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“Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, puts the odds of a Democratic sweep at 72%, while Republicans keeping the Senate alongside a Democratic House win stands at 23%.”

“New South Wales Premier Chris Minns delivered an attention-grabbing prediction this week.”

“The Democrats are currently favoured by both traditional polls and prediction market odds to win the House of Representatives and Senate, as voters grapple with issues around affordability, a controversial war in Iran and tariffs.”

“…California and one in Oklahoma are launching tribal-branded prediction market apps powered by Kalshi, saying the tie-ups would allow them to capture a slice of revenue in the booming business of prediction markets – which offers wagers across a slew of…”

“I look at the various polling averages now and then, and I look at some of the prediction markets.”

“The early years of his presidency — up until the global financial crisis — were defined by an economic boom in which Russia became a major global market.”

“Separately, Commerce also pushed the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which oversees prediction and futures markets, to effectively freeze approval of new compute contracts for 60 days, some of the people said.”