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Trump’s disapproval ratings are hitting historic levels ahead of the midterms

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Cite

Golding, B. (2026, September 25). Trump’s disapproval ratings are hitting historic levels ahead of the midterms. The Independent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-disapproval-historic-high-midterm-elections-b3056579.html

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The Independent · collected 2026-09-25 · by Bruce Golding

Quick Summary

CNN reports that President Donald Trump's disapproval ratings have reached historic levels ahead of the midterm elections, surpassing his own record from 2018 with 50% of Americans strongly disapproving of his job performance. Harry Enten, CNN’s polling analyst, notes this is also higher than former President George W. Bush’s disapproval rate before the 2006 midterms. Additionally, Trump's "strongly approve" rating stands at just 18%, significantly lower than previous presidents entering midterm elections.
Written by AI on 2026-09-25, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As midterm elections approach, President Donald Trump faces a historic 50% "strongly disapprove" rating according to CNN's polling analyst Harry Enten. This marks an increase from his previous record in 2018 when it was 45%. Independent voters are particularly critical, with 56% expressing strong disapproval. Enten notes that Trump has fewer people who strongly approve of him compared to other presidents before midterms, stating that this level of hatred for a sitting president is unprecedented. The White House did not immediately respond to inquiries regarding these ratings.

Written for “Trump Disapproval Ratings Rise” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Trump Disapproval Ratings Rise
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 21% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 17 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles cover different aspects of public opinion ahead of the midterms but describe distinct events: one focuses on party preference, while the other highlights disapproval ratings for President Trump.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 22 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles report on different polling periods and have varying approval/disapproval ratings, indicating they describe distinct surveys or poll results.”
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 20 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles cover different aspects of public opinion regarding President Trump, with Article A focusing on approval ratings for his handling of the war in Iran and Article B discussing overall disapproval ratings ahead of the midterms.”
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's approval ratings over distinct time periods with varying contexts.”
NBC News
Hedges 10 of 59 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles discuss different polls on Trump's approval rating with slight differences in timing and poll specifics.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 18 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's political situation leading up to midterms but do not describe the same specific incident.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 10 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe different polling periods and results, indicating distinct data points rather than the same specific incident.”
NBC News
Hedges 4 of 53 claims Outlet record 60/100
“While both articles discuss President Donald Trump’s approval ratings and their impact on the midterms, they provide different details and focus more broadly on separate aspects of the political climate.”
Reason
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 4 of 53 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss Trump's disapproval ratings but refer to different points in time and slightly different polling figures, suggesting they are describing trends rather than a single specific occurrence.”
The Independent
Hedges 2 of 21 claims Outlet record 59/100
“While both articles discuss Trump's disapproval ratings, they cover different aspects and times — one focuses on overall disapproval ahead of midterms, while the other highlights a specific demographic shift warned by Harry Enten.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
21%
4 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
59/100
The Independent's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

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Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Independent · 3499 article(s) · 8 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 8 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Bruce Golding
24 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 Trump also told reporters that the U.S. would “help anybody that has that kind of a problem.”
🔮 Noem's post also said that calling Daedalus Aviation Corp. Chair William Walters a “donor” was “materially misleading” and "conveys a false implication of a direct financial relationship obviously intended to influence official action." “Numerous times clarifications were made to the journalists responsible for this libelous story,” Noem, now a State Department special envoy to the “Shield of the Americas” security initiative, said Sunday.
🔮 “We may have to not purchase a piece of equipment for the classroom.”
🔮 But he acknowledged that Donalds's race against David Jolly, a former Republican House member-turned-Democrat, would “be more competitive than people could have anticipated just a few months ago.”
🔮 “When you walk onto a commercial flight, it's possible that the pilot flying your plane could have a deranged fetish of dressing up like an animal.
🔮 But he told Politico, “I dispute these allegations in the complaint and will address them through the legal process.
🔮 More than 760,000 people are being kicked off Obamacare in what Trump administration officials described Tuesday as a crackdown on fraudulent enrollments that's projected to save about $2.2 billion in federal subsidies.
🔮 But the House's highest-profile progressive said she hasn’t made a decision, which she previously said would come after the crucial November midterm elections for control of Congress.
🔮 We will demand truth, transparency and accountability.
🔮 Democratic Rep. Robert Garcia of California, ranking member of the House Oversight Committee, told Bloomberg Government in April that Stephen Miller was among several people the committee would subpoena if Democrats take control after the midterms.
Also by Bruce Golding
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 24 articles by Bruce Golding →

