Young voters and Hispanic voters appear to have moved away from Republican candidates in Tuesday's midterms, according to The AP Voter Poll, which suggests the GOP has lost ground with multiple key groups that helped President Donald Trump win in 2024.
uncertain
Trump → appear → 2024
Republicans had been hoping their candidates could hold onto the winning coalition Trump assembled in the 2024 presidential election.
uncertain
Trump → hop → election
The poll, an expansive survey of about 80,000 voters in all 50 states, suggests young voters were less likely to back House Republicans this year than they were to support Trump in 2024.
uncertain
they → suggest → 2024
Young voters, those under 30, were also more likely than older voters to say they voted for the U.S. House to express opposition to Trump.
asserted
they → say → Trump
Hispanic voters were also less likely than two years ago to support Republican candidates over Trump.
asserted
voters → support → Trump
Poll shows 70% of voters under 30 backed Democrats in sharp reversal from 2024
After moving toward Trump in the 2024 election, young voters appear to have swung away from the Republican Party in this year's midterms.
asserted
voters → show → midterms
The AP Voter Poll shows about 7 in 10 voters under 30 nationally say they supported the Democratic candidate in their local U.S. House race, while about 3 in 10 say they voted for the Republican.
asserted
they → show → Republican
That is a shift from 2024, when the youngest voters were roughly split between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
asserted
voters → split → Trump
Young voters make up a fairly small share of voters.
asserted
voters → make → voters
Only about 1 in 10 voters in the 2026 midterms are under 30, which limits the shift's impact.
asserted
which → limit → impact
About half of young voters say they are "angry" about how things are going in the country today, compared with about one-third of voters ages 65 and older.
asserted
things → say → voters
About 60% of Hispanic voters broke for Democrats, with 7 in 10 blaming Trump for high costs
The survey also suggests Republicans may have lost the ground Trump gained with Hispanic voters in 2024, though to a lesser extent than with younger voters.
uncertain
Trump → break → voters
Only about one-third of Hispanic voters say they backed the Republican in their local U.S. House race, while roughly 4 in 10 voted for Trump two years ago.
asserted
10 → say → Trump
About 6 in 10 Hispanic voters nationally say they voted for the Democratic candidate in their local House race.
asserted
they → say → race
About 7 in 10 Hispanic voters say Trump's policies have worsened economic conditions in the U.S. While Trump was not on the ballot, many voters had him on their minds.
asserted
voters → say → minds
Four in 10 midterm voters cast ballots specifically to oppose Trump
The AP Voter Poll finds about 4 in 10 voters report wanting “to express opposition” to Trump with their vote for Congress.
Just under 2 in 10 voters wanted “to express support” for the president, and roughly 4 in 10 say Trump was not a factor in their decision.
Most young voters, those under 30, said they voted to oppose Trump.
asserted
they → cast → Trump
Older voters, who tend to be more conservative in general, were less likely to say they were trying to signal their dissatisfaction with the president.
asserted
they → tend → president
The survey highlighted voters' unhappiness with Trump's leadership.
asserted
survey → highlight → leadership
About 6 in 10 disapprove of how he's handling the presidency.
asserted
he → disapprove → presidency
About 6 in 10 voters say Trump prioritizes his personal interests over the country's.
asserted
Trump → say → country
Frustrated by executive overreach, Americans across parties demand stronger checks on Trump
Most voters nationally want Congress to provide more checks and balances on the presidency, and they overwhelmingly disapprove of how Congress is doing its job.
asserted
Congress → demand → job
The survey suggests voters want Congress to take on a stronger role as a co-equal branch of government.
uncertain
Congress → suggest → government
Roughly 7 in 10 voters say Congress is doing “not enough” to check the presidency.
asserted
Congress → say → presidency
Only about 2 in 10 say it's doing “about the right amount,” and about 1 in 10 say Congress is doing “too much.”
asserted
Congress → say → much
The poll found that dissatisfaction with Congress's role wasn't confined to Democrats.
asserted
dissatisfaction → find → Democrats
The vast majority of independents and about 4 in 10 Republicans say Congress is not doing enough.
asserted
Congress → say → enough
The survey reflects deep unhappiness with the president and Congress.
asserted
survey → reflect → president
About 6 in 10 voters disapprove of how Trump is handling the presidency, while about three-quarters disapprove of how Congress is handling its job.
asserted
Congress → disapprove → job
The economy was a clear concern for voters, who expressed alarm over the high cost of gasoline and food.
asserted
who → express → gasoline
But the survey also found many voters deeply worried about the state of democracy and government corruption.
asserted
voters → find → democracy
About 4 in 10 voters say the economy is the top issue facing the country, and roughly 3 in 10 say the state of democracy is the top issue.
asserted
state → say → democracy
Only about 1 in 10 say the same about immigration or healthcare, and few named foreign policy or crime.
asserted
few → say → policy
Voters trust Democrats more on corruption and economy, but neither party is widely popular
asserted
party → trust → corruption
Roughly half of U.S. voters said government corruption and the cost of living were "crucial" to their vote for Congress, higher than the share that said that about immigration enforcement policies, the war in Iran or AI data centers.
asserted
that → say → Iran
Most voters who said government corruption was "crucial" for their vote for Congress supported the Democratic candidate for the U.S. House, while about 4 in 10 said they voted for the Republican.
asserted
they → say → Republican
About 8 in 10 voters who said “the state of democracy” was the top issue facing the country supported the Democrat, while about 2 in 10 supported the Republican.
asserted
10 → say → Republican
Democrats have at least a small advantage in voters' perceptions of their handling of several major issues, although a significant share of voters say they don't trust either party.
asserted
they → have → party
Voters are slightly more likely to say Democrats would handle the economy and government corruption better than Republicans, two issues that emerged as highly important to voters in this election.
asserted
that → say → election
Democrats also have a small edge on foreign policy and a wider advantage on their handling of transgender issues and healthcare.
asserted
Democrats → have → issues
Voters split on which party would better handle artificial intelligence and taxes, while Republicans have a small advantage on immigration.
asserted
Republicans → split → immigration
…and 1 more, not listed.
The Aporia
