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See CBS News exit poll results for the 2026 midterm elections

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Cite

Pinto, J. D., & Backus, F. (2026, November 3). See CBS News exit poll results for the 2026 midterm elections. CBS News. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-exit-polls-midterm-elections-2026/

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CBS News · collected 2026-11-03 · by Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus

Quick Summary

CBS News exit polls from the 2026 midterm elections show President Trump with a historically low approval rating of 38%, lower than during his first term and prior midterms. The poll indicates that voter dissatisfaction stems largely from economic concerns, with many voters feeling financial strain due to rising costs and inflation. Democrats are motivated by opposition to Trump, while Republicans cite the economy as their main concern but are less influenced directly by the president's performance.
Written by AI on 2026-11-04, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On November 3, 2026, U.S. citizens voted in midterm elections that determined control of Congress during President Donald Trump's final two years in office. Voters across the country cast ballots for all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and a third of Senate seats. The results saw Democrats gain significant ground, reversing Republican control of both chambers. Prior to the election, Trump had held rallies in traditional Republican strongholds and promised $5,000 USD to every adult U.S. citizen if his party retained control; however, exit polls showed his job approval rating at a record low 38%, down from 45% in 2018 midterms during his first term. The shift is attributed to voter discontent over rising costs of living and energy prices.

Written for “Midterm Elections Unfold Against Trump” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 122 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Midterm Elections Unfold Against Trump
Politics · 123 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 7% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Independent
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 2 of 23 claims Outlet record 59/100
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 37 claims Outlet record 59/100
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 27 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles cover different time periods and aspects of President Trump's approval rating, with Article A discussing his historically low ratings leading up to the midterms, while Article B reports on exit poll results from the actual midterm elections.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 20 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles describe different stages of the election process: one reports on poll predictions before Election Day, while the other provides exit poll results after voting has occurred.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different points in time related to Trump's approval ratings, with Article A focusing on poll results before the elections and Article B reporting exit poll results from during or after the elections.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 5 of 19 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A discusses pre-election poll results, while Article B covers exit polls from the actual election day.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the election process, with one reporting on pre-election polling and the other on exit poll results from the actual voting day.”
The Independent
Hedges 4 of 24 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the midterm elections, with Article A focusing on pre-election analysis by Steve Kornacki and Article B reporting on CBS News exit polls after voting has taken place.”
South China Morning Post
Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 62/100
“The articles refer to different types of polls conducted on different dates, with Article A discussing a pre-election poll and Article B presenting exit poll results after the election.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A reports on a poll conducted before the midterm elections, while Article B provides exit poll results from after the election day.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
46
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
7%
3 of 46 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
65/100
CBS News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
123
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-04 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

CBS News · 4606 article(s) · 7 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 7 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jennifer De Pinto
5 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Note: Results will continue to update throughout the night.
🔮 Collins is drawing enough voters and enough of Maine's Democrats, while she is bolstered by those who say they're voting more on state matters than national ones, to keep the race at a tie. And she has an edge on who would bring back more federal funds to Maine.
🔮 Mr. Trump is so much on voters' minds that if this view holds at these levels through Election Day, it would surpass This is also an election set against a wide backdrop of uncertainty on many fronts: The economy, inflation, conflict overseas, and even AI's impact.
🔮 Those who would favor a new data center in their area overwhelmingly think they are necessary for the U.S. to compete with other countries.
🔮 Like any powerful new technology, Americans understand that AI could be used for good or bad.
Also by Jennifer De Pinto
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
Fred Backus
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Note: Results will continue to update throughout the night.
🔮 If more Republicans decide to vote, it could certainly change.
🔮 Collins is drawing enough voters and enough of Maine's Democrats, while she is bolstered by those who say they're voting more on state matters than national ones, to keep the race at a tie. And she has an edge on who would bring back more federal funds to Maine.
🔮 Of those who think abortion should be legal in all or most cases, most would nevertheless set restrictions on when during a pregnancy an abortion should take place.
🔮 Mr. Trump is so much on voters' minds that if this view holds at these levels through Election Day, it would surpass This is also an election set against a wide backdrop of uncertainty on many fronts: The economy, inflation, conflict overseas, and even AI's impact.
🔮 Like any powerful new technology, Americans understand that AI could be used for good or bad.
Also by Fred Backus
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Fred Backus →

Topics

CBS News Congress Democrats House Republicans

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 8× Democrats NORP · 7× Republicans NORP · 5× House ORG · 2× Iran GPE · 2× CBS News ORG · 1× Congress ORG · 1× George W. Bush PERSON · 1× Republican NORP · 1× non-MAGA Reps PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Government corruption: It's a major factor for voters across party lines Roughly nine in 10 voters nationally say government corruption is a major factor in their vote — about the same as cost of living — and it's crucial to those voting for Democrats.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-04
🔮 Note: Results will continue to update throughout the night.
2026-11-04 · CBS News
See CBS News exit poll results for the 2026 midterm elections · assertive framing

