Photo via National Post

Anthony Furey: Downtown Toronto is so bad that voters are abandoning the progressive left

Read the original at National Post ↗
Cite

Sarkonak, J. (2026, October 11). Anthony Furey: Downtown Toronto is so bad that voters are abandoning the progressive left. National Post. https://nationalpost.com/opinion/anthony-furey-downtown-toronto-is-so-bad-that-voters-are-abandoning-the-progressive-left

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

National Post · collected 2026-10-11 · by Jamie Sarkonak analysis

Quick Summary

Anthony Furey reports that downtown Toronto voters may abandon their left-wing incumbent councillor Chris Moise in favor of Daniel Tate due to concerns over urban decay and public disorder. Recent polling shows Moise leading by only three points over Tate. Tate's campaign focuses on merit-based hiring, law enforcement, fiscal responsibility, safe public spaces, and ending failed drug policies. In contrast, Moise’s recent attacks on Tate are described as ineffective and misleading, given Tate’s diverse support base and commitment to improving quality of life for the Church Street gay district.
Written by AI on 2026-10-11, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In Toronto's Toronto Centre district, recent polling shows a surprising shift in voter sentiment ahead of an upcoming municipal election. Current councillor Chris Moise, perceived as left-leaning, holds only a narrow three-point lead over Daniel Tate according to Forum Research polls conducted by Lorne Bozinoff. This shift is attributed to growing public frustration with urban decay and deteriorating conditions downtown, such as open drug use, public urination, and violent incidents. Notably, despite the ward's reputation for progressive politics, many voters are seeking a more pragmatic approach to addressing these issues. Tate has organized significant opposition against controversial city decisions, positioning himself as an alternative to Moise’s leadership. This election could signal a broader trend of voter dissatisfaction with left-wing policies in urban centers facing severe public disorder.

Written for “Toronto Voting Trends Shift” on 2026-10-30, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Toronto Voting Trends Shift
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
National Post
⚖️ Leans left further left than this Hedges 7 of 33 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Toronto's mayoral and council elections without describing the same specific incident or occurrence.”
National Post
Hedges 4 of 25 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects and contexts related to voter behavior in Toronto, but do not describe the same specific incident or outcome.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 7 of 72 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Toronto's political and housing situation, with Article A focusing on mayoral candidates' ideas for solving the housing crisis and Article B discussing voter sentiment in a specific downtown ward.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different topics related to Toronto's municipal politics but do not describe the same specific event.”
National Post
Hedges 5 of 46 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the election environment and polling results, not a single specific incident.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left further left than this Hedges 5 of 35 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss voter sentiment in Toronto, but describe different aspects and focus on distinct narratives.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
33
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 33 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
60/100
National Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-11 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

National Post · 1233 article(s) · 2 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 2 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jamie Sarkonak
23 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Later, BioWare proved it could bring its formula for rich characters, story and combat to its own original worlds.
2026-10-26 · assertive framing · Jamie Sarkonak: BioWare abandoned what made it great
🔮 It seems like only yesterday that the Toronto mayoral election appeared to be a foregone conclusion.
🔮 Barely two weeks before America’s crucial midterm elections, Black voters could very well emerge as the unanticipated kingmakers in key state races nationwide.
🔮 They also show that two weeks prior to the calling of B.C.’s snap election, the government committed to changing the province’s Forest Act to limit how much forestry companies could be compensated for tenure loss.
🔮 His lagging poll numbers may as well have been written on his face.
2026-10-15 · assertive framing · Amy Hamm: David Eby’s failure of an election debate
🔮 You’d think a municipal ward with the name “Toronto Centre” would be the last electoral district to turn its back on a left-wing incumbent.
🔮 He said he couldn’t comprehend a situation where you would choke a woman and ask her if it was that bad.
🔮 “I should have understood that supporting people who come forward about sexual violence does not require, and cannot justify, acting in ways that may lead others to conclude that unproven allegations are true or failing to give the person accused a fair opportunity to be heard and considered.”
🔮 No one is questioning historical inquiry, but using public money to draw a line from “colonial land policies” to today’s private landowners and business operators amounts to a political campaign that will have consequences.
🔮 Which, if you think about it, might as well strike out the entire Criminal Code.
Also by Jamie Sarkonak
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 23 articles by Jamie Sarkonak →

Topics

Forum Research NDP Tate Toronto Toronto Centre

Subjects

Tate PERSON · 10× Moise PERSON · 8× Toronto GPE · 5× Chris Moise PERSON · 2× Daniel Tate PERSON · 2× NDP ORG · 2× Wong-Tam PERSON · 2× Forum Research ORG · 1× Lorne Bozinoff PERSON · 1× Toronto Centre GPE · 1×

Narrative

When Moise led the charge to rename Yonge-Dundas Square to Sankofa Square, Tate organized a massive petition against it and became the de facto opposition leader to a decision that made Toronto City Hall a laughingstock in the eyes of so many.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-11
🔮 You’d think a municipal ward with the name “Toronto Centre” would be the last electoral district to turn its back on a left-wing incumbent.