Topics

Americans CNN Democrats Enten House

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 9× Democrats NORP · 7× Enten PERSON · 4× House ORG · 4× Senate ORG · 3× Americans NORP · 2× CNN ORG · 2× The Cook Political Report ORG · 2× the Silver Bulletin ORG · 2× the United States GPE · 2×

Narrative

That's because the president's “strongly approve” rating is just 18 percent, one-third less than the average 27 percent for previous presidents going into the midterms — including Trump in 2018, Enten said. “So, Trump actually has fewer people loving him than what we see with the average president,” he said.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25

Claims (19 extracted, 4 hedged)

President Donald Trump is approaching the midterm elections with a historic 50 percent of Americans strongly disapproving of his job performance — shattering the rejection record he set before the 2018 midterms, CNN's polling guru said Friday. asserted
guru → approach → midterms
“They don't just dislike him,” Harry Enten said. asserted
Enten → dislike → him
Trump also fares worse with independent voters, with 56 percent expressing strong disapproval, Enten said. asserted
Enten → fare → disapproval
"Among the group that determines elections in this country, you see the hatred for the president of the United States. asserted
you → determine → States
This is what the voters are saying now," he said. asserted
he → say → what
The White House didn’t immediately return an inquiry from The Independent. asserted
House → return → Independent
Enten said Trump’s overall 50 percent “strongly disapprove” rating eclipses the 45 percent he notched in 2016. asserted
he → say → 2016
Before that, President George W. Bush held the record when 41 percent of Americans strongly disapproved of his job performance ahead of the 2006 midterm elections, according to CNN’s chief data analyst. uncertain
percent → hold → analyst
And while Trump's “historically polarizing” effect on American voters has sometimes worked to his benefit, Enten said, it's not doing so now. asserted
it → work → benefit
That's because the president's “strongly approve” rating is just 18 percent, one-third less than the average 27 percent for previous presidents going into the midterms — including Trump in 2018, Enten said. “So, Trump actually has fewer people loving him than what we see with the average president,” he said. asserted
he → approve → president
“What's going on here is normally Trump is able to counteract that strong hatred with strong love, but not anymore.” asserted
Trump → go → love
The 2018 midterms took place during Trump's first term, when Democrats flipped six seats in the House and two in the Senate, but failed to win a majority in either chamber. asserted
Democrats → take → chamber
But Trump is now a lame duck, like Bush was in 2006, when Democrats gained control of both chambers by flipping 31 seats in the House and five in the Senate, along with two seats won by independents who caucused with them. asserted
who → gain → them
The latest so-called generic congressional ballot polling average shows Democrats with an 8.7 percent edge over Republicans, according to data posted Friday by Real Clear Polling. uncertain
average → call → Polling
Democrats have enjoyed an “incredible upswing” during September, when they began with a generic congressional ballot lead of 6.7 percent, according to the Silver Bulletin. uncertain
they → enjoy → Bulletin
That's now up to 8.1 percent, or 8.8 percent with a “likely voter” adjustment, according to the Silver Bulletin. uncertain
That → accord → Bulletin
The Cook Political Report also said that Democrats were on track to gain control of the House, with 15 races shifting in their favor, largely because voters are unhappy with Trump’s handling of the economy. asserted
voters → say → economy
Democrats now hold 215 House seats and need just three more for a majority. asserted
Democrats → hold → majority
The Republican advantage in the Senate is 53-47, and The Cook Political Report described it Wednesday as a “true toss-up” after three races shifted toward Democrats. asserted
races → describe → Democrats
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