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How the Russia-Ukraine war continues to contribute to current high diesel fuel costs

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Cite

Tremoglie, C. (2026, October 8). How the Russia-Ukraine war continues to contribute to current high diesel fuel costs. Washington Examiner. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/4758731/how-russia-ukraine-war-contributes-high-diesel-fuel-costs/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Washington Examiner · collected 2026-10-08 · by Christopher Tremoglie

Quick Summary

High diesel fuel costs continue to impact the U.S., with the national average price reaching $6.28 per gallon on Wednesday, according to AAA—a significant increase from just a month ago at $5.90 and even more compared to last year's $3.68. While much of the blame for these high prices has been placed on tensions between Iran and the U.S., the article argues that the Russia-Ukraine war is also a major contributor, particularly due to Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries in September. Kenneth Gillingham, an environmental and energy economics professor at Yale University, confirms this, noting how disruptions from these strikes have exacerbated diesel price increases by tightening refined products markets globally.
Written by AI on 2026-10-08, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The current high diesel fuel prices are affecting various sectors of the U.S. economy, despite President Donald Trump's executive order to suspend "diesel fuel tax payment obligations." On Wednesday, the national average price for a gallon of diesel was $6.28, up from $5.90 in early May and $3.68 last year. While conflicts with Iran are often cited as contributors, the Russia-Ukraine war also significantly impacts these prices. According to AAA, the national average price has increased by more than $2.50 per gallon since tensions with Iran escalated in February. Despite a slight drop from $6.41 last week, diesel costs remain extremely high.

Written for “Russia Ukraine War Fuel Costs” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Russia Ukraine War Fuel Costs
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 2% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
Hedges 3 of 13 claims Outlet record 68/100
“While both articles discuss diesel fuel issues related to the Russia-Ukraine war, they describe different aspects of the situation: Article A discusses the ongoing high costs and their causes, while Article B reports on a specific agreement between Trump and Putin to supply diesel fuel.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 22 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects related to diesel fuel costs and Trump's policies, but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 6 of 44 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles describe different aspects of Trump's actions regarding diesel fuel prices and taxes, not the same specific incident.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 1 of 14 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different aspects related to diesel fuel costs and executive orders but do not focus on the same specific incident or outcome at a single time and place.”
The Hindu
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 0 of 7 claims Outlet record 77/100
“The articles describe different actions related to diesel fuel: one discusses high prices due to the Russia-Ukraine war, while the other reports on sanctions being lifted for Russian diesel sales.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 28 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of diesel fuel costs and supply issues related to geopolitical conflicts, but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Mother Jones
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 17 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the impact of geopolitical events on fuel prices and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 43 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss different aspects related to diesel fuel prices but describe distinct events: one focuses on President Trump's executive order regarding diesel fuel tax payment obligations, while the other describes a deal announced by Trump involving Russia's supply of diesel fuel.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 46 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of rising diesel fuel costs and their causes, with Article A focusing on the Russia-Ukraine war's contribution and Article B criticizing Trump for blaming Ukraine.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 41 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the situation: Article A focuses on diesel fuel costs influenced by the Russia-Ukraine war, while Article B discusses Trump's shifting stance and strategic alignment with Russia regarding Ukraine.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
49
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
2%
1 of 49 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
70/100
Washington Examiner's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-08 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Washington Examiner · 3903 article(s) · 7 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 7 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Christopher Tremoglie
16 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 So I went undercover, using an alias, dressed up as a left-wing activist (or as close to one as I could envision, anyway), and infiltrated them both.
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🔮 She will officially receive the award at a ceremony on Dec. 10.
🔮 She will officially receive the award at a ceremony on Dec. 10.
🔮 “One is that crude oil exploration and extraction have been hindered, tightening the overall crude oil market relative to what it would have been.
🔮 It is, objectively, everything any citizen of this country could ever ask for from a president.
🔮 “Before they put you on the field, teams poke, prod, and examine you, searching for any defect that might affect your performance.
🔮 Real America’s Voice will make a substantial investment in its entertainment venture, with the goal of changing the television and entertainment landscape as we currently know it.
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🔮 The White House also told the Washington Examiner that any noncitizen caught voting in U.S. elections will face the swift hand of justice and be held accountable.
Also by Christopher Tremoglie
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 16 articles by Christopher Tremoglie →

Topics

Iran Russia Ukraine Ukrainian the United States

Subjects

Russia GPE · 9× Ukraine GPE · 5× Russian NORP · 3× Ukrainian NORP · 3× Iran GPE · 2× AAA ORG · 1× California GPE · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Kenneth Gillingham PERSON · 1× the United States GPE · 1×

Narrative

“The increase in diesel prices is indeed in part due to the conflicts in the Middle East, and the recent jump most directly relates to further disruptions in the Bab el Mandeb strait, as well as some further disruptions from drone strikes
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-08
🔮 “One is that crude oil exploration and extraction have been hindered, tightening the overall crude oil market relative to what it would have been.
2026-10-08 · Washington Examiner
How the Russia-Ukraine war continues to contribute to current high diesel fuel costs · assertive framing

Claims (49 extracted, 1 hedged)

