Photo via The Independent

Trump scores lowest midterm voter approval numbers ever in CBS exit poll

Read the original at The Independent ↗
Cite

Dobkin, R. (2026, November 4). Trump scores lowest midterm voter approval numbers ever in CBS exit poll. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-approval-rating-midterms-exit-poll-b3078679.html

Dated from the outlet's own feed. Check the original for its byline.

The Independent · collected 2026-11-04 · by Rachel Dobkin

Quick Summary

Donald Trump received a job approval rating of 38% according to a CBS News exit poll conducted during the midterm elections, marking the lowest such figure for any president since at least 2010. This is a significant decline from his 45% approval in the previous midterms and below ratings received by predecessors like Joe Biden and George W. Bush. The poll highlights widespread voter dissatisfaction with the country's direction, particularly regarding economic issues and the impact of Trump’s military actions against Iran.
Written by AI on 2026-11-04, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On November 3, 2026, U.S. citizens voted in midterm elections that determined control of Congress during President Donald Trump's final two years in office. Voters across the country cast ballots for all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and a third of Senate seats. The results saw Democrats gain significant ground, reversing Republican control of both chambers. Prior to the election, Trump had held rallies in traditional Republican strongholds and promised $5,000 USD to every adult U.S. citizen if his party retained control; however, exit polls showed his job approval rating at a record low 38%, down from 45% in 2018 midterms during his first term. The shift is attributed to voter discontent over rising costs of living and energy prices.

Written for “Midterm Elections Unfold Against Trump” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 122 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Midterm Elections Unfold Against Trump
Politics · 123 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly left and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 3 of 37 claims Outlet record 59/100
CBS News
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 3 of 46 claims Outlet record 65/100
NBC News
Hedges 4 of 41 claims Outlet record 78/100
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 65/100
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 4 of 20 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles refer to different polls conducted at separate times, not a single specific incident.”
BBC News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses interviews and opinions of voters about Trump's influence, while Article B reports on a specific CBS exit poll showing Trump's lowest approval rating in midterm elections.”
CBS News
Hedges 1 of 3 claims Outlet record 65/100
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe different polls conducted on different dates (eve of midterm elections vs. during exit poll) and show varying approval ratings.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left further right than this Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different polls conducted on separate dates, not the same specific incident.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different polls conducted on different dates leading up to and during the election, not a single specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
23
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
9%
2 of 23 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
123
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-04 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3696 article(s) · 10 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 10 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Rachel Dobkin
103 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 As election returns came in, Trump’s staunch base painted a grim picture of the state of the GOP and what the last two years of his presidency will look like. “What is happening...Democrats are winning EVERYTHING!!!
🔮 President Donald Trump made a risky move by starting a war in Iran eight months before the midterms — and it may not have paid off.
🔮 But even with the support of his base, it may not be enough to keep GOP control of Congress in Tuesday’s elections.
🔮 “And you could hear it slowly getting closer to our position, like it was coming in to check us out.
🔮 While Trump may have been busy Thursday, he just cleared out his weekend rally schedule.
🔮 Local officials have placed strict restrictions on water usage because of the drought — and now they may enlist more than a dozen people to make sure residents are following the rules.
🔮 The heat on Trump was turned up when The Wall Street Journal released an article in July 2025 about a bawdy birthday letter Trump reportedly wrote to Epstein in 2003, that read: “May every day be another wonderful secret.”
🔮 Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has announced that he will allow the widespread use of unapproved peptide injections despite the Food and Drug Administration previously advising people not to use them.
🔮 Donald Trump’s favorite pollster, Harry Enten from CNN, has predicted that Democrats will win big in next Tuesday’s midterm elections and have a substantial majority in the House of Representatives.
🔮 He will be in Ohio Wednesday to campaign with Vivek Ramaswamy and Sen. Jon Husted, whose body he has taken to admiring lately.
Also by Rachel Dobkin
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 103 articles by Rachel Dobkin →