Claims (33 extracted, 1 hedged)

You’d think a municipal ward with the name “Toronto Centre” would be the last electoral district to turn its back on a left-wing incumbent. asserted
ward → think → incumbent
Downtown Toronto is perceived to be as left-leaning as you can get and with good reason. asserted
you → perceive → reason
But every voter has their breaking point, and it looks like a lot of downtown residents have hit theirs. asserted
lot → have → theirs
The council race now unfolding in this ward is in many ways a battle for the very heart of the city itself. asserted
race → unfold → city
Recent polling shows that downtown councillor Chris Moise is at risk of losing his seat to common-sense candidate Daniel Tate. asserted
Moise → show → Tate
It would be an incredible reversal of political fortunes — and it’s one that’s on the cusp of happening. asserted
that → ’ → cusp
“The Toronto Centre city councillor race is close, with Chris Moise holding a narrow three-point lead over Daniel Tate,” said Lorne Bozinoff of Forum Research. asserted
Bozinoff → hold → Research
The urban decay and public disorder in Toronto are experienced most sharply downtown. asserted
decay → experience → Toronto
The open drug use, public urination, violent and unhinged street antics, deteriorating public spaces — these are all the worst downtown. asserted
these → deteriorate → ?
So it makes sense that downtown residents are the ones who are most crying out for change. asserted
who → make → change
Tate’s campaign website gets right to the point, spelling out his priorities with these direct bullet points: merit-based hiring; enforce the law; respect taxpayer dollars; safe streets, parks and transit; end failed drug policies. asserted
website → get → policies
It’s refreshing to see a candidate with a clear vision who isn’t afraid of his own shadow. asserted
who → ’ → shadow
The websites and literature of many council candidates throughout the city are full of generic platitudes meant to mask where they really stand on key issues, if they even have a stance on them in the first place. asserted
they → mean → place
Moise is a pet store owner and former Toronto school trustee who was first elected to council in the last general election with the support of the NDP. asserted
who → elect → NDP
On his website, his main pitch is that he’s delivered results on local priorities. asserted
he → deliver → priorities
in get-out-the-vote emails he’s recently sent out to supporters, his focus is on attacking Tate. asserted
focus → get → Tate
He admits it’s a two-horse race and attacks Tate as “an alt-right candidate.” asserted
it → admit → candidate
This is rather silly because if you peruse Tate’s social media and campaign events, you’ll see that his message has attracted a diverse crew, and he’s committed to improving the quality of life for the Church Street gay district. asserted
he → peruse → district
But Moise’s rhetoric is actually toned down from past remarks he made about Tate after those remarks were found to have violated the city’s code of conduct by the integrity commissioner. asserted
remarks → tone → commissioner
Yes, the two have a history that makes Moise’s potential loss all that more intriguing. asserted
loss → have → history
Tate has been a figure in Toronto’s music scene for many years as a devoted fan who documents and archives posters and flyers from live performances. asserted
who → document → performances
For this reason, he’s quite passionate about large community gathering spaces. asserted
he → ’ → spaces
When Moise led the charge to rename Yonge-Dundas Square to Sankofa Square, Tate organized a massive petition against it and became the de facto opposition leader to a decision that made Toronto City Hall a laughingstock in the eyes of so many. asserted
Hall → lead → many
Instead of maturely recognizing that people from all backgrounds took issue with the renaming, Moise chose to lash out personally at Tate in what the integrity commissioner called a “derogatory manner.” asserted
commissioner → recognize → what
But Moise also has re-election troubles from within his own political circles. asserted
Moise → have → circles
Kristyn Wong-Tam was for many years the councillor in Toronto Centre before she became the NDP MPP for the area in 2022. asserted
she → become → 2022
Wong-Tam then endorsed Moise as her replacement. asserted
Tam → endorse → replacement
However, a few weeks ago, Wong-Tam endorsed another Moise challenger: Curran Stikuts. asserted
Tam → endorse → challenger
Whatever complaints one may have with left-wing politicians in Toronto, they deserve credit for being loyal teammates and sticking together. uncertain
they → have → credit
So when a rift like this happens, it’s a sign of real trouble. asserted
it → happen → trouble
The Toronto Centre council election is certainly the one to watch. asserted
election → watch → ?
Tate’s genuine desire to clean up the downtown core is refreshing. asserted
desire → clean → core
He will have his work cut out for him should he make it to City Hall, but Toronto will certainly be better off if he does. asserted
he → have → Hall
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support