Claims (46 extracted, 3 hedged)

Note: Results will continue to update throughout the night. asserted
Results → note → night
Overview of CBS News 2026 exit polls for the midterm elections President Trump is on track for the lowest approval rating for a president in a , according to early exit polls. uncertain
Trump → accord → polls
Currently at 38%, it's lower than it was during Mr. Trump's first term, and lower than it was for George W. Bush in 2006 when his party lost both houses of Congress. asserted
party → lose → Congress
Midterm elections have often been a referendum on the sitting president, and this one is no exception. asserted
one → sit → president
Roughly six in 10 say Mr. Trump is a factor in their vote for the House. asserted
Trump → say → House
This is being driven largely by voters backing Democrats, who are overwhelmingly motivated by opposition to Mr. Trump. asserted
who → drive → Trump
But for those backing Republicans, it's less about the president. asserted
it → back → president
Back in 2018, most Republican voters said their vote was to support Mr. Trump. asserted
vote → say → Trump
The president has often told his supporters to pretend he is on the ballot, and for many in the MAGA base, they may be doing just that. uncertain
they → tell → that
Most MAGA Republicans say their vote is to support Mr. Trump, but most non-MAGA Reps say he is not a factor. asserted
he → say → Trump
Current exit polls show roughly three-quarters of voters are at least dissatisfied with the direction of the country. asserted
quarters → show → country
More are angry now about how things are going than they were in 2024, as economic anxiety persists. asserted
anxiety → go → 2024
Those voting for Democrats are particularly likely to be angry. asserted
Those → vote → Democrats
The issue of the economy and trust in Mr. Trump to fix it helped propel him to victory in 2024, but voters feel no better about the condition of the economy today. asserted
voters → fix → economy
In fact, more voters have negative views of the economy now than they did two years ago, and views of the economy are more in line with what we saw in the 2022 midterms, when the party in power lost seats. asserted
party → have → seats
Voters are feeling the pinch Voters are feeling it in their pocketbooks. asserted
Voters → feel → pocketbooks
They are more than twice as likely to say their finances are worse rather than better, based on early exit polls. asserted
finances → say → polls
Voters across parties express concern about affording everything from gas to groceries to utilities. asserted
Voters → express → utilities
For two consecutive elections, most voters have said inflation caused hardship for their family, including about one in five who describe that hardship as severe. asserted
who → say → hardship
All this adds up to the cost of living being a major factor for voters across parties, but it's more crucial for those backing Democrats. asserted
it → add → Democrats
Immigration enforcement is more crucial for those backing Republicans. asserted
enforcement → back → Republicans
When voters are asked to pick their most important issue from a list, the economy comes out on top, followed by the state of democracy. asserted
economy → ask → democracy
Those voting for Democrats prioritize the state of democracy — an issue that has long concerned them. asserted
that → vote → them
For those backing Republicans, the economy is their most important issue, followed by immigration. asserted
economy → back → immigration
Voters who pick the state of democracy as their top issue are particularly likely to say government corruption is a crucial factor in their vote. asserted
corruption → pick → vote
Government corruption: It's a major factor for voters across party lines Roughly nine in 10 voters nationally say government corruption is a major factor in their vote — about the same as cost of living — and it's crucial to those voting for Democrats. asserted
it → say → Democrats
About six in 10 voters think President Trump puts his own personal interests over the country. asserted
Trump → think → country
Most think the U.S. made the wrong decision to take that military action, including about a quarter of Republicans. asserted
U.S. → think → Republicans
Those most concerned about affording gas are the most likely to disagree with the decision to attack Iran. asserted
Those → afford → Iran
Does all this dissatisfaction translate to satisfaction with the party out of power? asserted
dissatisfaction → translate → power
Neither political party is viewed favorably by a majority of voters. asserted
party → view → voters
About one in five backing Democrats for the House have an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party. asserted
one → back → Party
Most Democrats are motivated by their opposition to Mr. Trump. asserted
Democrats → motivate → Trump
And the Democratic Party isn't overwhelmingly seen as the party better able to handle key issues. asserted
Party → see → issues
Data centers arose as an issue in this campaign. asserted
centers → arise → campaign
In all the Senate battlegrounds, majorities oppose the construction of a data center in their community. asserted
majorities → oppose → community
More voters see artificial intelligence as doing more to harm society than to help it. asserted
voters → see → it
Large majorities of voters are at least somewhat confident that their votes will be counted accurately both nationwide and in their own states, and that eligible voters will be allowed to vote. asserted
voters → count → states
But while they are confident in their votes being counted, those voting Republican are far less confident that people who are not eligible to vote will be prevented from voting. asserted
who → count → Republican
This national exit poll measures the general preference for voters nationwide in their choice for the House of Representatives. asserted
poll → measure → Representatives
…and 6 more, not listed.
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