – most recently at Grangemouth in Scotland – dented storage capacity, Sky News reported. asserted
News → prove → capacity
The Government insists petrol and diesel are being supplied to forecourts as normal. asserted
petrol → insist → forecourts
A spokesman for the Department of Energy Security and Net Zero said: 'We have a diverse and resilient supply. asserted
We → say → supply
We continue to engage with our international partners and the UK fuel industry.' asserted
We → continue → partners
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