High diesel gas prices continue to hamper the nation on Thursday despite President Donald Trump’s recent executive order to suspend “diesel fuel tax payment obligations” to help mitigate the expensive current costs for diesel fuel. asserted
prices → continue → fuel
The national average price for a gallon of diesel has soared in recent months, hurting many truckers, farmers, and other sectors vital to the nation’s economy. asserted
price → soar → economy
Many have blamed the military conflict between the United States and Iran for high diesel fuel costs. asserted
Many → blame → costs
While certainly a contributing factor, it is dishonest to omit the role that the Russia-Ukraine war has played in the high diesel prices. asserted
war → contribute → prices
The current national average price for a gallon of diesel fuel on Wednesday was $6.28, according to AAA. uncertain
price → accord → AAA
It’s even more substantial than a year ago, when the national average price was just $3.68 per gallon. asserted
price → ’ → gallon
Additionally, the national average price has increased by more than $2.50 per gallon since the military conflict with Iran began in February. asserted
conflict → increase → February
It has slightly decreased over the last week, dropping from $6.41 per gallon a week ago, but even with the recent drop, the national average price for a gallon of diesel fuel is still at a record high. asserted
price → decrease → high
In California, a gallon of diesel costs $8.35 per gallon, an exceedingly high price point that is unprecedented. asserted
that → cost → gallon
As mentioned above, despite the main narrative surrounding high diesel fuel costs, the surge in pricing goes beyond the Iran war. asserted
surge → mention → war
Blockades in the Strait of Hormuz and damage to oil refineries in the region have increased costs due to interruptions to oil tanker transportation and refineries’ inability to process the conversion of raw oil into diesel fuel. asserted
Blockades → increase → fuel
This has caused Russia to significantly decrease its oil exports and increase its imports, which has widely contributed to the surge in prices. asserted
which → cause → prices
However, this is often glossed over or outright ignored by legacy media reporting on high diesel fuel costs. asserted
this → gloss → costs
In doing so, the people are not hearing the entire truth about an issue that negatively affects their finances. asserted
that → do → finances
Kenneth Gillingham, professor of environmental and energy economics at Yale University, explained how the Russia-Ukraine war plays a vital role in the record-high diesel fuel costs. asserted
war → explain → costs
He noted the significance of the Ukrainian drone strikes on Russia in late September when explaining the current high diesel prices. asserted
He → note → prices
“The increase in diesel prices is indeed in part due to the conflicts in the Middle East, and the recent jump most directly relates to further disruptions in the Bab el Mandeb strait, as well as some further disruptions from drone strikes asserted
jump → relate → strikes
,” Gillingham told the Washington Examiner. asserted
Gillingham → tell → Examiner
“The tightening of the refined products markets has been exacerbated by the drone strikes in Russia as well.” asserted
tightening → exacerbate → Russia
“Diesel prices are increasing in part due to the war in Ukraine for a few reasons,” he added. asserted
he → increase → reasons
“One is that crude oil exploration and extraction have been hindered, tightening the overall crude oil market relative to what it would have been. asserted
it → hinder → market
But that’s a longer-run factor. asserted
that → ’ → ?
The short-run factor is that Ukraine has been getting some traction in its campaign to damage Russian refineries. asserted
Ukraine → get → refineries
This has flipped Russia from being an exporter of diesel fuel to an importer.” asserted
This → flip → importer
The damage by Ukrainian drones on Russian refineries has forced refineries to “operate offline.” asserted
damage → force → refineries
In September, damage from Ukraine’s drone strikes was so severe that three of Russia’s largest oil refineries, Kirishi, NORSI, and Volgograd, were either shut down entirely or operating at just 25% of full operations. asserted
three → shut → operations
As a result, Russia extended its ban on diesel exports through Oct. 31, causing global diesel supplies to “tighten” and forcing countries to seek alternative arrangements to obtain diesel fuel. asserted
supplies → extend → fuel
Ukraine has the right to defend itself against Russian aggression, and attacking the petrostate’s energy resources is a savvy move. asserted
attacking → have → resources
Nor should there be calls for Ukraine to stop striking Russia’s oil refineries solely because of the jolt in the global diesel market. asserted
Ukraine → stop → market
Instead, Russia should abandon its military conquest of Ukraine. asserted
Russia → abandon → Ukraine
Nevertheless, the longer Ukraine keeps hitting Russian oil refineries, the longer diesel will remain unaffordable. asserted
diesel → keep → refineries
The same goes for the Iranian conflict. asserted
same → go → conflict
When discussing the current high-stakes tension involving diesel prices, Gillingham noted the relevance of both conflicts in the diesel economic turmoil. asserted
Gillingham → discuss → turmoil
“Both events in the Middle East and Russia caused the spike in diesel prices,” Gillingham told the Washington Examiner. asserted
Gillingham → cause → Examiner
“When the market is already very tight with nearly all refineries working completely at capacity around the world (97% utilization rate in the U.S.!). asserted
refineries → work → U.S.
It doesn’t take too much in the way of disruptions to cause prices to spike.” asserted
prices → take → disruptions
Gillingham explained that this was interesting due to the fact that some refineries are actually running well below capacity, especially in Southeast Asia. asserted
refineries → explain → Asia
He noted that this was occurring largely because those refineries are unable to “get enough crude oil.” asserted
refineries → note → oil
“It would not be correct to say that the drone strikes in Ukraine are the primary reason for the diesel price spikes here in the U.S.,” Gillingham noted. asserted
Gillingham → say → U.S.
Note the level of disruptions in the Middle East is about three times larger than from Russia. asserted
level → note → Russia
…and 9 more, not listed.
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