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“…surprise if Democrats failed to capture the House, along with various state legislatures and governorships, though some of the most important gubernatorial races like Texas and Florida are “Lean R” rather than the “Lean Ds” that are more typical in the…”

“Gubernatorial races are less partisan than Congressional ones and produce more crossover voting.”

“…ead — sometimes narrowly, sometimes not — in basically every Senate battleground and in the associated governor’s races, including in Texas: These polls weren’t quite in the territory of FLIPR’s officially “weird” scenarios, but they're close to that…”

“Thanks to FLIPR’s quasi-omniscience, I’ll show you who will eventually win in each simulation, but 1-2 Senate races, 1-2 gubernatorial races, and roughly a dozen House contests will likely remain ambiguous as of early Wednesday morning.”

“There shouldn’t be much question, though, about Pingree being a heavy favorite in a fairly typical gubernatorial race.”

“The model forecasts both Congressional and gubernatorial races, but it’s trained on both midterm years like 2022 and years where these races coincide with presidential elections.”

“…e currently has Francesca Hong in a tossup in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race — her primary is tonight — and our model is much less confident that she’ll revert to the mean because gubernatorial races are still considerably less partisan than races for…”

““Republicans beat their polls in both the Senate and gubernatorial races in Texas, and also in most of the House races there.” #4.”

“We don’t want Still Counting to be solely about the polls and the horse race.”

“House races, 35 Senate races, and 36 gubernatorial races on the ballot this November, as well as the overall likelihood of each party controlling each chamber and all kinds of other details.1 The model performed quite well in 2018 after the code was basically…”

“Gubernatorial elections can be less exciting for a national audience than federal races.”

“Democrats also haven’t won a gubernatorial race in Texas since 1990 (Ann Richards, of course) or a U.S.”