Topics

Democrat Iran Republican the Democratic Party the Republican Party

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 9× Biden PERSON · 2× Democrat NORP · 2× Democrats NORP · 2× Iran GPE · 2× Republican NORP · 2× the Democratic Party ORG · 2× the Republican Party ORG · 2× CBS News ORG · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1×

Narrative

More voters have a slightly better view of the Democratic Party than the Republican Party, as recent polling shows Democrats with a real shot at winning reliably red states. Forty-six percent of voters have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party, while 54 percent have an unfavorable opinion.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-04
🔮 But even with the support of his base, it may not be enough to keep GOP control of Congress in Tuesday’s elections.
2026-11-04 · The Independent
Trump scores lowest midterm voter approval numbers ever in CBS exit poll · assertive framing

Claims (23 extracted, 2 hedged)

Donald Trump has scored the lowest voter approval rating of any president during the midterm elections in a new exit poll. asserted
Trump → score → poll
Trump’s job approval rating sits at 38 percent, a CBS News exit poll shows. asserted
poll → sit → percent
It’s also lower than the 44 percent that Joe Biden received in 2022 and the 44 percent that Barack Obama received in 2010. asserted
Obama → ’ → 2010
Even George W. Bush, who was in the midst of his “War on Terror” in the 2006 midterms, received a better approval rating than Trump at 43 percent. asserted
who → receive → percent
Trump has been struggling with his image while trying to use it to boost Republican candidates in the midterms. asserted
Trump → struggle → midterms
The president held almost daily rallies last month and told his supporters to pretend he was on the ballot. asserted
he → hold → ballot
But even with the support of his base, it may not be enough to keep GOP control of Congress in Tuesday’s elections. uncertain
it → keep → elections
Roughly three-quarters of voters are, at the very least, dissatisfied with the direction the country is going as many struggle with the cost of living — an issue Trump promised to make better during his second term and has come up short on. asserted
Trump → go → term
Thirty-eight percent of voters feel angry about the state of the country, while another 37 percent feel dissatisfied. asserted
percent → feel → country
Only 18 percent feel satisfied with how things are going, and 7 percent feel enthusiastic. asserted
percent → feel → ?
Trump has long blamed Biden for the state of the economy – even two years after the Democrat left office. asserted
Democrat → blame → office
But most Americans either feel their finances are worse or about the same as they were when Trump won the 2024 election against Biden’s vice president, Kamala Harris. asserted
Trump → feel → president
Forty-four percent feel their financial situation is worse compared to two years ago, 38 percent feel it’s about the same, and just 18 percent feel it's better. asserted
it → feel → ?
The cost of food was up 2.5 percent in September from the year before, according to the federal government’s Consumer Price Index. uncertain
cost → accord → Index
And energy costs were up a whopping 20.4 percent from last year as Trump’s eight-month-long war in Iran drives up the cost of fuel. asserted
war → drive → fuel
Most voters, including about a quarter of Republicans, think the U.S. made the wrong decision to take military action against Iran. asserted
U.S. → include → Iran
More voters have a slightly better view of the Democratic Party than the Republican Party, as recent polling shows Democrats with a real shot at winning reliably red states. Forty-six percent of voters have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party, while 54 percent have an unfavorable opinion. asserted
percent → have → opinion
Meanwhile, 41 percent of voters have a favorable opinion of the Republican Party and 59 percent have an unfavorable opinion. asserted
percent → have → opinion
Still, neither party has won over a majority of voters. asserted
party → win → voters
When asked about their vote for the House of Representatives, 59 percent said Trump was a factor in their decision. asserted
Trump → ask → decision
Of those voting Democrat, 78 percent said their vote was to oppose Trump. asserted
vote → vote → Trump
Of those voting Republican, 36 percent said their vote was to support the president, and 62 percent said he was not a factor. asserted
he → vote → president
The Democrats will need three House seats and four Senate seats to gain the majority. asserted
Democrats → need → majority
💬Give feedback · no sign-in needed

No sign-in needed for now. Your note is sent without a name, so it cannot be answered.

🕘History 🎫Support